Find free lay inplay or pre match

Australia vs New Zealand,1st T20 ,26 February

2010-02-25T08:55:00.001Z

Australia vs New Zealand,1st T20 ,26 Feb

Australia v West Indies ,T20 (21 Feb)

2010-02-21T07:40:00.000Z

Ausralia vs West Indies ,T20

England vs Pakistan 2nd T20 (20 Feb 2010)

2010-02-20T12:31:00.001Z

England v Pakistan 2nd T20 ( 20 Feb 2010)

Live Cricket Trading Advise On Betfair Re Launch Soon.

2010-02-20T09:13:00.002Z

Hi,

We are planning to do it again soon.
Luv u all.
Dip

West Indies v England Twenty20, Mar 15, 2009

2009-03-15T17:10:00.007Z

5th update :
England 117/8 in 18th over.
Not a good performance from England and it's time for stop loss.
I don't think we may get any decent opportunity in remaining game.
Please check back tomorrow for upcoming matches list.
Gl

..............................
4th update :
England 97/5 in 14 overs.
wait and watch time till 2nd innings.
Gl

......................
3rd update :
England 66/3 in 9 overs.
Back England @ 2.3 now.
Gl

..........................

2nd update :
England 47/1 after 6 overs and odds are 1.74 England.
Can back 1.7x if no wicket in next 3 overs.
Gl
............................
1st Update :

West Indies won the toss and elected to field first.
Odds are England 1.77 as favorites.
Plan is :

1.Lay England 1.40 if comes in first 10 overs with back plan 110% at 1.60
Book profit whenever you get chance.

2.Back England 2.5 if comes in first 10 overs up to 3 wickets and wait but book profit whenever you get chance.

3.Lay WI 1.4 if comes in first 10 overs upto 3 wicket and wait but book profit whenever you get chance..
next update after 10 overs.
.................................
Hello and welcome to our coverage of T20.

Before we proceed further I want to announce that our centralized system is almost ready on new server and from that system you will get advise as soon as it is posted.
Also we will cover all International matches whether it is T20 , ODI or test matches in future.

Meanwhile you can chat with me on yahoo messenger I.D dip292929@yahoo.com during matches.
.............................
Please check for update after toss.
Good luck.

Cricket Trading 2009

2009-03-08T18:39:00.003Z

well it's time now to start trade on cricket again.
1st match which I'm going to cover is on Mar 15 > West Indies v England ,Only T20I at 1800 GMT.
So please join us on Mar 15,2009 on this blog.
Good bye.

Hello !

2009-01-06T15:29:00.000Z

Hi,
Apologies for delayed post but I was really busy.
Anyway it's time to start talking cricket again.
I'll post about cricket trading schedule tomorrow.
Bye.
Dip

Australia v India ,1st Test Preview

2008-10-08T23:21:00.000+01:00

Hello and welcome to our preview of 1st Test match.

Our good friend Neil provided it to us and we must appreciate all the homework done by him.

Here is the preview by Neil :

It seems like an age since the last Test match action between England
and South Africa however I have still enjoyed England's surprising
performance against South Africa in the odis and the exciting climax to
the English county season the highlight for me was Durham turning round
a 16 point deficit in the final round of county championship matches to
win the title and hence landing my each way bet on them @ 5/1 which I
mentioned in a preview in April perhaps I should stick to county cricket
as I certainly seem to have had more success in that sphere than
international matches recently.

India play Australia on Thursday morning at Bangalore in the first match
of a four test series the match is due to commence at 5am U.K time
I believe the outcome of this series is particularly difficult to call
with doubts about both teams.
India - the home team are always very difficult to beat in their
conditions and as recently as the beginning of the year they ran
Australia very close in an away test series finally losing the series
2-1 however since then they have drawn a series at home to South Africa
and lost a 3 match series 2-1 in Sri Lanka when some of their more
experienced batsmen performed poorly.
Their overall record in test matches since January 2007 is as follows
Played 19 won 6 drawn 7 and lost 6 this breaks down between home played
6 won 2 drawn 3 and lost 1 and away played 13 won 4 drawn 4 and lost 5
they are currently ranked 3rd in the ICC test rankings with 109 points.

Australia -since the beginning of the year they have lost the services
of Warne, Gilchrist and Mcgrath the loss of three top class
internationals has obviously affected the teams performance however they
have still only lost one test since the beginning of 2007 in May they
won a series away in the West Indies 2-0 although they were put under
pressure by the Windies at various times throughout the series.
They have arrived in India without Andrew Symonds who has been dropped
for disciplinary matters and the loss of his batting is sure to affect
the team further.
It is hardly a secret that spin bowling has a big part to play in most
tests in India and the loss of Shane Warne could well have a major
bearing on this series with none of his replacements possessing anything
near his abilities.
Even so Australia will no doubt be very competitive and be difficult to
beat.
Their overall record in test matches from the beginning of 2007 is as
follows Played 10 won 7 and drawn 2 broken down between at home played 7
won 5 drawn 1 and lost 1 and away played 3 won 2 and drawn 1 they are
currently easily top of the ICC rankings with 138 points.
I have used the last 10 matches dating back to 1987 for the statistical
analysis for Bangalore from these India have won 3 lost 5 and drawn 2
one of these draws against England in 2001 was severely affected by rain
with over 2 days play lost. The toss winner has won 5 and lost 3 and the
toss winner has elected to bat first in all 10 matches. The average
number of overs to complete is 340 and the average innings score is 302
however in the last two tests to be played here both matches have gone
the full 5 days and the average innings score has increased to 415.
Team news this remains a matter of conjecture at this stage but my guess
is that India will play their 5 most experienced batsmen
Dravid,Ganguly,Laxman, Tendulkar and Sehwag keeper Dhoni two spinners in
Captain Kumble and Harbhajan and three pace bowlers from the impressive
young quick Ishant Sharma, Zaheer Khan ,R.P Singh and Munaf Patel
Australia - batsmen captain Ponting, Michael Clarke, Hayden Jacques and
Hussey keeper Haddin all rounder Watson their three most experienced
pace bowlers in Lee, Clark and Johnson and a spin bowler either Cameron
White who has more of a reputation as a one day bowler and hard hitting
batsman or off spinner Krejza who has not impressed in the warm up
matches.
Weather- I have checked three internet weather sites one shows little
chance of rain the other two show the possibility of some rain however
these sites can be notoriously inaccurate.
My tissue for this match is below
India 2/1
Australia 2/1
The draw 2/1
This may appear to be a gross simplification however there have only
been 2 draws in the last 10 matches and one of these was severely
weather affected that would put the draw price @ 4/1 the last two
matches played here have gone the whole distance with one finishing in a
draw and both India and Australia have strong batting line ups on paper
so I have reduced the price to 2/1 I cannot split the two teams in my
mind at the moment particularly with India possessing superior spin
bowlers in what should be advantageous home conditions so I have gone
with 2/1 on any result .
At the time of writing the best prices available with the bookmakers are
as follows India 12/5 (boylesports) Australia 5/2(sporting bet to a few
pennies! ) and the draw 5/4(William Hills & Paddy Power) and on the
exchanges to back India 3.5 Aus 3.7 the draw 2.2.
I have already got a little on the draw at an average of 2.55 and will
look to trade out of this if it dips below 2.0 early in the match I
shall also be looking to back any result if the price drifts above 7.0
on the first morning however I will mainly be following Dips trading
rooms advice for this match my £25 fun bet with the bookies will be
placed on Australia as they are marginally the highest price im sure
sporting will allow a £25 bet!
Good luck and regards
Neil

India v Australia Test Series :Live Cricket Trading

2008-10-03T18:02:00.000+01:00

Hello and welcome back.
After a long break proper cricket starting soon.
Infact everyone waiting for this series.
We are going to cover this series for live cricket trading exclusively to our customers.
..............
Please go to http://www.tradeoncricket.com to know how you can join us.
..............
You can also join us for per test fee which will carry forward if no profit in test.
Please note that per test fee membership is limited to only first 25 customers.

All the best.

Nottinghamshire Price (Prematch)

2008-09-14T15:59:00.000+01:00

Nottinghamshire Price (Prematch)

Schedule : September , 2008

2008-09-01T22:17:00.000+01:00

Well this month is going to be almost free from International cricket because ICC champions trophy is cancelled.
Plan is to cover some English domestic matches for either live cricket trading or straight bet advise.
I will try to post schedule tomorrow.
All the best.

Live : India v Sri Lanka ,5th ODI

2008-08-29T10:14:00.020+01:00

Hello and welcome to our continues coverage of India v Sri Lanka ODI series.
Please check back after sometime for preview and 1st innings plan.
As a rule nowdays we don't involve in prematch odds unless any true freelay around 1.3x .
.................
P.S :
Live stream of the match will start just before toss.
So enjoy live pictures with live cricket trading advise.
Thanks
..............

1st Update : Another match today Eng/S.A 2nd ODI at same time which we are covering in live trading room.So plan is to involve minimum in this match ,probably only 1 trade in starting overs of 1st innings.
..................
2nd Update
Preview & 1st Innings Plan :

1.Day-Night Game ,3rd back to back match at this ground.

2.Average score ground and 250+ very good score to defend.

3.Pitch take turn late so batting becomes difficult as game progress.

4.Weather:
Chances of rain.Presetly clear.

5.Teams :
Plenty of changes in both sides because it's a dead rubber but no confirm news so far.

6.Market mood :
Again with Lanka but not blindly.
Presently odds are 1.8

...............
Summary is :

Standard theory "Win toss , bat first , score 230+ and win match".

India won last 3 matches but because it's a dead rubber we don't know how important this match to them.

................
Predicted target odds :

(A) If India bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.5x
250 1.8x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9

*All are India odds.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.4x
250 1.6x
230 2.8x
210 5
190 7

*All are Lanka odds.
...............

1st innings plan :
It is going to be almost same like last match.

.................
(A) If India bat first :

Plan is :

1.Back 200@2 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 30 ticks.
If stop loss not hit then take profit whenever you get chance.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

Plan is :

1.Lay 300@1.6 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 14 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.

Gl
................
*I will try to post a update after 7-8 overs.
...............
3rd Update :
Lanka 7/1 in 6th over.
India 1.61
1.Back 100@1.8 India if comes with stop loss 30 ticks.
Take profit at 1.3x
................
4th Update :
Lanka 96/4
Odds India 1.74
Poor liquidity due to England match.
Back India now and take zero position on India (Murali & Vaas not playing so odds are going to be in India's favour at innings break).
No plan to involve again till 2nd innings.
Gl
.................
Innings Break :
Lanka 227/6 in 50 overs.
Odds India 1.74
Historically chase is difficult at this ground but Murali and Vaas both not playing so you may see India 1.2x very early.
Small back India now and then green up whenever get chance.

Gl

..................
Update :
India 70/3
Match delayed by rain.
Last trade not going our way but still good book position on any result thanks mainly to big lay Lanka @1.6 in 1st innings because that trade never hit stop loss and India traded @1.2x lowest in 1st innings.
Well D/L may come in picture now so it's risky to involve further.
Take equal green position on any result now.
We are also heading towards big profit in England v South Africa, 2nd ODI in live trading room.
All the best.

Tradeoncricket Exclusive Offer

2008-08-28T23:47:00.000+01:00

Hi,
You all know we are covering England v South Africa ODI Series in our live cricket trading room exclusively.

England leading series by 2-0 and 3 more matches remaining.
Will England win this series ?

Most probably but you never know.

Anyway if you want to join us for remaining matches of the series then you can join by only paying £3 for 3 matches.
For details please visit http://www.tradeoncricket.com
Thanks.

Somerset v Worcestershire-Pro 40 Div 1 -Straight Bet

2008-08-28T18:03:00.000+01:00

Hello,
Somerset v Worcestershire-Pro 40 Div 1 - 29th August
Straight bet selection for this match.
Back Somerset 3 Points @1.66
Good luck.

Upcoming Matches

2008-08-28T02:01:00.000+01:00

We are covering Sri Lanka v India,5th ODI on 29th August.
Scheduled start : 09:00 GMT.
So please join us for live pictures plus live trading advise of this dead rubber.
Thanks

India v Sri Lanka, 4th ODI -27th August -2nd Innings {Inplay}

2008-08-27T13:39:00.013+01:00

8th Update :
Lanka 190/7 in 41 overs.
India 1.03
Game is almost over unless any miracle.
No plan to involve further.

Very good match for us.
If you want to ask me which trade i enjoyed most in this match then i'll tell you 1st Trade > Back Lanka 1.8+ in starting overs of 1st innings.
That was the safest trade of the match and here our little knowledge of cricket betting comes.
Good night.
.................
7th Update :
Lanka 125/4 in 28th overs.Odds 1.31.
Plan is :
Back India 100@1.6 if comes with stop loss 20 ticks means lay 90@1.8 if drift.
Reason for this trade is India may touch 1.6 but going to be big resistance to reach 1.8
due to required run rate and market mood ,if stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.
Gl
...............
6th Update :
Lanka 93/3
India 1.41

...............
5th Update :
Lanka 61/2 in 16 overs.
India 1.65
It's time to level our book now.

Take equal green position on any result now.
Next plan :
I want to wait for India 1.2x or Lanka 1.4x to lay for safe trading (volatile market is expected and may be D/L come in picture sooner or later because there is chances of rain).
Although i will post a small plan after 5 overs.
Gl
...............
4th Update :
Lanka 42/2
India 1.36
Lay 50 more now and let it run.
Back plan 80@1.65
Gl
.................
Phewwwwwww.
What was that 1.5 without wicket ?
Market with India totally IMO.
..............
3rd Update :
Lanka 29/1 in 7 overs.
Lay 50@1.7 India now.
If more wicket in next 5 overs then don't do anything ,just wait.
All the best.
..............
2nd Update :

Lanka 24/0 in 5 overs.
Lanka favourites now.
Going to be easy chase IMO but you never know.
Plan is same and after 1 wicket we may consider back Lanka 2.4+
Gl
................
Innings Break Update :

India 257/9

Odds 1.82
Well our predicted target odds once again proved right and spot on.
...................
Plan for 2nd innings 1st 15 overs :

1.Lay Lanka 200@1.45 if comes with stop loss 12 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.

2.Lay India 100@1.45 or below if comes upto 2 wickets with 15 ticks stop loss.
Take profit whenever you get chance.

So far these two main plan and other plans according to match situation after 15 overs.
All the best.

India v Sri Lanka, 4th ODI -27th August -Replay {Inplay}

2008-08-26T06:49:00.027+01:00

9th Update :

India 224/4

Plan is :
1.Lay India 300@1.33 if comes with back plan 250@1.5x Stop loss at innings break.
2.Back India 100@1.8 if comes and let it run.

Gl
.............
8th Update
India 167/3
odds 1.58

Stop loss point.
Next plan :
1.Lay India 300@1.33 if comes with back plan 250@1.5x
Stop loss at innings break.
Gl
.........................
7th Update :

India 131/3
India 1.95

Our last trade hit stop loss.

Next plan :

1.Lay India 200@1.72 as free lay with 14 ticks stop loss.
If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.

2.Back Lanka 200@2 if comes after 4 wickets with stop loss 20 ticks.
Let it run if stop loss not hit.

Gl

Predicted target odds once again :

(A) If India bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.5x
250 1.8x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9

*All are India odds.

IMO India a good freelay @1.7x because they may not score 265+ and no need to take stop loss (India odds are not going to be less than 1.7 at innings break) but then it will be gamble.Stop loss is must even if value need to be surrendered.

................

6th Update :

India 104/3

Plan is same.

Back Lanka 200@1.70 if comes with stop loss 20 ticks.

Lay 185@1.9 if odds drifts.
.............

5th Update :

India 82/3

Plan is same.

One more plan Lay Lanka 100@1.2x if comes just after 4th wicket if score 110+

Back plan all above 20 ticks and stop loss 6-8 ticks.
GL

.............
4th Update :
India 51/2
Lanka 1.45
Cover some liability now and then back Lanka 200@1.7+ if comes with stop loss 20 ticks this time.
If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.
Presently no plan to lay Lanka big because it may prove very costly if batting collapse.
We may consider lay Lanka around 1.2x according to situation.
All the best.
...............
3rd Update :
India 33/0 in 8th over.

Lanka 1.79
Plan is same.
Good luck.
.............
2nd Update :

India batting first and Lanka 1.9 now.
Back 200 now with stop loss 40 ticks.
If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.
Gl
.................
1st Update :

Good news.Weather is clear today and every chance of full play.
Gl
.................
Update...................

27th August :

Match replayed today.
Plan is same if 50 overs game.
I'll post other plan before start.
All the best.
................

Price graph link :
http://uk.site.sports.betfair.com//betting/LoadRunnerInfoAction.do?marketId=21167701&selectionId=7337&timeZone=Europe/London&region=GBR&locale=en&brand=betfair&currency=GBP

Thanks

.................
1st Update :
Preview is same like last match because venue,team and conditions are same.

1.Day-Night Game ,toss winner may chose to bat first.

2.Above 250 is difficult to chase under lights.

3.Good batting pitch but both teams batsman struggling to score in series so far.Bowlers dominating.

4.Weather:
Chances of rain so reduced over game or D/L might play part.
*presently raining for last half hours but expected to be cleared soon.

5.Teams :
Expected to be same.

6.Market mood :
With Lanka no doubt even after two successive defeat.
Strong prematch favourites @1.6x

7.Live stream of match :
You can find it at chavster.ulmb.com , justin.tv or cricketlivelinks.com
...............
Summary is :

Win toss , bat first , score 230+ and win match.

Both teams struggling for good start so good strategy is to back bowling team 2+ in starting overs of 1st innings.
................
Predicted target odds :

(A) If India bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.5x
250 1.8x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9

*All are India odds.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.4x
250 1.6x
230 2.8x
210 5
190 7

*All are Lanka odds.
...............

1st innings plan :

As you can see from predicted target odds that present odds ( Lanka favourites @1.6x ) suggesting that if India bat first then they are going to score 220-230 and if Lanka bat first then expected score is 250 atleast at which Lanka odds are going to be same as prematch 1.6x

.................
(A) If India bat first :

Plan is :

1.Back 200@1.8 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 40 ticks means if India become favourites @1.8 then take stop loss by backing India.
Reason for this trade is market generally hold Lanka team price at this level (1.8x) for 5-7 overs because of spinners act from 15 overs onwards.It is like free back and consider close at same odds with minimum profit or loss after 5-7 overs if no profit from this trade.

If stop loss not hit then take profit whenever you get chance.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

Plan is :

1.Lay 300@1.44 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 14 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.
So far these 2 plan and I'll post other plan after 5-7 overs play.
Gl
................
Hello and welcome back.
India leading series by 2-1
4th match today.
Scheduled start 09:00 GMT

Please check back after sometime for preview and plan.
Thanks
................
England v South Africa 2nd ODI also today which we are covering in live trading room.
If you want to follow advise in this match then please visit http://www.tradeoncricket.com to know how you can join us.

India v Sri Lanka ,3rd ODI - 24th August {Inplay}

2008-08-24T06:25:00.019+01:00

Result :

India won the match by 33 runs.
Handsome profit today even last trade hit stop loss.
Waiting for your valueable comments either positive or negative because they are must to run these inplay posts.
Good night.
.................
6th Update :

Lanka 95/7
India 1.02
Game is almost over.
Next plan is back India 100@1.4 with 30 ticks stop loss whenever and if comes.
Gl
...............
5th Update :
Lanka 58/4 in 15th over.
India 1.25
Lay 100 now with back plan all above 20 ticks.
Stop loss 7 ticks.

Gl
.................
4th Update :
Lanka 40/4 in 10th over.
Wait and watch time.
If some recovery by Lanka then we may consider lay India around 1.2x
Gl
................
Our predicted target odds performed very well as you can see predicted odds at 230 was 3.2x
Actual score is 237 and India odds are around 3.0x

Predicted target odds is a proven very good base or tool for 1st innings trading.
..............
Innings Break :
India 237/9 in 50 overs.

Odds 1.52

Very good match for us so far and IMO take equal green position on any result.

Plan for 2nd innings is to wait for Lanka or India 1.2x for safe trading.
Although i will post small trade plan after 10 overs play.
But if Lanka available after good start to lay @1.24 in 1st 5 overs then lay 200 with stop loss 7 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.
Gl
.................
3rd Update :
India 125/4 in 30 overs.
Lanka 1.48
Lanka so far traded lowest @1.24 and highest @1.84

http://uk.site.sports.betfair.com//betting/LoadRunnerInfoAction.do?marketId=21157141&selectionId=7337&timeZone=Europe/London&region=GBR&locale=en&brand=betfair&currency=GBP

Back 200 now if not taken stop loss 9 ticks before because plan was 10 ticks stop loss (1 tick is always associated with me).

Next plan is :

1.Back Lanka 150@1.7 whenever comes with 30 ticks stop loss.If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance but more on Lanka.

Gl

*Facing connection problem so next update may delay.
...............
3rd Update :
India 62/3 in 15 overs.
Lanka 1.33
Lay 200 now with stop loss 10 ticks.
Back plan 220 @1.55
Gl
................
2nd Update :
India 52/2 in 12 overs.
Odds 1.47

Well Lanka so far traded at 1.8x highest but i don't know whether they traded @1.85 or not because i don't have price graph presently and my request to visitors is that if you have price graph web link then please send it to me at findfreelay@gmail.com
Plan for next 20 overs :
1.Back Lanka 150@1.7 if comes with 30 ticks stop loss.If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance but more on Lanka.

2.Lay Lanka 200@1.28 with stop loss 8 ticks.Back plan 220@1.45
Gl
Next update after 10 overs.
...............
1st Update :

Welcome back.
Predicted target odds :
*According to 50 overs.
(A)India batting first :

310 1.3x
290 1.4x
270 1.6x
250 2.2x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9
*All are India odds.

Plan is :
1.Back Lanka 200@1.85 if comes in first 15 overs.Stop loss 30 ticks means back India 200@1.85 if India bat well.
If stop loss not hit then green up at 1.4x

I will post other plan after 10-12 overs.
Good luck.
...............
Hello and welcome to our coverage of 3rd ODI of 5 match series between India and Sri Lanka.

Start : 09:00 GMT
Please check back after sometime for preview & 1st innings plan along with predicted target odds for 1st innings as currently i'm analyzing the ground stats and weather etc.

Thanks

..................
Preview :-

1.Day-Night Game ,toss winner may chose to bat first.
2.High score match expected.
3.Good batting pitch normally.
4.Weather:
Chances of rain so reduced over game or D/L might play part.
5.Teams :
Gambhir is back for India.No other major change in both sides.
6.Market mood :
Totally with Lanka as they are strong prematch favourites @1.6x
7.Live stream of match :
You can find it at chavster.ulmb.com , justin.tv or cricketlivelinks.com

Contd............

Early 1.0x In Cricket

2008-08-24T05:36:00.002+01:00

Well yesterday i was watching the pro40 game between Somerset v Gloucestershire ( Taunton, Aug 23, 2008 ).

Scorecard link :

http://content-www.cricinfo.com/countycricket2008/engine/current/match/320042.html?view=live;wrappertype=mainframe

To be contd..........

( I shall complete this post later.In brief this post is about " why early 1.0x is good to lay ? " )

England v South Africa ODI Series

2008-08-21T11:40:00.001+01:00

We are covering this series in our live cricket trading room.
You can see details at
http://tradeoncricket.com

...............
India v Sri Lanka ODI series remaining 3 matches will be covered here as per schedule.
All the best.

India v Sri Lanka ,2nd ODI -20th August {Inplay}

2008-08-19T15:22:00.008+01:00

7th Update :
India 105/5
Odds 1.07
Plan is to lay 250@1.04 if comes in next 2-3 overs as freelay for 10 runs means if wickets then take profit or close at same odds if no wicket.
Gl
................
6th Update :
India 75/3
Odds 1.09

Last trade hit stop loss but our book position is still green on any result.Back India 1.2x after any wicket and take zero position on Lanka.
Other plan is to lay India after 5 wickets at 1.0x if 40+ runs remaining.
I'll update at that time.
Gl
..............
5th Update :
India 17/2
Odds 1.27
126 runs more required.

Volatile market expected and best policy in this market is to lay any team short odds.

Lay India or Lanka 500@1.14 with 4 ticks stop loss whenever comes.Take profit whenever you get chance on above 15 ticks.
Gl
.............
4th Update :

Lanka 142 allout.
India 1.12
Lay 50 now so that our book position become all green.
Plan is :

1.Lay India 500@1.04 if comes in 1st 10 overs.
Back plan 450@1.08
Stop loss :
Odds may shorten to 1.01 but just wait and in that case back all after any wicket @1.04+

2.Back 50@1.6 India if comes upto 3 wickets but score 40+ and let it run.Lay 200@1.2 if comes after back and take profit whenever you get chance.
Stop loss :
If more wickets after that try to close trade at 1.6-1.7 whenever you get chance.
Gl
................
3rd Update :

Lanka 122/9
India 1.09
Our book is green on India and small red on Lanka now.
Next plan in 2nd innings in which lay India 500@1.0x after 2 wickets is main plan.
I'll update that time.
Gl
.................
2nd Update :

Lanka 94/6
India 1.17

Next plan is :

1.Back 50@1.20
2.Back 70@1.30
3.Lay 300@1.09 or below if comes upto 8 wickets but score 110+
Back plan 200@1.15 and save remaining 100 for 2nd innings.

Gambhir and Sehwag both not playing today so anything over 130 is going to be interesting chase.
Good luck.

................
Update 20th August :

Apologies for late update as my alarm didn't worked today.
Lanka batting first and score is 44/6.
India favourites @1.07

Lay 200@1.08 now and let it run with back plan 100@1.15.
Gl
...............
Hello,

Venue & timings are same for this match.
This time Lanka favourites @1.53

Well going to be another toss trading tomorrow morning.
If India bat first then we may see odds around 1.45 and if Lanka bat first then 1.65
................
Plan is to look for Lanka 1.8+ if India bat first to back.
If Lanka bat first then try is to find a freelay in Lanka odds around 1.4x after good start.

Let's see how things are going to unfold tomorrow.
I will post plans after toss.
All the best.

1st Trade

2008-08-18T19:04:00.004+01:00

After any loss i closely analyze the cause or causes behind it (Though it's true that win on every game is not possible but still find cause/causes for any defeat is very important for future to keep loss to minimum).

>Whether it's due to volatile market trading ?

>Whether it's because of backing short odds ?

>Whether it's because of ignoring stop loss ?

>Whether it's because of refuse to green up ?

>Whether it's due to weather ?

>Whether it's due to batting collapse ?

>Whether it's due to early involvement ?
.................

I find the last one most reasonable cause of defeat in today's match along with some other causes (batting collapse & rapid market movement) which were frankly not in our control.
..............

Early Involvement :

It's true that if you involved prematch then either you are thinking that there is good value in any selection almost as a straight bet or there is very good trading opportunity.

But it sometimes proved very wrong if that trade goes against you like today.

I know most of the professionals don't prefer to enter at start.They like to wait and watch few overs first if we talk about cricket and then consider when to enter and at which odds.

That's why title of this post is '1st Trade' which i think is one of the most important part of trading.

Normally if first trade goes well then there is always chances of decent profit in any event but if first trade hit stop loss or goes against us then we are on backfoot in remaining match.

So this post is all about what we learn from our losses and how we can minimise our loss in future.

I hope lesson learnt today and apart from test matches involve prematch or early in the match may prove dangerous in other formats of cricket.
Yes if there any short odds favourites around 1.3x then we may consider involve prematch with strict stop loss.
Waiting for your valueable comments.
All the best.

India v Sri Lanka , 1st ODI {Inplay}

2008-08-17T17:56:00.012+01:00

8th Update :
Lanka 101/2
Not a good match for us so far.
Pathetic performance from India today.
Only any miracle can save India now.
Let's hope for good matches in remaining series.
Gl
................
7th Update :
Lanka 69/2 in 19th over.

Poor captain Dhoni !

He has not given ball to spinners so far.
Wait and watch time.
Gl

...............
6th Update :

Lanka 33/1 after 10 overs.
It's the time to close last trade.
Next plan is lay Lanka 500@1.04 or below if comes after 3 wickets and 70+ runs remaining.Back plan 50% or 250 @1.06 and other on higher odds.
Gl

.............
Innings Break :
India 146 allout.
Lanka 1.06

Good effort by tail.
Pitch is not easy to bat on.
Lay 400@1.07 now with back plan all @1.18 or above after 1st wicket.
Presently no stop loss.
Gl
...............
5th Update :

India 87/7
Total surrender by Indian batsman.
We can't do anything now but to wait for 2nd innings and hope some early wickets if target around 150
Gl
................
4th Update :

India 76/5
Wait and watch time again for next 10 overs.
Gl
................
3rd Update :
India 36/3 in 12th over.
Bad start by India but don't forget anything over 190 is a fighting score at this pitch.

Wait and watch time for 10 overs atleast.
If some recovery by India then we may consider lay Lanka 1.2x as freelay later.
Gl
...............
2nd Update :

India 9/1 in 6th over.
Lanka 1.31
Lay 150@1.32 now and then wait.

Gl
..............
1st Update :

India batting first and market responded that by cutting Lanka further.
Lanka 1.59 presently.

Plan is to let last lay run with stop loss 20 ticks.
If stop loss not hit then back plan is :
200@1.8
50@2
50@2.2
I'll post other plan after 7-8 overs play.
All the best.
.................
Update 18th August (09:00 Local Time) :
Welcome back.
Match scheduled to begin at 10:00

Main points :

1.Venue :
Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium

Very average score ground and pitch is bowlers friendly.
Help seamers in start and spinners later on.
Chase 230+ is not easy on this ground.

2.Weather :
Fine

3.Teams :

Big news is Virendra Sehwag doubtful.
Going to be huge disadvantage for India.
No fitness problem in Lanka camp and spin duo M & M playing.

4.Early Trend :

Market favouring Lanka and after Sehwag news Lanka cut to 1.7x
...................
1st Innings Plan :

Well we already layed Lanka 250@1.72
Plan is to let it run if Lanka bat first with 15 ticks stop loss.
Back plan is 200@1.95 and 50@2.4
>If India bat first then plan is almost same but try to back Lanka 1.70+ if available after toss.
I'll post further plans after toss.
Good luck.
................
Hello and welcome to our coverage of India v Sri Lanka , ODI Series.

Current odds are :
Lanka 1.69 as favourites.

It's a prematch freelay and lay 250@1.72 available now.

Plan is to let it run if Lanka bat first with stop loss 15 ticks.

If India bat first then we may consider back 1.6x
..............

Please join us again tomorrow morning for live cricket trading of this match.

Thanks.

Kent v Essex - Friends Provident Trophy Final - 16th August

2008-08-14T09:21:00.019+01:00

Last update :

Essex won the match by 5 wickets.
I hope everyone enjoyed our coverage.

P/L of match :
Not prepared it in detail but it is positive without any doubt.
Waiting for comments :) .
Please check back tomorrow for schedule of upcoming matches.
Good bye and good night.
.............

9th Update :

Essex 140/4 in 36th over.
Odds 1.24

Massive odds movement after 4th wicket and frankly i don't know why.
It's going to be tight finish imo because runrate may come in picture sooner or later.

Plan is :
1.Lay Essex 200@1.16 if comes with stop loss 6 ticks.
Green up above 30 ticks if stop loss not hit.
Or

Back all at 1.2+ after 5 overs from trade.
Gl
...............
8th Update :

Essex 88/3
Green up now.
Gl
..............

7th Update :

Essex 67/2 in 16th over.

Essex 2 down now.
Odds 1.24
Plan is :

1.Lay Essex 200@1.15 if comes with stop loss
5 ticks.
Back plan 150@1.3

2.Lay Essex 500@1.04 if comes after 3 wickets and 80+ runs remaining as freelay.

Back plan
300@1.10
100@1.2
50@1.3
Stop loss :
Back all after 5 overs at available odds which i hope is not going to be less then 1.03.

Gl
..............
6th Update :

Essex 39/1 in 9th over.
Wait and watch time till 20 overs.
Gl
.............
Innings Break :

Kent 214 allout in 50 overs.
Odds Essex 1.33

Plan for 2nd innings :

Frankly i want to wait for Essex 1.1x to lay or 1.9x to back.

Essex rightly favourites but
tough batting conditions and chase in lights means it is dangerous to back Essex at these odds.
So plan is :

1.Back Essex 50@1.9 if comes in 1st 15 overs upto 3 wickets but score 40+
Stop loss 40 ticks and let it run if stop loss not hit.

2.Lay Essex 200@1.12 if comes after flying start in 1st 5 overs.
Back all just after any wicket.
Stop loss :
Well odds may shorten upto 1.0x if no wicket so consider let it run for 4-5 overs and then back all at +- 4 ticks.

3.Lay Essex 200@1.2 if comes in 1st 10 overs after 2 wickets and runrate below 6
Stop loss 5 ticks and take profit whenever you get chance.

So far these plans and I'll update after 10 overs and post other plan according to match situation.
All the best.
...............
5th Update :
Kent 177/7

Lay Essex 200@1.25 or below if comes in remaining few overs of 1st innings.
Gl
................
4th Update :

Kent 99/5 in 29th over.

Now plan is for remaining overs of 1st innings:

1.Back Essex 100@1.6 with 30 ticks stop loss.If stop loss not hit then let it run and green up @1.2x

2.Lay Essex 150@1.12 whenever comes with back plan 130@1.3

I hope good trading opportunities and freelays in 2nd innings if target below 210.

Gl

.................
3rd Update :

Kent 43/2 in 14th over.

Plan is (Upto 35 overs):

1.Back Essex 100@1.8 with 40 ticks stop loss means if Kent hit 1.8 then back Kent 100@1.8 and take loss 20 on any result.
If stop loss not hit then let it run and green up @1.3x

2.Lay Essex 150@1.25 with 8 ticks stop loss if comes upto 4 wickets but score 100+
Back plan 100@1.45

Gl

.................
2nd Update

Kent 19/2
Wait and watch time till 15 overs.
Gl
.................
1st Update :

Welcome back.

Kent batting first :

1st Predicted target odds :

(A) Kent bat first :

(Day/Night Match)

330 1.1x
310 1.2x
290 1.4x
270 1.6x
250 2.1x
230 3.2x
210 4.2x
190 4.5x
170 6
*All are Kent odds.

So you can see 1.2x is absolute freelay if very good start or flying start provided Kent score not more than 310.
Predicted target odds is going to be very useful in first innings like if you see Kent can score 270 maximum and odds are going to be 1.6x for that then you can consider lay Kent 1.6x in middle overs as freelay.
Still set a stop loss is advised because any team can score 50 runs in last 3 overs and that can change odds dramatically.
Roughly plan is to lay Kent 1.4x in first 10 overs or back 2.5+
I will update again after 5 overs play and then post definative plan for 1st 15 overs.
Good luck.
..................
Hello,
We are covering this match for live cricket trading.

Please check back at start time which is 10:15 GMT on 16th August.
All the best.

Hampshire v Sussex - Pro 40 Div 1 - 13th August

2008-08-13T15:36:00.001+01:00

Hello,
Straight bet selection for this match :

Back Sussex 3 Points @1.67

(Available at most of the bookies.Obviously you can get better price at betfair.com)

All the best.
..................
P.S :

Kent v Essex - Friends Provident Trophy Final match we are covering for live cricket trading on 16th August.
Don't miss this cracker.
Good luck.

Kent v Leicestershire - Pro 40 Div 2 {Inplay}

2008-08-12T15:54:00.013+01:00

5th Update :

Kent taken 2 wickets in 1st 10 overs and score is 23
Odds 1.2
We got 1.8 on Kent due to possibility of D/L to play part because of rain.

Green up now and take equal green position on any result.

No plan to involve further as healthy profit is achieved and let's pray for completed match so that our profit become safe.

Good night and please leave some comments if you think it's worth.
Plan is to cover tomorrow's pro 40 match also.
All the best.
................
Update At Innings Break :

Kent 226/7 in 40 overs.
Odds Kent 1.49
Great 1st innings trading for us so i want to play safe in 2nd innings.
Plan is to wait for any selection 1.2x and then decide whether it is a freelay or not.
Although i'm leaving some plan but my advise is trade with small stakes at these odds :

1.Back Kent @1.8 whenever hit with stop loss 40 ticks means back Leicestershire 1.8 if Kent odds drift.
Let it run till 1.3x if stop loss not hit and green up that time.

2.Lay Kent @1.25 if comes upto 3 wickets but score 50+
Stop loss 7 ticks and green up at 1.5x if stop loss not hit.

Good luck.
Next update after 10 overs.
..................
Next update probably at last stage of 2nd innings in short odds.
Good luck.

...............
4th Update.............

Lent 130/4
Odds 1.70
Take equal profit from last trade (Lay Kent 200@1.45)
Next plan is :

1.Lay Kent 200@1.35 if comes with 8 ticks stop loss.
Green up above 15-20 ticks if stop loss not hit.
Gl
..................
3rd Update.............

Kent 68/3 in 16.3 overs.
Odds 1.61

Well good profit so far and i think it is very hard to get that easy opportunity again.
In 1st innings i love to lay batting team in short odds obviously strong prematch favourite team.
Though plan for remaining innings is same but don't forget to take stop loss if required with any specified trade.We are trading not gambling.
All the best.
................
2nd Update :

Kent 38/2 in 9th over.
Green up now and take equal green position on any result.
Next plan is :

1.Lay 200@1.45 Kent if comes again with stop loss 10 ticks.
Back plan 170@1.75

2.Back Kent 50@3 if comes anytime and let it run.

3.Lay Kent 300@1.25 if comes anytime with 7 ticks stop loss.
Green up whenever you get chance on above 20 ticks.
Gl
................
1st Update............

Kent batting first :

Plan is :

1.Lay Kent 200@1.32 if comes in 1st 10 overs with 7 ticks stop loss.
Back plan 100@1.55 and 110@1.75
Green up at 1.3x

2.Back Kent 100@1.8 if comes in 1st 20 overs upto 4 wickets with stop loss 40 ticks means back Leices 100@1.8 if Kent drift.
If stop loss not hit then green up at 1.3x

3.Lay Kent 200@1.45 if comes after 2 wickets in 1st 15 overs but runrate below 7
Green up above 40 ticks and stop loss 12 ticks.

Next update after 10 overs and I'll post other plan according to situation.

All the best.
.................
Hello and welcome to our coverage of county cricket limited overs matches.
Plan is to cover important county matches in this blog for live cricket trading regularly from now on along with straight bet selections.

Today's match is Kent v Leicestershire - Pro 40 Div 2 from 16:00 GMT.

Kent strong favourites at 1.38 presently.
Too short for a limited overs game imo especially against Leicestershire.

Leicestershire lost few matches in this tournament but from very little margin.

So i hope good trading opportunities inplay and lots of free lays especially if Kent bat first or chase small or big target.
..............
Please check back after sometime for 1st innings plan.
All the best.

England v South Africa ,4th Test

2008-08-06T20:14:00.001+01:00

Hello and welcome back.

This test match is going to start from tomorrow.Dead rubber and weather means draw heavy favourites but i don't think it will end as a draw.
But still i'm not laying draw because i may get 1.7x very early.
So wait and watch game.
We are covering this test in live trading room.We profited in 4 test matches in a row.
Although there were some losses also and when i carefully examined the results (2 main losses) i found :

1.Loss at value :

Well in 1st test of this series (Lord's) England were value at 1.5+ on day 4 but SA batted exceptionaly well.

2.Refusal of green up position :

In one match our book position was really good but we didn't green up at time and eventually loss in end because of unexpected result.
This was the first time when i think of let win trade run logic but it failed.
Frankly stop loss or let win trade run debate is always going to bother traders but imo try to take profit or cover liability whenever you get chance especially in a volatile market.

Anyway we bounced back very well after these defeats.
What we learn from loss is most important because that is the first step of profit.
Small consistent win are important than one big win followed by almost equal loss.

Now we've adopted a strict money management and i hope from that we may prevent big loss in future.
Also i noticed that we suffered loss mostly due to 4th innings trading.

Test matches are very good for trading in first 3 days or first 3 innings.
There is big chances of volatile market in 4th innings or last day of the match.
Let's hope enough lessons learnt and from that i can say we may not suffer any moderate loss in future fingers crossed.

If you want to join us in live trading room then visit tradeoncricket.com for details.

All the best.

Live Cricket

2008-08-06T15:44:00.001+01:00

Hi,

I've added a link on right side to view live cricket.
Most of the matches are going to shown here.
enjoy it.

Todays match is :

16:30GMT Warwickshire v Northamptonshire [Natwest Pro 40]

Test Matches Trading Update

2008-08-03T04:19:00.001+01:00

Well a very good result for us in live cricket trading room in England v South Africa ,3rd Test and touchwood India v Lanka match trading is also going very well.

England v South Africa ,3rd Test was real pleasure to watch and it was cricket who won in last.
It was the real test of nerves.
England fought back very well and at one stage they were looking most likely winners.

All three selection traded as odds on and 10+
I will post trades and P/L of this match later as last few days were very hectic.
..................

India v Sri Lanka ,2nd Test :

Match in very good situation now and any result is possible.
India lead by 237 runs and i think today on 4th day India 1.5 or below may prove good freelay till they bat and back Lanka 7+ is going to be a very good trading opportunity.

Weather is also a concern so if India bat well today then Draw may shorten significantly.

Good luck and all the best.

England v South Africa ,3rd Test - Trading Update

2008-08-01T05:20:00.001+01:00

Hello.

Test match in good shape now after day 2 and only weather can prevent result (as usual).

After 2 days trading our book position in live trading room :

Back Draw 50@3.50
Lay Draw 40@4
Lay SA 150@1.75
Back SA 150@2.24
Lay SA 100@1.65
Back 120@1.61 SA
Lay 300@1.45 SA
Back 200@1.58 SA
..............
Book position :

England +70
Draw +85
SA +53

................
South Africa score at stumps on day 2 is SA 256/6 (76.0 ov, MV Boucher 11*, AG Prince 37*, JM Anderson 1/64) - Stumps
.............
SA odds are 1.60
They lead by 25 runs and 4 wickets remaining.

Well i think if South Africa start well today then around 1.45-1.48 their price is going to be a good freelay for 10-15 overs and back England 7+ is going to be a good trading opportunity.

................
India v Sri Lanka ,2nd Test :
We involved minimum in this test so far because of weather,poor liquidity.
Although Draw traded at 2.2+ after reached to 1.4 due to rain delay.

I want to wait for any selection short odds and then probably involve if it looks as freelay in this test maybe on day 3 and onwards.

If you are trading on both test matches then good luck and all the best.

England v South Africa - 3rd Test & India v Sri Lanka - 2nd Test

2008-07-31T05:04:00.002+01:00

Hello ,

We are covering these test matches in live trading room.
If you want to join us then please visit

http://tradeoncricket.com

Thanks

Essex v Northamptonshire-Twenty20 Cup 1/4 Final :7th July

2008-07-07T18:15:00.007+01:00

Update..........

Essex won the match 59 runs.
Easy win for us.
We are up several points so far in straight bet selections and touchwood it continue in same way.

Another good news and that is we've reduced monthly fee for live cricket trading service.
You can join now for only £11 per month fee.
In this you will get most of the inplay test matches advise and important ODI's.

Fingers crossed test match cricket is the easiest sport event to trade on in the world of sports imho.
You can get more details on how to join live trading service at http://tradeoncricket.com
All the best.

P.S :
We are covering England v South Africa ,1st Test from 10th July onwards for live cricket trading.

.....................
Hello and welcome back.
Durham match abandoned due to rain.
For this match our selection is Essex.
Back Essex 3 points @1.74
Good luck.

Essex v Yorkshire ,Friends Provident Trophy -5th July

2008-07-05T11:08:00.003+01:00

Update 5:30 PM
......................

Yorkshire 170/6 while chasing 286.
Essex 1.01 now.
Good profit today and my advise is if you are watching this post then green up now although it was a straight bet but it is always sensible to green up at these odds.
All the best.
.................
Welcome back.
For this Friends Provident Trophy semifinal our straight bet selection is Essex.

Back Essex 5 points @1.71

All the best.

2020 Cup -26th June Selections

2008-06-26T15:21:00.002+01:00

Hello and welcome back.

Another good day for 2020 cup straight selections as well as in live trading room England v New Zealand ,4th ODI trading.
Big profit in 4th ODI and imo there were 17 flipflops in entire match.
2020 cup straight bet selections won 4 Points for us.

.............
Today's selections :

By mistake i've posted Yorkshire v Leicestershire match in yesterday's list.
So much cricket from last 2-3 month that we get confused all the time.
Anyway i'm posting it again along with other selection :

1.Northamptonshire v Somerset:
Back Northampton 5 points @1.72

2.Yorkshire v Leicestershire :

Back York 4 points at 1.5

Good luck.

2020 Cup- 25th June Selections & England v New Zealand 4th ODI

2008-06-25T08:05:00.002+01:00

Good morning.
What a great Tuesday !
Our 4 straight bet selections won yesterday out of 5.

I hope excellent profit taken yesterday as we are up +5.5 points.
Only Northants which were short odds favourites disappointed but i think overall great result.
...............
25th June selections :

Well i'll post it after sometime as i'm searching for prices.

.................
England v New Zealand ,4th ODI

We are covering it for live cricket trading.
If you want to join us then go to live trading site http://tradeonsports.forumotion.com

And yes it is free!
Good luck.

.................
Update :
Today's selections :

1.Lancashire v Nottinghamshire :
Back Lanca 3 points @1.66

2.Hampshire v Essex :
Back Essex 5 points @1.83

3.Derbyshire v Durham :
Back Durham 5 points @1.5

4.Yorkshire v Leicestershire :
Back York 4 points @1.5

*All prices from stanjames.com
Obviously you can get better prices at betfair.com

All the best.

2020 Cup -24th June Selections & Live Cricket Trading

2008-06-24T11:02:00.001+01:00

Welcome back.
Our single selection Hampshire won easily yesterday.
Sometime i think some matches are very good for straight bet rather than inplay trading.

Today's selections are :

1.Worcestershire v Northamptonshire-
Back Northampton 5 points @ 1.64

2.Durham v Yorkshire-
Back Durham 4 points @1.7

3.Essex v Sussex -
Back Essex 3 points @1.8

4.Warwickshire v Somerset-
Back Waswic 2 points @1.9

5.Leicestershire v Nottinghamshire-
Back Leics 2 points @2.75

*Average odds from different sites including exchanges.
................

Australia v West Indies ,1st ODI :

This match is also today and we are covering this match in live trading room.
If you want to join us then you can register free at

http://tradeonsports.forumotion.com

All the best.
Dip

2020 Cup :23rd June Selections

2008-06-23T18:37:00.001+01:00

Today i've selected only 1 Selection out of 2 and that is Hampshire.

Hampshire v Surrey

Back Hampshire 4 points @1.62 at stanjames.com or betfair.com
Match is going to start soon.
All the best.

Australia v West Indies,Only 2020 -20th June {Inplay}

2008-06-20T18:43:00.001+01:00

1st Update :
Due to rain it's 11/11 overs match now which is very hard to predict.
So no plan to trade in this match.
Good luck.
..............
Welcome back.
Waiting for toss news and then i will post 1st innings plan.
All the best.

Twenty20 Cup : Straight Selections For 20th June & Australia v West Indies Twenty20

2008-06-20T13:10:00.001+01:00

Welcome back.
Our selections performed very well yesterday and around 3.3 points profit overall.
.............
Today selections :

7 matches today but i've selected 4 from them.

1.Somerset v Glouces :
Back Somerset 4 Points at 1.69

2.Lancashire v Yorkshire :
Back Lancashire 5 Points at 1.8

3.Glamorgan v Northants :
Back Northants 3 Points at 1.68

4.Kent v Middlesex :
Back Middlesex 2 Points at 2.24

(All prices from betfair.com)
..............
P.S :
There is Australia v West Indies 2020 match also.I'll try to cover that for live trading.So please check again around start time.
Comments most welcome.
Thanks

Twenty20 Cup ,19th June Selections & One Day Internationals

2008-06-19T12:01:00.001+01:00

Twenty20 Cup ,19th June Selections & One Day Internationals

These are our straight bet selections for today :

1.Middlesex v Sussex

Back Middlesex 3 Points @1.66

2.Northants v Warwicks

Back Northants 2 Points @1.68

3.Notts v Leics

Back Leics 1 Point @2.6

4.Worcs v Somerset

Back Somerset 5 Points @1.86

(all prices from betfair.com)

................
We are covering England v New Zealand and Australia v West Indies ODI's free of charge as a promotional scheme in live trading room.

So if you want to follow these matches then register for free at http://tradeonsports.forumotion.com/portal.htm

All the best.
Dip

Friends Provident Trophy Selections For Quarter Finals , 4th June

2008-06-04T09:05:00.002+01:00

Here are our selections :

1.Durham v Nottinghamshire at Chester-le-Street

Back Durham 4 Point
@1.66

2.Gloucestershire v Yorkshire at Bristol

Back Gloucestershire 1 Point @1.83

3.Kent v Somerset at Canterbury

Back Kent 2 Point @1.72

4.Leicestershire v Essex at Leicester

Back Leicestershire 2 Point @2 *(You can get better prices at betfair but that depends on liquidity.So try 1st at betfair for better price.These prices are presently available at stanjames.com)
..................

Unfortunately we are not covering any match for live cricket trading due to some unavoidable circumstances.

England v New Zealand ,3rd Test match starting from tomorrow and we are covering that match for live trading.So if you want to join then please check details at tradeoncricket.com

All the best.
Dip

Friends Provident Trophy : June 4, 2008

2008-06-03T09:45:00.000+01:00

Hello and welcome to our coverage of Friends Provident Trophy matches.
4 matches tomorrow and we are going to cover 1 televised match for live cricket trading and straight bet selections in other three.
Straight bet selection is going to be on point basis from 1-5

5 point selection is for strong recommendation or maximum stake.

1 point means small stake.

So please check back after some time for straight bet selections as we are presently analysing each match.
Good luck.
..............
P.S :
We are covering England v New Zealand ,3rd Test which will start from 5th June in live cricket trading room.
If you want to join that then please read details at tradeoncricket.com

IPL Final : Chennai v Jaipur ,1st June {Inplay}

2008-06-01T14:27:00.012+01:00

Last update :

Rajasthan 142/7 in 18th over.
Great match for us.
Plenty of flip flops in match so far.
Anyone can win from now on.
No bet time because volatile market expected on any run and wicket.
My advise is take all green position.
Good night to all.
Waiting for your comments.

..............
Rajasthan 77/3
Chennai 1.78
Last trade was back Chennai @1.8
I want to trade out now because required runs are not too many.

Next plan is to lay any team around 1.35 if comes with stop loss 15 ticks.
Gl
................
5th Update :
Rajasthan 42/3
We are in good profit now so no need to involve further.
But if you want to trade further then lay Chennai 1.2x or back 1.8x if comes upto 15 overs.
All the best.

................
Rajasthan 27/1 in 4 overs.
Plan is :
1.Back Chennai 2.06 now and back 2.6 if comes upto 10 overs.
Gl
............
3rd Update :

1st innings plans gone well and let's face 2nd innings now.
Chennai 163/5 in 20 overs.
Plan is to lay any team at 1.35 with stop loss 12 ticks in first 10 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Gl

..............
2nd Update :
Chennai 130/4 in 17 overs.
Back Rajasthan at decent odds in remaining 3 overs.
Gl
..............
1st Update :
Chennai batting first and score is 51/1 in 7 overs.
Plan is :
1.Back Rajasthan 2.1 if comes with stop loss 15 ticks.
2.Lay Rajasthan 1.3x if comes.Stop loss at innings break.
Take profit whenever you get chance on trades.
Gl

................
Hello and welcome to IPL final live cricket trading.
Jaipur favourites at 1.69 presently.
...............
Jaipur a good lay in present odds because if they bat first price may drift to 1.8x after toss.
So we can take small profit prematch.
Although if Chennai bat first price may drop to 1.60 but i'm ready to take this risk.
................
So plan is lay Jaipur now and then :

1.Let it run if Jaipur bat first with back plan 60% at evens.
Stop loss 15 ticks.
Take profit gradually if you get chance.

2.If Chennai bat first then also let it run.
Stop loss 20 ticks and back plan 110% above 15-20 ticks.
Mumbai pitch is not easy to bat on so i want to go with bowling team in start.
Good luck.

IPL : Punjab v Chennai -2nd Semifinal, 31st May {Inplay}

2008-05-31T09:44:00.006+01:00

3rd Update :
Chennai 15/1 in 3rd over.
Last lay gone well.Infact last 2 low odds performed very well.
Plan is to lay again at 1.05 if comes in next 5 overs.
Gl
............
2nd update :
Punjab 112/8 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.12
Well plan is:
1.Lay Chennai 1.05 if comes in 1st 5 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Gl
..............
1st Update :
Punjab batting first and score is 71/7 in 16th over.
Odds Chennai 1.07 as favourites.
Imo a good lay because even at score 90 we may get 1.06 to back.
So lay now with back plan all at 1.14
Good luck.
...............
Hello and welcome to 2nd semifinal trading strategy for 1st innings.
I always believe that the matches in which one team is strong favourites prematch proves very good for trading in any format of the game if there is not much difference in the teams.Even in these matches i prefer strong team to bat first for free lays.
Why ?
Answer is simple.Let's look at the odds for this match.Punjab favourites at 1.56 presently.If they bat first and flying start then odds may shorten to 1.3x quickly which is going to be a free lay for 5 overs atleast and we can trade out at same odds after some time if no profit from trade but if wickets or some tight overs then we can take profit quickly.

Later on if they continue to bat well then we may see 1.1x around 15 overs onwards which is going to be a another good free lay.
...............
Yesterday in 1st semifinal i predicted 1.5x odds on 200 score (Rajasthan batting first) and it was almost same (192 score and Rajasthan traded at 1.64 at innings break).So Rajasthan at 1.4x/1.5x was a good free lay in that match which has very little downward possible movement.
..................
So plan for 1st innings is :

(A) If Punjab bat first :

(2 Free lays expected.First in 1-10 overs and another one in 11-20 overs).

1.Lay Punjab 1.35 if comes in 1st 10 overs with back plan all above 20-30 ticks.
Trade out at same odds or take stop loss 6-8 ticks after sometime.
2.Lay Punjab 1.15 or below if comes around 13-17 overs (consider lay 1.2x if comes after 3 wickets and runrate below 9).Take profit or trade out after sometime.

*Try to repeat trades.Like lay 1.3x and back 1.5x again if 1st trade gone successful.

These are going to be free lays which depends on good start by Punjab.But if bad start then plan is :

3.Back Punjab 2+ if comes in 1st 5 overs with 30 ticks stop loss.Take profit whenever you get chance.

4.Lay Chennai around 1.45 if come anytime upto 4 wickets but score 70+ with stop loss 12 ticks and take profit whenever you get chance.
....................
(B) If Chennai bat first :

This one is interesting because instead of free lay we may find free back in Punjab odds if Chennai start well.

1.Back Punjab 1.8 and then 2.2 if comes in 1st 10 overs.Imo upto 180 score odds are going to be evens at innings break and i don't think Chennai is capable to score 180+.So it may prove safe trade although my advise is to take stop loss or trade out at same odds around 10th over if Chennai continue to bat well because anything is possible in cricket.

2.Lay Chennai 1.6x if comes in 13-17 overs as free lay.Take profit whenever you get chance and stop loss 16 ticks.

Again these trades depends on good start by Chennai.But if bad start then plan is :

3.Lay Punjab 1.2x if comes in 1st 10 overs upto 2 wickets.Take profit whenever you get chance and stop loss 8 ticks.

4.Lay Punjab 1.2-1.3 in middle overs if score 70+ after 3 wickets.Like score 70/3 in 12 overs.Reason for this trade is that Chennai middle order is strong than top order.Consider stop loss 6-8 ticks and take profit whenever you get chance.

So we have plans for each situation (good or bad start) anyone bat first.

I will post update inplay.
All the best and good luck.
.................

P.S :
We are trying to cover some county (domestic) matches.That includes Friends Provident Trophy,Pro40 and other matches after IPL in this blog.

Australia v West Indies Test match we are covering in live trading room.If you want to join then please see details at tradeoncricket.com

Any comments/suggestion most welcome.
Thanks for reading.

IPL : Delhi v Jaipur -1st Semifinal {Inplay}

2008-05-30T11:45:00.003+01:00

2nd Update :
Rajasthan 192/9 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.64
Profit from last trade also.
Always remember free lays pays most of the time.
Now plan for chase is :
1.Lay Delhi 1.36 if comes in 1st 10 overs as free lay.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Stop loss >8 ticks.

2.Lay Rajasthan 1.16 if comes in 1st 5 overs as free lay.Back plan 80% at 1.3x stop loss after 10 overs.
Gl
...............
1st Update :
Rajasthan 88/3 in 11th over.
Well our first 10 overs trading gone well thanks to 3 quick wickets.
Now plan is to lay Rajasthan 1.4x/1.5x if comes in next 2-3 overs with same back and stop loss plan.
Gl
..................
Hello and welcome to all.
Match will start from 14:30 GMT.
...............
Rajasthan favourites at 1.79 presently.
Well before start i want to mention strategy in brief for 1st innings.
(A) If Rajasthan bat first :

Delhi batting lineup is very strong on paper.So market is going to offer good odds on Rajasthan even on 200 score (around 1.4x-1.5x).
So if good start by Rajasthan and you find there odds shorten to 1.7x in start ,lay that as free lay for 4-5 overs with back plan all above 30-40 ticks or take all green position whenever you get chance.Stop loss or trade out at same odds around 11-12 overs at 1.6x-1.7x.
If Rajasthan continue to bat well then consider lay 1.4x-1.5x around 13-14th over as absolute free lay with same back plan and stop loss or trade out around 17-18 over on +-10 ticks if it looks they are heading for 210+.

Here i want to mention that on any free lay if no profit in 4-5 overs then try to trade out at +-5 ticks.
If bad start by Rajasthan then lay Delhi around 1.3x if comes in start upto 2 wickets with back plan all above 20-30 ticks.Try to repeat these trades.
.................
(B) If Delhi bat first :
After toss Rajasthan may cut around 1.6x if Delhi bat first.Small lay Rajasthan in start because on a good start we may see evens quickly.
Other plan is same like Rajasthan innings.
Try to lay Delhi 1.5x if comes in first 10 overs as free lay for 4-5 overs after flying start with same back plan and stop loss or trade out plan.
If Delhi continue to bat well then consider lay Delhi 1.3x as absolute free lay around 11-12 overs.
Back plan and stop loss or trade out plan is same.
If bad start by Delhi then consider lay Rajasthan around 1.3x in start upto 2 wickets.
.................
I hope this strategy may help you in first innings though i will post updates inplay.
All the best.
...............
Australia v West Indies ,2nd Test will also start from today.
If you want to join us for live trading then please check details at tradeoncricket.com
Thank you.

IPL : Punjab v Rajasthan {Inplay}

2008-05-28T15:30:00.002+01:00

2nd Update :
Punjab 221/3 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.14
Looking another one sided match but you never know.
Anyway plan for chase is :

1.Back Punjab
20@1.3
30@1.6
if comes in 1st 8 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.Stop loss> well at this score odds may stay around 1.7 highest in 1st 10-12 overs.So try to run these back for some overs because wickets and run both will hold price.But if it seems that Rajasthan can win like score 110/1 in 9 overs then try to trade out with minimum loss around 11-12 overs.
Gl

..............
1st Update :
Punjab 74/0 in 8th over.
Plan is lay Punjab 200@1.21 if comes in remaining innings as free lay because imo upto 210 score we may get 1.18 to back.So very low risk lay if comes.Take profit whenever you get chance on above 15-20 ticks and stop loss at innings break on available odds.

All the best.
................
Welcome back.
Punjab batting first.
1st 8 overs plan is to lay Punjab 100@1.45 if comes with 8 ticks stop loss.Back plan 70% at 1.7x
Gl

IPL :Mumbai v Banglore :28th May {Inplay}

2008-05-28T07:25:00.006+01:00

3rd Update :
Banglore 122/9 in 18 overs.
Odds 1.14
Match is over unless any dramatic collapse.
Wait for 2 wickets in start then consider lay at 200@1.05 with back plan all above 8-10 ticks.Trade out if no profit in 2-3 overs.
Gl
..................
Banglore batting first and 18 over per side match is expected.
Mumbai favourites at 1.43 presently.
Only few plans for 1st innings :

1.Back 50@1.7 Mumbai if comes and if odds drift then back 50@2.2.Take profit whenever you get chance but more on Mumbai.Stop loss at innings break at available odds.

2.Lay 100@1.17 Mumbai if comes in 1st 8 overs with stop loss 4 ticks.Back plan 120% at 1.3x
Good luck.
...................
2nd Update :

There is some chance of play today as rain stopped now.
So please stay and wait for update if game start.
Thank you.
..................
1st Update :
Bad news because chances of play is very less due to rain.
So please join us again for next game of the day which is Punjab v Rajasthan
at 14:30 GMT.
Till then good bye.
...............
Hello and welcome to Mumbai v Banglore live cricket trading.
Two last group matches today.
1st is this one and will start from 10:30 GMT.
.................
So please join us before start of the match.Yesterday we traded Chennai v Deccan match.Game died at early stage so there were few trading opportunities but we find two good free lays one in each innings and i hope small profit taken from both.
Chennai 1.3x in 1st innings and 1.2x in 2nd innings were good and safe free lays.
Let's try to find free lays in this match also as well as some trading opportunities for quick trade.
Good luck.
Waiting for your comments/suggestions and feedback.

IPL : Chennai v Deccan, 27th May {Inplay}

2008-05-27T15:11:00.004+01:00

3rd Update :
Deccan 147/8 in 20 overs.
Odds Chennai 1.39
Plan is to wait for Chennai 1.2x or 2.2x
1.Lay Chennai 200@1.23 if comes in 1st 5 overs with stop loss 6 ticks and back plan 90% above 15-20 ticks.
2.Back Chennai 50@2.2 if comes in first 10 overs upto 3 wicket but score 50+ with stop loss 30 ticks.Take profit whenever you get chance on 30-40 ticks.
Gl
.................
2nd Update :
Deccan 44/2 in 8th over.
Odds Chennai 1.39

Strange odds frankly.
Let last trade run as per plan.
Plan for remaining innings is :
Back Chennai 100@1.8 if comes with stop loss 30 ticks.
Gl
................
1st Update :

Early update because i forget to post plan to lay Chennai also at 1.3x which is also safe in starting overs mainly due to Chennai SP.

Lay Chennai 100@1.32 (i prefer small stake to lay bowling team) if comes upto 2 wickets like score 30/2 with back plan 80% at 1.5x
Strict stop loss 8 ticks.
Gl
.................
Hello and good morning,afternoon,evening wherever you are.
Deccan batting first and odds presently :
Chennai 1.74
................
Well what i learn so far from IPL is don't involve untill first 7-8 overs of 1st innings. Only in 1 condition consider entry if batting team odds available at 1.3x to lay.

So plan for 1st 8 overs is lay Deccan 200@1.35 if comes with back plan 110% at 1.5x and stop loss 8 ticks.
.................
I will update plans for remaining innings around 8th over.
Good luck.

IPL : Remaining Matches (May, 27 Onwards)

2008-05-27T10:27:00.000+01:00

Hello and welcome back.
We are covering some remaining matches of IPL for live cricket trading on this blog.
Test matches and ODI's are in premium package of live cricket trading room and we covered some IPL matches for free in that also.
Today's match is Chennai v Deccan at 14:30 GMT.So please join us at that time for live trading.
Cheers.
Dip

IPL : Delhi v Punjab ,27th April - Preview & Plan

2008-04-27T08:55:00.004+01:00

Hello and welcome back.

We are offering free service till 14th May at live trading room.
Details can be found here http://tradeoncricket.com/

Also we are posting preview and plan of most of the matches.

It can be found daily at Pete's blog http://tradeonsports.blogspot.com/ along with excellent football predictions by

Pete and sometimes here also.
...........................................

Delhi v Punjab:

(11:30 GMT)
Venue :
Punjab Cricket Association Stadium, Mohali, Chandigarh
................
Delhi unbeaten so far from 2 games while Punjab won one game from three.
Delhi mainly dependent on their openers and on their day they can be unstoppable but if they fail then there is no depth in batting.Punjab more balance side than Delhi.
Overall Delhi is team who can win by 9 wickets or lose by 9 wickets.

Main points:
1.Ground/pitch:
Batting pitch and high scoring match is expected.Toss winner may prefer to bat first.

2.Teams :

>Delhi
Key players are Sehwag , Gambhir , S Malik , D L Vettori and Mcgrath
Team don't have batting depth so they may struggle if bad start.

>Punjab

Yuvraj , Jayawardene , B Lee , JR Hopes and Sangakkara are key players.
Balanced team and batting depth.
B Lee can destroy any team top batting order.

3.Early prices and market mood.

Punjab slightly favourites at 1.98 presently.

(Delhi now @1.89 during typing)
Punjab playing at home ground and no doubt more balanced team than Delhi.

Roughly no clear cut favourites.
.................

Strategy for match:

We traded 2 games yesterday.
1st match plan gone well but not in 2nd match.
But i hope profit in 1st match is more than 2nd match loss because quick stop loss is taken in 2nd match.
Main winning strategy done well in 1st match and our focus will be more on that in remaining matches.
.................

Predicted target odds & 1st innings plan:

(A) If Delhi bat first:

230 1.1x
210 1.4x
190 Evens
170 2.5x
150 3.8x
130 6.2x
110 15
*All are Delhi odds.

Plan If Delhi bat first:

1.Lay Delhi 200@1.6x (consider 1.8x after Sehwag wicket) if comes in 1st 10 overs as free lay.
Stop loss:
Strict stop loss @1.48 because Sehwag and Gambhir explosive batting can start 1.01 train.
If stop loss does not hit then let it run and green up last.

2.Back Punjab 100@2+ if comes in first 10 overs after 2 wickets.Consider back Punjab 1.7+ if bad start and 2 wickets and Sehwag wicket in that if comes in 1st 10 overs.
Back 100 more if odds lengthen to 2.2-2.4

Stop loss : 2.9 Punjab
Let it run for some time if stop loss does not hit and green up at low odds.

3.Lay Delhi 200@1.2x if comes anytime in 1st innings.
Stop loss at available odds in innings break and take profit or back 120% above 20-30 ticks.

(Summary is if bad start then back Punjab at decent odds and if very good start then lay Delhi in low odds and green up if stop loss does not hit).
...................

(B) If Punjab bat first:

230 1.1x
210 1.4x
190 1.8x
170 2.6x
150 4.8x
130 8.2x
110 20
*All are Punjab odds.

Plan If Punjab bat first:

1.Lay Punjab
100@1.7x
100@1.4x
If comes in 1st 10 overs.
Stop loss at 12-15 overs at 1.4x-1.5x and take equal profit whenever you get chance.
Try to repeat this trade.

3.Lay Delhi 100@1.6x if comes upto 2 wickets but score 60+ in first 10 overs.
Stop loss 12 ticks and let it run if stop loss does not hit for some long and then green up.

4.Lay Punjab 200@1.5x if comes after 3 wickets in 12-15 overs and runrate below 10 with stop loss 12 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.
...............
Summary:

It is going to be contest between

Sehwag and B Lee

Sangakkara and Mcgrath

This contest winner's team is going to be most likely winner.

No straight bet advise because difficult to predict winner.

All the best.
Dip

IPL Twenty20 Tournament : Strategy & Some General Points

2008-04-18T10:33:00.002+01:00

Hello and welcome back.
Long time since last post but I'll try now to be regular.
Big tournament ahead so i want to post something on it.

....................................

Main matches in which good free lays and excellent trading opportunities is expected :
First I'm taking 2nd innings opportunities:
1.High chase (170-210) :(A) Batting team low odds (1.2-1.4) to lay around 7-10 overs if they start well.(B) Bowling team low odds (1.1-1.3) to lay if early wickets.
2.Low chase (110-140) :(A) Batting team low odds (1.0x-1.2) to lay around 2-5 overs if they start well.(B) Batting team high odds odds ( 1.6-1.8 ) to back if early wickets.
1st innings:
(A)Flying start by batting team : Batting team low odds (1.3-1.5) around 3-7 overs to lay.
(B) Bowling team low odds (1.3-1.5) to lay if early wickets in first 10 overs (as mentioned earlier wickets are of less importance in this format and collapse generally not seen because 11 batsman are there to play only 20 overs).
>Those matches are very good for trading in which one team is strong favourite prematch around 1.4x-1.6xBecause there odds shorten rapidly after good start either batting first or bowling first and in this format of cricket every team has equal chance to win.
..............................................
Some general points to consider while laying low odds:
*Wickets are of less importance so we can consider lay bowling team on wickets @1.3x in first 10 overs.*Any 1.2x if comes early is proved a good lay if both are good teams because only one good over can change the odds
............................................
Predicted target odds
It is not easy to predict in starting matches because all teams are new but imo odds are going to be around evens on 160 score if almost equal teams are playing (In recently played ICL it was very difficult to predict because big difference in teams ,like for 180 odds was 1.1x at innings break where is in last Twenty20 world cup it was around 1.5x because all teams played in that tournament was quality teams >full strength team from test playing nations).
Main points for predicted target odds:
>Pitch type.
>Ground size and history (high scoring or low scoring ground).
>Market mood (heavily favouring one team or not).
>Home or away team.
>Both team batting & bowling strength.
>Both team records against each other.
>Day/Night effect on matches specially in chase and due factor.
...............................
I want to mention here that first week matches are for small stake trading and to make a strategy for next matches.
Because in every team there are unknown players.
So Predicted target odds is difficult to predict in early matches like for tomorrow match i don't have fair idea about odds on score 170 if Kolkata bat first (is it going to be 1.7x or 1.4x and even 1.2x is possible).
........................................
Volatile market strategy:
Possibility of volatile market in each match.
Best it to avoid trading at that time but if you want to trade at that time small lay anyteam 1.2x or below.
Why:
Market is volatile because odds are changing rapidly on wickets and runs means short odds are lengthening and long odds are becoming short.
So there are three benefits of this strategy:
First benefit is if that trade goes against use then loss in minimum because we layed short odds.
Second is big profit is expected every time and the third one and most important is you can close that trade easily anytime like if you layed 100@1.22 then chances of back at 1.14-1.18 is there everytime...............
Apart from this always try to go with bowl team in tense situation at 7+ or lay bat team at 1.1x.
.......................................................
When to lay:
Most important point because this creates the difference between mug punting and smart trading.Always try to take momentum odds i.e after boundaries or wickets.
1st Innings:
1.Batting team after flying start in low odds in 1st 5 overs or after 4-5 wickets in low odds in middle overs.
2.Bowling team upto 3 wickets in low odds in 1st 10 overs.
Second innings:
1.Low chase :
wait for batting team 1.0x after 2 wickets because even after 2 wickets odds are same as start but chances of drift is more after 2 wickets.
2.High chase :
Wait for batting team in low odds if good start.
....................................

Random general tips:
>While Laying bowling team 1.2x:Consider who is coming next or whether big hitter batsman are remaining or not .
>Wait for anyteam 1.3x is best policy in Twenty20.
>Spin bowling around 10-15 overs is crucial in both innings.So teams having good spinners are backable at that time.
>Chasing :60 runs in 6 overs looks big but 40 in 3 doesn't looks big if wickets in hand so can consider lay bowling team 1.1x in this situation.
>Batting team 1.0x-1.2x odds in chase is going to be very good trading opportunity specially after 3 wickets and 90+ runs required at 8+ runrate because at this runrate it is not easy to score in any format of the game or i can say should not be a 1.1x call.
>Selective trading in selective matches is best for long term.
>Advance lay/back plan with stop loss is must because there is generally no win trade is seen in Twenty20 matches and few ticks profit on each side is going to be main strategy.More profit on favourite team is considerable.
..................................................
Advance lay/back plans and stop loss:
Other important point or most important aspect of trading specially in limited overs game. It is human tendency that we all close win trade early and let lose trade run long. Like if layed at 1.2 then back at 1.3 or 1.4 but if it goes against us then wait for miracle. Common problem with everyone and i think solution for this is mechanical trading (frankly from my personal experience there is loss whenever i deviated from it or very small profit instead of good plan). So always follow advance lay/back plans with strict stop loss and it is the way for success in long run.

For example if any team batting first in a Twenty20 match has a flying start and the odds are 1.4x in 4th over. As per plan we layed that team for 200@1.44, now back plan is important. Suppose after 1st wickets odds reached to 1.6x then it is sensible to back 120% or 240@1.62 because in Twenty20 wickets are of less importance than in any other format of the game .For this place advance back trade of 240@1.62 is required because odds changes within seconds to 1.5x (some time without a ball been bowled) and then try to lay/back 1.4x-1.6x again.

*Also take stop loss if required, suppose if set at 6-8 ticks is must when trade looking to going against us (we've seen in recent ICL matches Lahore odds shorten to 1.0x within few overs in start) .

So back plan may be to back 80% at above 20-25 ticks (take early profit) or back 120% at above 20-25 ticks and try to repeat that.
......................................................
DON'T's In Twenty20 Trading
Please avoid these situations which can lead to poor house:
1.Never back short odds at anytime of match (1.0x to 1.3x) .
2.Don't allow lose trade to run long.
3.Avoid over trading and over staking.
4.Don't chase losses.

Please visit regular for preview and strategy for matches.
Thanks for visit.
All the best and good luck to all.

Trade On Cricket 14 day Trial for 99p

2008-03-25T09:08:00.003Z

We are pleased to say that we are now in a position to let prospective members trial our service for 14 days for 0.99 pence.

further details can be found at http://tradeoncricket.com

1st Calendar Month:Live Cricket Trading Room Result

2008-02-16T08:11:00.001Z

Hello and welcome back.
Apologies for lack of updates nowdays but as you can see there is very hectic schedule in february.
Prepared 2 posts on cricket trading and i'll try my best to post them in a day or two.
................
Well our 1st calendar month is almost complete and i'm posting P/L of the live cricket trading room.

Profit since start: +£342.2
Profit in February: +£161.90
We are using £2 a tick as a parameter for P/L.

England v New Zealand,2nd T20-Preview

2008-02-07T05:30:00.001Z

Hello and welcome to 2nd T20 match preview.
England won 1st match comprehensively and absence of Jacob Oram who only shown some resistance with bat make England task more easy this time so there odds are so short (1.60).
It is very good from trading point of view.Let me explain why:
Twenty20 is the shortest format of the game in which only one over,one player can decide the outcome.No doubt England has upper hand and not easy to oppose prematch.
Just see my predict target odds for this match:
(A)If England bat first:
210 1.1x
190 1.3x
170 1.7x
150 Evens
130 2.8x
*all are England odds.
(A)If New Zealand bat first:
210 1.3x
190 1.7x
170 evens
150 2.8x
130 4.2x
*all are New Zealand odds.
You can see dramatic change in odds on 20 runs.That's why as i said only one over can decide the outcome.
Anyway from trading point of view this match may prove even more better if England bat first.England odds around 1.3-1.4 may prove free lay of the match in start if England bat first.
Good luck to all.

Live Cricket Schedule

2008-01-29T15:47:00.001Z

Hello and welcome back.
Busy schedule for february.Almost daily 1 or 2 matches,mostly limited overs cricket.
Biggest series in month of february is Commonwealth Bank Series in Australia,which will strat from 3rd.Teams are Australia,India and Sri Lanka.
By recent test series we can say Aussies are beatable at home in test matches.
Let's hope some close games in this series (limited overs) also from trading point of view.
Anyway most of the games of this series we are going to cover in live trading room along with some other matches.

Please see schedule for next 2 weeks cricket to be covered in the live trading room.
Wed 30 Jan Pakistan v Zimbabwe 4th ODI 0600GMT
Fri 01 Feb Australia v India T20/20 0830 GMT
Fri 01 Feb South Africa v West Indies 4th ODI 1230 GMT
Sun 03 Feb Australia v India ODI 0315 GMT (Live Trading 2nd Innings only
> 0700 GMT) 1st innings plan in advance.
Sun 03 Feb South Africa v West Indies 5th ODI 0800 GMT
Tue 05 Feb Sri Lanka v India ODI 0315 GMT (Live Trading 2nd Innings only
> 0700 GMT) 1st innings plan in advance.
Fri 08 Feb Australia v Sri Lanka ODI 0315 GMT (Live Trading 2nd Innings only
> 0700 GMT) 1st innings plan in advance.
Sun 10 Feb Australia v India ODI 0315 GMT (Live Trading 2nd Innings only
> 0700 GMT) 1st innings plan in advance.
As you can see from the blog http://trasdeoncricket.blogspot.com we have started with £144.85 profit from 3 ODIs and 1 Test Match (£2 a tick stake).
If you would like to join go to http://tradeoncricket.com and register your interest. Membership lasts a calendar month from when you join and you can join at any time.
I will post plan for triangular series and T20 match on thursday.
All the best.

Australia v India 4th Test,Preview & Plan

2008-01-23T18:38:00.000Z

Hello and welcome back.Match scheduled to begin at 00:30 GMT at Adelaide, Jan 24, 2008
Ground history:No doubt in favour of Australia.
Key points are:
1.Weather: Seems O.K but some chances of rain on last 2 days.
( http://weather.yahoo.com/forecast/ASXX0001_c.html )
2.Teams: Hayden is back for Australia and Jaffer may not play and Harbhajan most likely to replace him.
Plan:
>Current odds are Aus 2.0 as favourites,Draw 2.5 and India 9.
It looks like that because of flat pitch prediction,India batting strength and Australia defeat in last test Draw is so short.
Although last 10 Test matches shows 90% result (8 home and 1 away) at this venue and only 10% or 1 Draw.
Anyway plan for 1st day is:

(A)If India bat first:
1.Back Aus at 2.0 in start (small) and back some more if odds drifts to 2.6+ and wait.
2.Lay Australia 1.4x or below if comes before lunch.
3.Back Draw 5.5+ if comes before lunch and 6+ anytime on day 1 (not after batting collapse like if you see collapse in start then wait till tea).
4.Lay Draw 1.7x or below before lunch.
5.India odds:better leave it.
(B)If Australia bat first:
1.Back Aus 3.0+ before lunch.
2.Lay Australia 1.7x or below.
3.Back Draw 4+ if comes before lunch and 5+ anytime on day 1.
4.Lay Draw 1.8x or below before lunch and 1.5x anytime.
5.India odds: Back India 18+ if comes in start and lay 3.5 or below anytime.
............

Please visit live trading room for inplay post.
All the best.

Trading Highlights And Feedback From Members Of The Live Cricket Trading Room

2008-01-22T10:35:00.000Z

Hello again,

Here is some of the feedback from our members after South Africa v West Indies,1st ODI :

‘Like to say well done on the first "official" day for the live trading room. Augurs well for a profitable season‘.
Boycee

’Layed SA at 8 for 2 at 1.26 to 1.21Could have greened up on Kallis dismissal, got distracted by weather and DLA few quiet overs and 4th wicket enabled a 2.04 back(only layed 30 quid, came out with 13 profit)Hardly Vegas but exactly the start I was looking forThank you and best regards’
Jon

‘Was not around today to be able to trade but it look's like it was a great start to the cricket trading.Nice work Dip‘.
sback

From:

http://tradeonsports.forumotion.com/portal.htm

...................................

Trading Highlights,1st ODI:

For our P+L we will always quote £2 a tick

1st Advice Lay South Africa @ 1.15 (Stop loss 4-6) ticks Lost Lay £200 South Africa @ 1.15 Back South Africa £211 @ 1.09 Red Up -£11:00

2nd Advice Lay South Africa @ 1.08 Back @ 1.4 came after fall of 2nd South Africa wicket. Lay £200 South Africa @ 1.08 Back South Africa £154.3 @ 1.40 Green Up +£45.71Running Total +£34.71

3rd Advice Lay South Africa @ 1.20 3rd wicket fell odds moved to 2.10 Lay £200 South Africa @ 1.20 Back South Africa £120 @ 2.00 Green Up +£80.00Running Total +£114.71

4th Advice (For further interest only) Lay South Africa @ 1.06 price reached 1.14 after 4th wicket

Some other advise during inplay was also there but those odds never reached in that zone.

Obviously if you hadn’t greened up you would show a profit of £212

This is posted in a separate blog http://tradeoncricket.blogspot.com/ also.

P:S

I will post preview and plans for South Africa v West Indies, 2nd ODI (Jan 25)
and India v Australia, 3rd Test (Jan 24) tommorow.

For 'inplay post' please visit http://tradeonsports.forumotion.com/portal.htm during the match.

All the best.

Live Cricket Trading Room Official 1st Day Result:South Africa v West Indies,1st ODI

2008-01-20T19:59:00.001Z

Hello,
Good start to the live trading room.Please visit http://tradeoncricket.blogspot.com to know more.

Registratation open at http://tradeonsports.forumotion.com

Thanks.

Australi v India-Test Series Review,South Africa v West Indies ODI Series Preview & Live Cricket Trading Room Launching

2008-01-19T22:02:00.001Z

Hello and welcome back,
Australia v India:

A great contest ended today.India won the third Test match by 72 runs against Australia.Frankly i think winner is game of cricket :-) in last because too many bad things happened between Sydney Test and this match.This match also produced some good trading opportunities mainly because of market love for Australia.But as someone rightly quoted in betfair cricket forum on a query that what odds would be offered if India or England chasing 413 runs in 4th innings,his answer was 15+ because they have never won 16 Tests in a row!.
Australia was 1.41 prematch for this match and i've noticed that those who love straight bet takes these odds.Whether it is profitable or not but in more than 80% matches in last 10 matches (from memory) short odds favourite teams odds are lengthen inplay.I'm working on samples and these are few examples from recent matches:
1.South Africa v New Zealand> 2 Test matches in which SA odds was 1.6x prematch and traded at 1.9+ in both matches.
2.Sri Lanka v England> 3 Test match in which Lanka traded higher than prematch during inplay (don't know exact odds range).
3.South Africa v West Indies> 3 Test match and in 2 matches SA traded at much higher (inplay) than prematch.
4.Australia v India> 3 Test match so far and in all three Australia traded much higher inplay than prematch.
I'm collecting more data for both Test match & limited overs game and after analysis i will publish results here.If you have any data please let me know.
.............
South Africa v West Indies, ODI series preview:
Yesterday we saw 2nd Twenty20 match in which there was massive odds movement in 2nd innings.Lets hope it will continue in ODI's also.
West Indies batting is weak without Gayle and very unpredictable (with Gayle also) although i think there bowling attack is much better in recent times.
So plan for this series is that if West Indies is batting in any inning then only think of backing SA at good odds like 1.6+ because West Indies may collapse anytime.And if SA is batting then think laying SA in short odds if comes early.All the best for the series.
.............
Live cricket trading room launching:
We are going to launch it officially from tomorrow.

Address is http://tradeonsports.forumotion.com/index.htm
due to my commitments with board i will post 'inplay post' only at this address.
For registration please visit http://www.tradeonsports.co.uk/cricket.htm

Although i will continue to post here normally (review,strategy,preview,plan before matches and general trading posts).I will also post results of live cricket trading room here.
Good luck and best wishes to all.

Aus v India,Day 3 Plan

2008-01-17T18:06:00.001Z

Hello,
Day 2 was excellent for us.I mentioned yesterday that if Australia odds reach 1.5x today morning lay that as free lay.
As it was anticipated market love with Australia continue today also.India bowled out 330 today morning and Australia odds was 1.41!
We know Australia is a very strong team and can win from nowhere.
Anyway fingers crossed may market love them always :-).
...........
Plan for day 3:
Frankly i've noticed may time that after 2 good days if i involve on 3rd day then generally my green reduced so i'm very cautious for tomorrow.
Plan is:
1.Wait for India odds in 1.4x range specially after 3 wickets to lay as free lay with condition at that time mainly runs on board.
2.Wait for Australia 4.5+ in India innings anytime tomorrow specially after 3 wickets.
3.If you see couple of early wickets tomorrow morning then wait and consider small lay Australia in 1.7x if comes.
Frankly movement in Australia odds is going to be more so try to find value in Australia odds 4.5+ tomorrow whenever comes.
Beware Australia is a dangerous team so don't leave big liability on them.
Please visit 'Live cricket trading room' for Inplay post.
All the best.

Aus v India update

2008-01-16T15:52:00.007Z

Hello,
Great 1st day for this test match for us in 'Live trading room' at http://tradeonsports.forumotion.com and i hope you all enjoyed there.Though i posted here also the plan for 1st day in advance.

Frankly confidence was low after West Indies v South Africa,3rd Test which gone one way from start so i was not keen to lay Australia in 1.4x if India bat first otherwise Australia at 1.40 was a good lay prematch for a Test match.
My fear was that if India will lose early wickets (which was anticipited due to fast track) then Australia may win this match like South Africa one way.
So i decided to back Australia at good odds first rather than lay which generally i don't prefer.

...............
Plan for day 2:
Current odds Australia is 1.69
Wait for Australia 1.5x if comes early tomorrow to lay as free lay.
I will post other plans inplay whenever it comes in live cricket trading room.
All the best.
............
P.S: I will post here results after play on regular basis probably from tomorrow.
A new website is set to launch shortly for this.

India v Australia,3rd Test-Day 1 {Inplay}

2008-01-15T17:48:00.001Z

Hello and welcome again once again.
Please visit http://www.tradeonsports.co.uk/cricket.htm or http://tradeonsports.forumotion.com/index.htm for 'Inplay post'.

India v Australia,3rd Test-Preview & Plan(s)

2008-01-13T17:25:00.001Z

Hello and welcome back.
South Africa v West Indies 3rd Test ended on day three and SA won it comprehensively.
Poor show by West Indies in the whole match apart from a good partnership for 4th wicket in 2nd innings.Chanderpaul not batted in 2nd innings worsen things more for West Indies otherwise we might had some good Draw odds trading on day 3rd.
Anyway 2 out of 3 Tests in the series gone in our way and 1 loss is a part of trading :-).
................
Australia v India,3rd Test Plan:
Match is going to be played at W.A.C.A. Ground, Perth which is the quickest pitch in Australia.
Overall records suggests that beat Australia at Perth is a very difficult task.
Weather so far looks to be fine.
Current odds are:
Australia 1.40 as strong favourites,Draw 5.0 second favourite and India 10.0 as outsiders.
My plan:
Frankly from free lay and trading point of view i always like to see strong favourite team bat first in any format of the game.
So here again i will not hesitate to lay Australia in 1.4x if they bat first with a back plan of 1.6x and 1.8x.
If India bat first then i would like to wait for 10-15 overs because i don't like to back any selection in Test match 1.4x on day 1 or lay strong bowling team which is also strong favourites prematch on a fast track.
Another thing is there will be very slow odds movement in Australia odds even if India won't lose any wicket in 1st ten overs.
If India bat well till lunch like 80/1 then consider back Australia 1.7x and then wait and if they continue to bat well then consider back some more at 2.4+ if comes on day one.
All the best.
P.S:
I will post plan for Draw and India odds trading on 15th.

South Africa v West Indies,3rd Test {Inplay}

2008-01-10T06:00:00.001Z

2nd Update:
WI 104/7 in 27 overs.
Odds SA 1.09
Another West Indies batting collapse.
Pitch looking difficult to bat on.
Now best option is to wait for SA innings.
This game is not over but i don't want to increase my liability and want to wait and watch.

...............
1st Update:
Early news is South Africa won the toss and elected to field first.
Pitch report:Commentators view is that it is good for batting.
Weather:chances of rain more on Sunday and Monday.So is this going to be another weather trading?
Teams:Gayle is not playing.
Anyway plan is same which i posted earlier before start of the match.
Good luck.

.............
Hello and welcome once again.
Plenty of flipflops in last test but due to work commitments traded very little on that.
Anyway cricket played almost daily and hopefuly we may find some good opportunities in every match :-).
My target is:
If i trade on 10 matches.
>200 or more Profit in 5
>100 or less loss in 5
Final: 500 or more profit,fingers crossed.
..............
Test cricket is very good for free lays specially when one team is strong favourite.But it needs patience.Frankly some things are easy to say than do like if you layed any selection in 1.30 as free lay and after 1 hour or 15 overs odds shorten to 1.18 then it is difficult to stick with that although we know it is another free lay and even better than previous.
I've noticed this many times that if free lay comes early in match eg. first 2 days of test or in 1st innings of ODI it is generally safe than on the last day of the test or last overs in limited overs game.Though ROI is more in last.
I will discuss more on it later in a new post which is almost completed.Title of that post is 'short odds and remaining time/overs relation'.
...............

Now plan for 3rd Test for day 1 is:
I will update as soon as any other free lay or good trading seen.
1st Day Plan:
Current odds are SA 1.46,Draw 4.3 and WI 10.5
(A).If SA bat first:
1.Lay SA 1.3x or below as free lay if comes before lunch and 1.34 or below anytime on day 1.
2.Back SA 1.8+ if comes before tea and back 2.4+ whenever comes.
3.Back Draw 5+ if comes before lunch.
4.Lay Draw 1.5x or below anytime on day 1 as free lay.
5.Back WI 15+ if comes after good start by SA in 1st 15 overs as a good trading opportunity or after 3 wickets anytime on day 1.
6.Lay WI 3.5 or below if comes before lunch.

(B).If WI bat first:
1.Back SA 1.7+ before lunch.
2.Lay SA 1.28 or below anytime.
3.Lay Draw 2.2 or below.
4.Back Draw 6+ anytime (not after WI collapse).
5.Lay WI 5.5 or below if comes.
6.Back WI 20+ if comes before tea.
Frankly these plans are according to market mood and behaviour although we don't know exactly about how pitch will behave and weather forecast now.So please asses situation at that time when these odds comes,like if you see heavy rain then don't lay draw in 2.2x.
All the best.
P.S:
Please check updates on day 2 and onwards of this match and also for Australia/India 3rd Test which will start from January,16th at http://tradeonsports.forumotion.com (Live cricket trading room).
Lastly many thanks for well wishes and comments on 'Live cricket trading room'.

Test Matches Update

2008-01-02T18:15:00.001Z

Hello and welcome to our 1st post of this year.
Australia v India test match timings are not suitable for me so not doing much trading in this match.
But if i trade on 2nd day from start then my plan is:
1.Lay Aus 1.2x or below when India comes to bat upto 3 wickets.
2.Back Aus 1.8+ or lay Draw 2.2x if comes before tea.
Plan is simple go with bowling team (Australia>when India comes to bat) who is strong favourites at 1.8+ if comes and then wait.Because even if odds drifts upto 2.3x only one wicket is required to bring back odds in 1.8x zone.
.................
South Africa v West Indies:
West Indies 240/8 at stumps on day 1.
Odds are SA 1.36 as favourites.Is SA at 1.37 a free lay and what is ROI?
Before doing anything just analyse conditions in which SA odds may drift:
1.Bad weather.
2.Big partnership for 9th and 10th wicket.
3.Early wickets in SA innings.
4.Very slow run rate in SA innings.
I think 1,3 and 4 is possible and 2 is unlikely.
So imo small lay now at 1.37 and consider lay around 1 30 when SA comes to bat as free lay.
I will try for Inplay post in South Africa match.

All the best.

LIVE CRICKET TRADING ROOM

2007-12-31T06:30:00.000Z

Dear Reader,
I hope by now you have found my blog to be very useful in highlighting the low risk trading opportunities shown by trading on Test match and limited overs cricket and indeed I hope that you have profited from my advice.
Earlier in the year I was approached by Pete Nordsted of the blog http://tradeonsports.blogspot.com/ who suggested that we start a live cricket trading room. He felt that my methods were extremely successful and that a live trading room would be very popular. I thought about it for a while and have decided to go ahead with this project.
As many of you will have seen from this blog I believe I have an eye for knowing the right time and odds to LAY teams during a match. These trades are always ‘low risk’ with the potential for much larger gains. Indeed in some games like the recent India v Pakistan ODI & recent Test matches we have gained substantial profits.

In the live trading room we will be covering Test Matches One Day Internationals; Twenty20 matches International and Domestic, Pro40 & Friends Provident Trophy.

I will instruct exactly when you should Lay, place your stop loss and indeed exit the trade.

You can join this service for £20 a month. The first months service will start on 20th January 2008 with the South Africa v West Indies ODI and finish on 29th February. From then on subscription will be by the calendar month.

So confident are we to the profitability of this service that should you join the monthly service and not show a profit during the month. You will either receive a choice of a £10 refund or the next months service entirely free.

Please note so as not to effect the market numbers joining this service will be strictly limited.

If you are interested in joining this service please go to http://tradeonsports.co.uk/cricket.htm to register your interest. In a few days time you will receive an e-mail advising you that your membership for the trading room has become active and details of how to pay will also be included in this e-mail.

I sincerely hope you will join us on this venture as we are anticipating a very profitable and successful 2008.

Should you have any further queries please e-mail admin@tradeonsports.co.uk or findfreelay@gmail.com

I will post as usual till the start of LIVE CRICKET TRADING ROOM
in this blog.
All the best and happy new year!

Dip

South Africa v West Indies,1st Test-Day 3 {Inplay}

2007-12-28T11:48:00.001Z

Update, Stumps (3rd day)

Another great day for us.West Indies classic collapso at last ;-).
Our Draw lay around 2.2x and South Africa back @ 7+ performed well :-).
Good night and all the best.

Will update tomorrow.
...............
Hello and welcome back.
South Africa bowled out for 195 runs.West Indies lead by 213 runs.
West Indies decided to bat again and not enforcing follow on.
Odds are
SA 5.6
Draw 2.9
WI 2.06
Plan is:
1.Lay WI 1.7x or below as free lay whenever comes today.
2.Back WI 3+ specially after quick wickets.
3.Back SA 7+ as good trading opportunity if comes early after good start.
4.Draw:
Odds are most confusing so far.But as i said before bookies knows more than us so it is better to leave it or back Draw 4+
Draw lay in high odds is risky imo.
Consider lay around 2.2x if comes today.
All the best.

South Africa v West Indies,1st Test-Day 2 {Inplay}

2007-12-27T12:29:00.001Z

Hello everyone and welcome to our inplay post.
First apologies for lack of updates but very busy days for me.
Excellent test so far from trading point of view also for our prematch free lay of SA in 1.4 :-).
.................
Current score is West Indies 379/7 in 121 overs.
Odds are SA 4.6,Draw 1.6 and WI 5.9
Frankly Don't know why Draw is so short. Is it because of bad weather forecast or flat pitch?
Or combination of both?
Weather sites are not indicating any big threat of rain.
But one thing is sure bookies know more than us and if they are predicting this test match result Draw from here it is better to wait and watch before South Africa comes to bat.
At that time consider lay Draw in 1.4x for 10 overs in start or wait for some time and if SA start well then consider lay Draw around 1.3 as free lay.
Good trading opportunity definately will be in backing West Indies 10+ if South Africa bat well in start.
I will try my best for update.
All the best.

Australia v India,1st Test:Update,Stumps (Day One)

2007-12-26T07:52:00.001Z

Great day for us specially on free lays front:-).Plans worked on day 1 of this test match but frankly i was more interested in free lay as always.

Australia bat first and score at stumps on day 1 is 337/9 in 90 overs.
If you want to know what was the plan for day 1,i am posting it here again(originally posted on December 24, 2007):
"Plan(s):

1.Australia

>Lay 1.4x or below if comes as free lay preferably on day one.

>Back 2.2+ for long position.

2.Draw:

>Lay 2.4 or below.

>Back 4+ for long position.

3.India:

Hmmmm.....

>Lay 4.5 or below.

>Back 20+ if Australia bat first and comes in first 10-15 overs for a quick trading opportunity."
.................
Anyway I try to trade Test matches on daily basis and tomorrow is another day.I will post my plans for tomorrow later.
Good luck.

Safest Cricket Trading:Always Try To back 1.8+ And Try To Find Free Lay In 1.5x Or Below

2007-12-24T20:07:00.001Z

Hello and welcome back,
Some readers of this blog often complaints that although advised tips are sound and safe most of the time but some advised odds range never comes in match to either lay or back.
I am 100% agreed with them but this is because i don't want anyone to lose money because of me.
For example in recent Test match at Galle (England v Sri Lanka,3rd Test) i was very confident that Draw is going to be traded at 1.2x very soon if Sri Lanka bat first (Draw odds was 1.6x in start from memory) also at the same time i was more confident on England price that at 5.5x England odds are good free lay.
But i don't advised to back Draw 1.6x or Lay England 5.5x in start.
Why?
Reason is simple that Sri Lanka can collapse in start and because of this Draw will reach 2.5+ and England around 3.
And if we compare to odds at which we traded first to these odds we can easily imagine our book position.
I believe in safe trading and rarely backs 1.5x or below odds as first trade or lay 5+ odds in all formats of cricket even if Australia is playing at home or any mighty team playing against minnows.
Yes many times i only watch or listen matches without trading but frankly (fingers crossed) because of this strategy i rarely found myself in difficult situation nowdays.
For example any regular visitor at betfair forum knows well that what was the panic set in when in 3rd Test match at Galle Draw and Lanka both traded at 1.3x to 4x on last 3 days.
Click on this link http://site.forum.betfair.com/jive3/betex/ThreadsFrameset.jsp?forumID=62&forumName=Cricket&threadID=1321911&tName=***+Sri+Lanka+v+Eng+Day+5+Official+Thread+***&schatname=null&iMessageCount=1288
...............
I never consider myself a very smart trader but these are the lessons which i learnt from my mistakes/loss in past.
Summary is:
1.Always try to back 1.8+ mainly bowling team as good trading opportunity.
2.Always try to find free lay in 1.5x or below in batting team odds (Draw odds in Test matches is equal to batting team odds if batting team is not favorite at that time). There may be few exceptions some time according to match situation and home/away teams strength but if we follow these 2 points most of the time then chances of big loss will markedly decreased.Always remember that wait for good trading opportunity and patience is the key in any sports trading.

Good luck and once again merry xmas and prosperous new year to all.
Please do post your comments on this strategy.
Bye bye for now :-).

India v Australia,1st Test-Preview & Plan

2007-12-24T05:31:00.001Z

Hello and very good morning to all,
Two test matches again at same day.
Don't want to involve in this prematch like SA/WI match.
Main points are:
1.Result:Draw ratio at venue is 85:15
2.Weather:Big concern.So far it looks fair but frankly it is difficult for anyone to predict.
3.Teams: No news so far.
4.Pitch: May turn after day two.Good for seamers in start.
..................
Plan(s):
1.Australia
>Lay 1.4x or below if comes as free lay preferably on day one.
>Back 2.2+ for long position.
2.Draw:
>Lay 2.4 or below.
>Back 4+ for long position.
3.India:
Hmmmm.....
>Lay 4.5 or below.
>Back 20+ if Australia bat first and comes in first 10-15 overs for a quick trading opportunity.
These plans are for 1st 2 days.
All the best and MERRY CHRISTMAS!.
.................

Please share your tips/plans and weather forecast for this match.I am waiting for your comments.

P.S:
Added two new link in betting blogs section Hamish's blog and betstories.com
Both are great blogs.

South Africa v West Indies,1st Test:Prematch Free Lay

2007-12-22T17:30:00.001Z

Hello,
Weather trading ended at last in England v Sri Lanka,3rd Test match today.
Busy with work commitments and christmas & new year plans i decided to stay away from it after 2nd day.
...................
Anyway i think in 1st test between SA/WI current odds are SA 1.42 to back as favourites! is not fair.

Never seen these odds before for a test match except Australia playing at home,so i am laying SA.Even if West Indies bat first and bowled out below 200 SA odds will not shorten below 1.3x and if SA bat first i may consider more lay in 1.5x
Good luck and wishing you all merry christmas.
P.S:
Waiting for your views/plan/comments on this match.

Australia v New Zealand,3rd ODI-Preview & Plan

2007-12-19T19:40:00.001Z

Hello,
Match will start at 23:00 GMT and my chances of involvement is very less.
If i involve then i will try for inplay post,atleast in 2nd innings.

Preview is small that it is a must win game for both teams.Gilchrist is not playing and M.Clark will open for Australia that means two giants are in team,Hayden and Symonds instead of three ;-).
New Zealand lost there last two matches at this venue.
One with Australia by 105 runs.Batting team first won 14 out of 24 with 1 NR.
Anyway now come to plan.I want Australia to bat first from trading point of view at these odds (1.23)
Why?
Suppose Australia bat first assume Australia odds at innings break at score:
310
290
270
If you think it is not going to less than 1.18 in higher case then either stick to your prematch lay of Australia at 1.22 or plan to lay them in 1.1x whenever comes (prefer early in 1st 15 overs).
If NZ bat first you may choose to bail out prematch lay and then try to lay Australia in 1.16 or below (upto 2 wickets in start after some recovery) and then wait to back 1.2x or 1.3x (try to avoid lay Australia in 1.4+).
Back plan in both cases should start from 1.3x and then with according to situation.Like if you see couple of early wickets when Australia bat first then back some at 1.3x and then wait for 1.4x or 1.5x

...............
2nd innings:
It is difficult to say prematch about it because it depends on score but if you find Australia chasing 250+ then try to find free lay in 1.1x or 1.0x in start specially after 1 or 2 wickets.
If New Zealand chasing 280+ and start well then back Australia 1.5+ in 1st 15 overs and then wait.
My best worked strategy so far with Australia is:
Lay 1k in 1.20
Back 1200@1.30
Book position>160 green Australia and 200 red any other result.Means we backed Australia 200@1.8
Stop loss 2.2
>If odds shorten:
Stop loss 1.15 or 1.16 or according to situation like if Australia batting first then you may let it run some long.
Lastly best plan in this match is to wait for short odds of Australia like 1.08 or below because Australia is too strong and there is no confusion about market mood but still i think short odds lay (Australia) eg. 1.0x pays most of the time if comes early.
Australia lost many matches from 1.0x position in past,infact they are traded at 1.1x in every match which they lost recently from memory.
Good luck to all.

Sri Lanka v England,3rd Test-Day 1 {Inplay}

2007-12-18T06:20:00.001Z

1st Update,Day 2
Sri Lanka 256/4 in 88 overs.
Odds Draw 1.19,Lanka 7 and England 34
New ball also not helping England which is the best and probably the last chance to come back in the game.
We've seen not much movement in the odds since start of play.
So when odds will move,specially Draw odds?
Answer is simple i think when England come to bat or heavy rain again.In first case upward move is expected and downward in later.
Wait is the only option now.
Good luck.

.................
Update, Day 2
06:50 GMT
Hello and welcome back.I've decided to stick with one post for whole Test match to maintain continuity in updates and comments.

Current score is Lanka 191/4 in 71 overs.
Odds are Draw 1.19,Lanka 7.4 and England 22
So far:
Sri Lanka attitude is negative no doubt.England lacks penetration (Panesar big disappointed).Weather forecast is bad.
Combination of all these is Draw as most likely outcome.
But as a rule i never back 1.2-1.5 when so much time left in the match.
So my plan is to find free lay in Draw around 1.15 today (when new ball taken or England is expected to bat soon) with weather watch.Lay Draw or back Lanka is almost equal at that time.
Good luck.
Waiting for your comments.
................
Hello and welcome to our 3rd test inplay post.

Its 06:15 GMT now.
Match scheduled to begin at 06:30 GMT.
Early news is that England won the toss and elected to bowl first means Lanka batting first.
Odds are
Draw 1.65
Lanka 3.85
England 6.8
Weather is the biggest factor in this match.

Going with Lanka and backed them at 4.2 just before the toss. because my logic was that whoever bat first Lanka price stay for sometime at current price.Reason is if Lanka bat first and lost quick wickets then market think that it is a bad pitch to bat on and generally home team price not drifts in these conditions from this range.
2nd reason is if England bat first Lanka price definately shorten even without wickets in start and after wickets it may shorten upto 3.0
So my first small trade is backing Lanka at 4.2

..............
Other plan for today is:
1.Consider Draw lay in 1.2x as free lay or back 3+ as good trading opportunity if comes with situation at that time.
2.Small Lay England in 4.5x if comes.
Though i don't want to touch England odds much.

3.Lanka back 6+ if comes with situation at that time.

Good luck.
...............
P.S:
Gilchrist is not playing in 3rd ODI (Australia v New Zealand) which is a huge factor in start if Australia bat first.So layed Australia in 1.22 as prematch free lay.
Wish me good luck :-).

Australia v New Zealand,2nd ODI {Inplay}

2007-12-16T04:00:00.000Z

Hello and welcome back.NZ won the toss and elected to bat first.Rain disturbances expected.
Odds are Aus 1.25 as favourites:
Predicted target odds are:
NZ bat first:
310 1.8x
290 1.7x
270 1.5x
250 1.2x
230 1.1x
210 1.0x
These are Australia odds.Clearly indicates that back Aus 1.5+ but safe plan is back 1.6+ but i think we may not find Aus odds in this range in 1st innings.Other plan is to lay Aus in 1.14 or below if comes early.
Weather forecast is not good so there may be some adjustments according to D/L method.
All the best.

Australia v New Zealand,2nd ODI And South Africa v West Indies,Only Twenty20 Preview

2007-12-15T17:55:00.001Z

Hello and welcome to our preview of tomorrow's games,

1.Aus/NZ:It is really very good from trading point of view that Australia won both matches easily.Plus point is that NZ also batted well in 1st ODI.
So if Aus bat first and there is flying start lay them in 1.1x in start because upto 310 score odds in innings break is not going to be less then 1.1x
Only danger is 350+ score but i think we may get atleast one chance to bail out in middle overs.
If NZ bat first back Aussies 1.6+ (may consider 1.5+ also) because even at 270 score odds at innings break will be not more than 1.6x Australia.
2nd innings wait for low odds if Australia is chasing in start.Back Aussies if NZ chasing 270+ in 1.7x or more in start.
................
SA/WI T20 plan:
1.Lay any team in 1.3x in first 10 overs (1st innings).
I will try for inplay post in both matches.
All the best.
Please send your plans.Thanks in advance :-).

Australia v New Zealand,1st ODI {Inplay}

2007-12-14T04:39:00.000Z

1st Update:
NZ 254/7 in 50 overs.
Odds Aus 1.22 as favourites.
Plan is:
1.Back Aus 1.8+ if comes in 1st 10 overs upto 3 wickets.
2.Lay Aus if comes in 1st 5 overs around 1.14 or below as free lay.
3.Lay Aus in 1.1x after 2 wickets in 1st 15 overs.
4.Safest plan:
Wait for Aus odds in 1.0x zone specially after 3 wickets with reqd. runs and runrate at that time.Like 120+ runs at 5+ runrate required.
Lay Aussies after 2 or 3 wickets in low odds is much safer than without wicket and it is really good that market always favours Australia.
Good luck.

...............
Hello and welcome back.Sorry for late post but having some problem in connection.Anyway i hope it is sorted now.
New Zealand won the toss and elected to bat first.
Score is NZ 101/1 in 19 overs.Good start and market predicting score around 280.
Odds are Australia 1.46 as favourites.
Looks like good trading opportunities in 2nd innings when Australia chase.
1st innings small plan is small back at 1.6x before 35 overs then wait and back more in 1.9+ in remaining overs (Australia), because even NZ score 300 runs then odds in innings break is not going to be less than 1.9x NZ.As usual main trading will be in 2nd innings.
All the best.

England v Sri Lanka,2nd Test-Day 5 {Inplay}

2007-12-13T04:09:00.001Z

Result:Match Drawn
My Draw green reduced 30% in last 2 days in this match but increased more than 40% in India match on 5th day in last so no complaints ;-).
Will post detail P/L of this month early.
Don't forget to join me tomorrow for Australia v New Zealand,1st ODI (03:15 GMT) 'inplay post'.
Till then good bye.
P:S:
Lay Australia (current odds are 1.26) it is prematch free lay.
All the best.
.................
3rd Update:
England 211/3 in 63 overs (48 overs remaining).
Odds Draw 1.05
Draw was 1.01 to lay before Bell wicket.
Waiting for another 1.01>1.05 or 1.02>1.08 shot before Tea because this time Draw may drift 10-12 ticks on 4th wicket.
I think market move on wickets in next 20 overs is something like this:
4th Wicket 10 ticks
5th Wicket 15 ticks
6th Wicket 25 ticks
Although it depends on odds before wicket,England lead,remaining overs and weather forecast etc.What i want to highlight is that after 3 wickets odds moves more than on first 2/3 wickets in these situations.
Anyway again best advise is don't back Draw in short odds.
Good luck.

................
2nd Update,Lunch:
England 152/1 trail by 45 runs and min. 65 overs remaining (depends on weather and bad light)
Odds Draw 1.03
Oops! my Draw green will reduce if odds will not drift in 1.1x zone.Frankly not waiting for miracle but i think it is a matter of only 1 wicket from trading point of view.Yesterday we seen it in India match also.Lets hope for the best and be prepared for the worst.
All the best.
..............
1st Update:
England 107/1 and Odds Draw 1.15
Draw touched 1.07 before Vaughan wicket.
Weather:Latest news is that it is not so bad today and 75 overs are possible atleast.
Plan is to stick with 1.1x lay before lunch.Though i don't trust on these things but from law of averages Bell is due for a low score.
Good luck.
................
Hello and Very good morning to all.
This is going to be cracker.First the best thing to do is to do nothing after tea because market may go volatile at that time or lay short odds 1.1x range of any selection at that time.2nd don't back draw in low odds anytime today,these two may save our big money.
Plan for today is:
1.Wait for 2 wickets atleast then lay draw in 1.2x when comes.
2.No detail forecast on weather till now but i think Draw in 1.1x is going to be free lay till lunch.
I'll update after 1 Hr.
All the best.
Please send weather/pitch report as comments.Thanks in advance.

Test Matches And Australia v New Zealand Twenty20 Plan

2007-12-11T06:00:00.001Z

Hello and welcome back once again.
In Test matches Draw is favourite.Around 1.4x in England match and 1.1x in India match.

England v Lanka,3rd day:
Draw at 1.4x is a free lay but main thing is how much it will drift on wickets and runs in next 2 hours (ROI) and how much it may shorten in same period if no wickets?
Answer is not easy because it depends on weather forecast also which no one knows precisely.So i want to avoid any new trading today in this match till tea and only level my book when Draw reach in 1.3x zone anytime.
..................

India v Pakistan,4th Day:
Pakistan lost 6th wicket but follow-on is saved.
In this match plan is to trade on 5th day (Pakistan 2nd innings if comes).Although Draw in 1.0x is going to be free lay today.
.................

Australia v New Zealand,Twenty20 match:
Main focus is on this match today.Perhaps because of this match i don't want to involve more in Test matches.
It is a day nighter and start from 9:05 GMT.
Advance plan for 1st innings is:
(A)If Australia bat first:
1.Lay Australia in 1.2x if comes in 1st 10 overs.
2.Lay New Zealand 1.7x if comes in 1st 10 overs.
(B)If New Zealand bat first:
1.Lay Australia in 1.1x if comes in 1st 10 overs.
2.Back Australia 1.9+ if comes in 1st 10 overs.
3.Lay New Zealand 1.7x anytime if comes.
I will try for 'Inplay Post' in innings break.
Good luck.

Test Matches Update And Time - The Great Leveler

2007-12-10T17:46:00.001Z

Hello,
Another good day.Highlight of the day was Draw lay in low odds and then back in high odds as per plan in both matches.All green book in both test matches although more on Draw.Try to level it tomorrow.

Time - The Great Leveler:
Yesterday benefited by bad umpiring in Lanka v England Test but today because of it missed very good profit in India v Pakistan Test,so conclusion is time is a great leveler.
All the best for tomorrow.

Test Matches Inplay Post,Dec. 10th

2007-12-10T05:40:00.001Z

Hello and good morning,
Sri Lanka v England,day 2:
Score is 293/7 in 100 overs.
Odds are Lanka 2.24,England 7.8 and Draw 2.14
1.Consider lay Lanka around 2.1x if comes today as free lay.
2.Back Draw 3+ or lay 1.6x if comes anytime.
3.When Lanka comes to bat small back England if comes 12+ in start as quick trading opportunity.
..............
India v Pakistan,3rd day:
Score is Pakistan 149/2 in 47 overs.
Odds are India 2.7,Pakistan 70 and Draw 1.49
1.Lay Draw 1.40 and then in 1.25 before tea if comes.
2.Back Draw 2.5 if comes anytime today.

Weather is a big factor in both matches but still best advise is don't back Draw in low odds.
Good luck.

Test Matches Update And Weather Trading

2007-12-09T19:39:00.000Z

Hello and welcome back.
Good day overall and if i stick by my original position,it may ended as one of the best days.
Anyway plan worked most of the times today and frankly more due to bad umpiring.
It is really sad that at this level of cricket,level of umpiring is of club level.We have technology,still we don't use it specially in low catches or close LBW.Let's hope for some revolution in future.

Weather Trading:
In both Test matches Draw is favourite due to bad weather forecast.So it is more like of weather trading than cricket trading in these matches otherwise Draw is the least likely outcome in both matches.
Plan for tomorrow is same for 2 Tests and that is to lay Draw in low odds and back at high odds.
For India v Pakistan look for Draw around 1.5x (lay small at 1.55 and lay again at 1.35 if comes then wait) and in England v Sri Lanka match either back Draw 3+ or lay Draw 1.6x if comes.
Waiting for your plan/comments.I will try for inplay post tomorrow.
Good luck.

Test Matches Inplay Post,Sunday 9th December

2007-12-09T06:36:00.000Z

Hello and very warm welcome to all.
Boxing match finished and Mayweather won it in style.
Test matches started and let's see latest score and odds:
England v Sri Lanka:
England won the toss and elected to bat first.Weather forecast is not good for whole match.
Latest score at lunch is England 97/0 in 29 overs.Odds are England 4.6,Sri Lanka 5.3 and Draw 1.68 as favourites.As per plan layed draw in evens and want to let it run (planning to lay more in 1.65) because i think Draw price will not shorten below 1.65 unless heavy rain starts (although stop loss 1.60 if comes without wicket).

Those not traded so far can consider small back Lanka 5.3 as a good trading opportunity.
Good luck.
................
India v Pakistan,Day 2
It's lunch time there also.Score is India 461/6 and Odds are India 2.38,Pakistan 34 as outsider and Draw 1.77 as favourites.
Plan is to wait for Pakistan batting and then consider lay Draw or India 1.5x (whichever comes first).
All the best.
I will try for inplay updates today.

India v Pakistan,3rd Test-Day 2 And England v Sri Lanka,2nd Test-Day 1 Plan

2007-12-08T14:09:00.001Z

Hello,
Apologies for lack of updates this week.It is because i was sick last month and after recovery joined duty now.So back to pavilion once again :-).
Anyway here's my plan for Test matches:

(A)India v Pakistan 2nd day plan:
1.Free lay:Wait for India or Draw odds around 1.5x
2.Good trading opportunity:Back India 4+ if comes when Pakistan bat in 1st 20 overs.
Before do anything read weather forecast well for remaining days.
..........

(B)England v Sri Lanka,1st day plan:
1.Free Lay:Wait for Lanka odds around 1.6x if comes (if Lanka bat first it is 1.8x).
Lay Draw around evens if England bat first.
2.Good trading opportunity:
>Lanka bat first:
Back Lanka 3.5+ if comes.
Back England 12+ if comes early after good start (it may go against us as England price drift rapidly if Lanka continue to bat well).

>England bat first:Back Draw 6+ if comes for long run.
Back Lanka 2.5+ if comes anytime after 2 wickets.
Keep an eye on weather forecast.
Good luck to all.

England v Sri Lanka:5th Day Plan

2007-12-04T18:43:00.000Z

Hello there,
Tomorrow look for:
1.Lanka 2.2+ before lunch to back.
2.Lanka 1.1x before lunch to lay.
3.Draw 1.2x before tea to lay.
4.Draw 7+ after tea to back.
(please add 'if comes' in all)
All the best.

Test Matches:Plans For Tomorrow

2007-12-03T16:57:00.000Z

England v Sri Lanka 4th Day Plan:
Sri Lanka 2.18!
Another free lay?
I think so,because Draw price will hold Lanka price tomorrow(bad weather prediction in evening) till lunch.Also Lanka only 74 run ahead and they wont declare before score 300 more runs.Lastly they may collapse anytime after one more wicket.
Is England really out of match?
Odds are suggesting (7.0) but i think 1 or 2 quick wickets will cut England price by half (3.5).
For safe trading wait for Lanka price around 1.9 if comes before lunch to lay as free lay.Back England 9+ if comes before lunch as a good trading opportunity.Also keep an eye on weather forecast for remaining days.
All the best.

..............
India v Pakistan,5th Day Plan:
Is Draw at 1.22 is free lay?
Well it depends on how India bat tomorrow in start. Also it depends on declare time.
If India score 100 quick runs in 18-20 overs and give Pakis something like 400 runs target in 70 overs it will be very interesting match.

For safe trading lay Draw if it hits 1.15 tomorrow early morning because if India score fast it may drift upto 1.30 also just after declaration Draw will drift 5-7 ticks.

If Pakistan bat well in start then we may see Draw price free fall,lay draw for small at that time in 1.08.Post lunch lay Draw in 1.0x as free lay specially after 3 wickets.

Good Trading Opportunity:
Back Draw 2.2+ if comes after Tea for quick trade.

Good luck.
I will try for Update on both Test matches tomorrow before lunch.

Test Matches Update

2007-12-02T17:52:00.001Z

Hello,
Mix day today.Good for Test matches and bad one for one-day.Anyway it is a part of sports trading specially when you are trading on every matches.
Plan for tomorrow test matches is:
(A)India v Pakistan:4th Day Plan
Pakistan require 59 more runs to save follow on with 4 wickets in hand.Odds are Draw 1.56 as favourites.
Million dollar question is will India take follow on option if they bowl out Pakistan below 317?
I think No!
Because India may want to avoid any chase over 180 on last day.Also they are already one up in this series.
So plan is to take Draw above evens if comes after quick wickets early morning.
..............
England v Sri Lanka:3rd Day Plan
Lanka current price 2.0 is a free lay i think.But it will be better to wait and watch Lanka price movement tomorrow morning for atleast 20 overs.
All the best.

South Africa v New Zealand,3rd ODI {Inplay}

2007-12-02T07:54:00.001Z

2nd Update
SA 59/0 in 9 overs.
Odds SA 1.10
Gibbs on fire.NZ needs wicket badly.Our book position is also not good.Waiting for SA odds around 1.04 as free lay if comes soon.Good luck.
.............
1st Update
NZ 238/50 overs.
Odds SA 1.40
Average score.Wait for SA in 1.2x if comes in 1st 5 overs.Back SA 1.9+ upto 2 wickets.
All the best.

...............
Hello and very warm welcome to 3rd ODI inplay post.
Early news is New Zealand won the toss and bat first.
Predicted target odds is:
New Zealand bat first:
310 1.6x
290 1.8x
270 Evens
250 2.4x
230 3.2x
210 3.8x
190 4.8x
These are New Zealand odds.
So lay NZ 1.7x or below as free lay.Back SA evens or above in 1st 20 overs as good trading opportunity.
Good luck

Late Update

2007-12-01T13:15:00.001Z

Interesting stage in both Test matches.My plan for tomorrow is:
(A)India v Pakistan,day 3 plan:
1.Wait for India or Draw in 1.4x zone.Obviously Draw lay is more safe than India lay.
2.Consider back India after 3 wickets at 2.1+ when 150 or more runs Pakistan reqd. to avoid follow on as a good trading opportunity.
.................
(B)England v Sri Lanka,day 2 plan:
1.Try to find free lay in England or Lanka odds around 1.5x or low.
2.Back Lanka 3+ if comes before lunch as good trading opportunity.
From experience i can say backing bowling team in these situations at 2.2+ or above after 3 wickets is generally safe.
Why?
1.Bowling team odds drifts very slow in these situations,so we get enough time for stop loss.
2.Even if odds drifts more than predicted in given time only one wicket pull down bowling team odds to original range.It helps to set high stop loss point.
I think i applied too much science in this ;-).
Back to couch and all the best for tomorrow:-).Again copying Big Joe.

England v Sri Lanka,1st Test-Day one {Inplay}

2007-12-01T07:27:00.001Z

1st Update:
Lanka 142/5 in 42 overs.
Odds Lanka 1.98,England 2.88 and Draw 6.4
Well so far after lunch Draw and Lanka shorten at the cost of England price.Sangkkara escaped a close call in panesar over.Rule says if batsmen is not offering shot than he can be given out LBW.Plan is wait for England around 3.2+ this time as a good trading opportunity.
Free lay:Frankly hard to predict what will be Lanka price at 200/5
Evens or 1.8x ?
Any suggestions?
...............
Hello and welcome back.I will join duty from monday till that plenty of time to trade on cricket;-).Lung infection was really bad :-( but apart from weakness general condition is better:-).Trying to make smileys like Big Joe'.

Sri Lanka won the toss and chose to bat first and score is 86/5 in 25 overs at lunch.Odds are Lanka 2.20,England 2.24 and Draw 8.6
Where is the value?
Wait for England 2.9+ if comes before 40 overs because any wicket at that time will cut England odds by 0.5 or more.So my plan is back England at 3.0 and 3.4 (average 3.2) and let it run for sometime because England price may fridge around 3.4 before tea.Sangkkara and Jayawardene Both looking in great touch and Draw around 8.0 is also good for long run if Lanka bat well after lunch because of weather prediction.It will be great pleasure to watch how Lanka bat after lunch specially when spin bowlers operate from both end.
Good luck.

India v Pakistan,2nd Test-Day 2

2007-12-01T06:35:00.001Z

Hello and good morning everyone.2 Test matches in sub-continent today.1st look at the India/Pak 2nd Test.Latest at 2nd day score is India 465/4 in 115 overs.Odds are India 1.78,Pakistan 50 and Draw 2.32.
India shorten well below 2.0 today.Infact India price shorten before start of play on day 2.Interesting discussion with Luis yesterday on this when South Africa price shorten at innings break in 2nd ODI.
Layed India on day 1 in start and around evens and below (Average 2.14) and backed at average 2.06.So my book is small red if India win this match.
Plan for remainining match is to wait for India or Draw price around 1.4x to trade.
I will update as soon as odds reach in this zone of any selection.
All the best.

South Africa v New Zealand,2nd ODI {Inplay}

2007-11-30T12:36:00.001Z

3rd Update
South Africa 209/50 overs.
Odds NZ 1.74
Plan is:
1.Lay NZ in 1.3x if comes in 1st 5 overs after flying start.
2.Back NZ at 2.1+ for quick trade upto first 2 wickets.
3.Lay NZ 1.2x in 1st 15 overs after 2 wicket as free lay.
4.Lay NZ 1.1x after 3 wickets with 100+ runs reqd. anytime.
Basically plan is to wait for some wickets then consider lay batting team in low odds.
Good luck.
................
2nd Update
SA 48/3 in 15 overs.
Odds NZ 1.74
Gates are totally opened.Consider back NZ 2.1+ if comes in next 10 overs as a good trading opportunity.This match looking like a low scoring match so best advise is to wait for 2nd innings for rest of trading unless you see very good trading opportunity as mentioned above or good free lay which will be SA 1.5x or below.
...............
1st Update
SA 18/2 in 6.4 overs.
Odds SA 1.87
Bad start and early filp flop.Because of this i always like short odds team to bat first.
Anyway now situation is tricky,one more wicket and New Zealand become favourites and very difficult recovery for SA.My advise is take profit now.Wait for some recovery then back SA 1.8+ if it looks they may score atleast 230.Lay SA 1.4x if comes before 25 overs as free lay.Good luck to all.

...............
Hello and welcome back.South Africa batting first and predicted target odds is:
SA bat first:
310 1.1x
290 1.2x
270 1.3x
250 1.5x
230 1.9x
210 2.3x
190 2.4x
so back SA 1.9+ or lay 1.3x whenever comes.
Remember it is a day nighter.
All the best.

India v Pakistan,2nd Test,Day 1 {Inplay}

2007-11-30T03:20:00.000Z

1st Update (Lunch)
India 104/1 in 27 overs.
Odds India 2.04,Pakistan 21 and Draw 2.12
Layed India so far and want to continue it till they bat because i think they are not going to cut below 2.0 before Pakistan come to bat.

.................
Hello and welcome all.India won the toss and elected to bat first.Odds are India 2.22,Pakistan 6.2 and Draw 2.4
Laying India now and planning to lay more at evens or below.
Good luck.

India v Pakistan,2nd Test:1st Day Plan

2007-11-29T18:38:00.001Z

Hello everyone,
Quick post:Tomorrow look for:
(A)If India bat first:
1.Back India 5+ or lay 2.1x and below.
2.Back Draw 3+ or lay 1.5x and below.
3.Back Pakistan 12+ or lay 2.6x and below.
...............
(B)If Pakistan bat first:
1.Back India 3.5+ or lay 1.6x and below.
2.Back Draw 4+ or lay 1.7x and below.
3.Back Pakistan 20+ or lay 3.5x and below.(whichever comes first basis,try to trade mainly on Draw odds)
May Update at lunch.Please send your plans.

All the best.
P.S:
I will try my best for 'Inplay post' in SA/NZ 2nd ODI Match (12:30 GMT) tomorrow with predicted target odds.

Cricket Trading:Predicting Target Odds (Powerful Tool For 1st Innings Trading)

2007-11-27T05:49:00.000Z

Hello friends,
Predict target odds is no doubt the most powerful tool for 1st innings trading for one-day and Twenty20 cricket matches(limited overs cricket).Applied it in past also but frankly realized true value after Twenty20 world cup.
How it works:
It works best when team batting first bat well in starting overs and one team is short priced.
For eg. South Africa prematch odds for 2nd ODI with New Zealand is 1.44 as favourites.Suppose SA bat first in this match and start well and score something like 40/0 in 6 overs than there odds will be shorten to 1.26 because market prediction is 280+ score at that time.So these odds are for 280+ score.Now two possibilities are there:
1.They continue to bat well and score 300 around and odds will shorten upto 1.20 without drift.
2.Wickets and slow rate mainly between 10-40 overs and odds drifted to 1.44 during that period when it is looking they are not going to score more than 260 which was the original prediction.
Generally it is seen that run rate drops in middle overs when spin bowlers operating with wickets.So if we lay SA at 1.26 when score was 40/0 in 6 overs chance of loss (if odds shorten which is generally maximum 6 ticks) is very low and chances of profit (if odds drifted) is more.
We can also apply this formula if New Zealand bat first and start well in start and SA odds drifts.
Pitch,ground size,teams strength and market mood are some other important factors for predict target odds.
I agree that it may go sometimes totally against us but it happens rarely and with strict stop loss plan we can minimize loss.
Try it in next match.
All the best.

Cricket Last Week:1.01 & 1.1x Just Escaped

2007-11-26T11:54:00.001Z

Hello,
Last week 2 'Inplay' short odds selection which was South Africa at both occasions, 1.01(Twenty20) & 1.1x (ODI) against New Zealand anyhow managed to won in last.If we add India also in this list (they was traded at 1.3x on first day in Test against Pakistan and later drifted to 4+ on 3rd day),then we can say all short odds backers was in trouble last week.
The warning from these matches again is 'never back short odds' and there is nothing like free money in sports trading.
So avoid backing short odds in future.
Good luck.

Volatile Market:Best Policy

2007-11-25T18:53:00.001Z

Hello,
South Africa v New Zealand,1st ODI was a prefect match for free lays and volatile market policy.Not involved in this match and i know it is easy to say as a aftertimer that if i involved in it,traded like this or that and ended with profit.
But in today's post (India v Pakistan,Day 4 plan) if you remember my advise for 'volatile market' which was "if you see volatile market in last either leave it or lay any team in short odds and wait".
Although that was for Test match but i think it applies on all sports trading.
Why?
Market is volatile means short or low odds of any selection is drifting and high odds are shortening repeatedly.In brief frequent flip flops at death.
Still i think best policy is to avoid trade in volatile market but if we want to involve ( because of human tendency) and adopt this policy to lay any short odds and wait will pay us most of the times.Another good thing is chances of big loss is also minimum with it.
Try it next time with small money.
Bye bye
All the best.

India v Pakistan,1st Test-Day 4 At Lunch (Quick Update)

2007-11-25T06:10:00.001Z

India 3/1 in 4 overs,require another 200 runs.
Odds India 1.27
Plan:
1.Lay India around 1.20 with stop loss 5 ticks if comes just after lunch.
2.Wait for 1 more wicket in next 10 overs then lay India in 1.2x as free lay.
Good luck.

India v Pakistan,1st Test,4th Day Plan

2007-11-24T14:40:00.001Z

Hello friends,
Quick post.
4th Day look for:
1.India at 1.3x-1.4x when they come to bat for free lay specially after 2 or 3 wickets.Like 150 runs reqd. With 7 wickets in hand.
2.Pakistan 4.5+ just after last wicket.
3.If you see volatile market in last either leave it or lay any team in short odds and wait.
4.Back India when they bat on 1st two wickets for quick trade.
5.Draw future:Any good solid partnership in Pakistan remaining innings will shorten draw again.So it will be risky to lay Draw at high odds,avoid it.

All the best.

India v Pakistan,1st Test-3rd Day (Inplay)

2007-11-24T05:49:00.000Z

Hello and welcome back.India 276 all out on 3rd day morning,lead by 45 runs.
Odds India 1.8,Pakistan 3.5,Draw 5
Plan is:
1.India odds will stay at 2.0-2.2 if Pakistan bat well in start for next 20-25 overs and cut by 0.5 on any wicket.I think back India at that time and then wait.
2.If Pakistan continue to bat well till tea then Draw will shorten upto 4 and Pakistan and India odds will stay around 2.5.
3.Look for India odds around 1.2x in Pakistan innings if comes after quick wickets.
4.Look for Pakistan odds 7+ and runs/lead at that time.
Good luck