Hello and welcome to our coverage of Friends Provident Trophy matches.
4 matches tomorrow and we are going to cover 1 televised match for live cricket trading and straight bet selections in other three.
Straight bet selection is going to be on point basis from 1-5
5 point selection is for strong recommendation or maximum stake.
1 point means small stake.
So please check back after some time for straight bet selections as we are presently analysing each match.
Good luck.
..............
P.S :
We are covering England v New Zealand ,3rd Test which will start from 5th June in live cricket trading room.
If you want to join that then please read details at tradeoncricket.com
Tuesday, June 3, 2008
Sunday, June 1, 2008
IPL Final : Chennai v Jaipur ,1st June {Inplay}
Last update :
Rajasthan 142/7 in 18th over.
Great match for us.
Plenty of flip flops in match so far.
Anyone can win from now on.
No bet time because volatile market expected on any run and wicket.
My advise is take all green position.
Good night to all.
Waiting for your comments.
..............
Rajasthan 77/3
Chennai 1.78
Last trade was back Chennai @1.8
I want to trade out now because required runs are not too many.
Next plan is to lay any team around 1.35 if comes with stop loss 15 ticks.
Gl
................
5th Update :
Rajasthan 42/3
We are in good profit now so no need to involve further.
But if you want to trade further then lay Chennai 1.2x or back 1.8x if comes upto 15 overs.
All the best.
................
Rajasthan 27/1 in 4 overs.
Plan is :
1.Back Chennai 2.06 now and back 2.6 if comes upto 10 overs.
Gl
............
3rd Update :
1st innings plans gone well and let's face 2nd innings now.
Chennai 163/5 in 20 overs.
Plan is to lay any team at 1.35 with stop loss 12 ticks in first 10 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Gl
..............
2nd Update :
Chennai 130/4 in 17 overs.
Back Rajasthan at decent odds in remaining 3 overs.
Gl
..............
1st Update :
Chennai batting first and score is 51/1 in 7 overs.
Plan is :
1.Back Rajasthan 2.1 if comes with stop loss 15 ticks.
2.Lay Rajasthan 1.3x if comes.Stop loss at innings break.
Take profit whenever you get chance on trades.
Gl
................
Hello and welcome to IPL final live cricket trading.
Jaipur favourites at 1.69 presently.
...............
Jaipur a good lay in present odds because if they bat first price may drift to 1.8x after toss.
So we can take small profit prematch.
Although if Chennai bat first price may drop to 1.60 but i'm ready to take this risk.
................
So plan is lay Jaipur now and then :
1.Let it run if Jaipur bat first with back plan 60% at evens.
Stop loss 15 ticks.
Take profit gradually if you get chance.
2.If Chennai bat first then also let it run.
Stop loss 20 ticks and back plan 110% above 15-20 ticks.
Mumbai pitch is not easy to bat on so i want to go with bowling team in start.
Good luck.
Rajasthan 142/7 in 18th over.
Great match for us.
Plenty of flip flops in match so far.
Anyone can win from now on.
No bet time because volatile market expected on any run and wicket.
My advise is take all green position.
Good night to all.
Waiting for your comments.
..............
Rajasthan 77/3
Chennai 1.78
Last trade was back Chennai @1.8
I want to trade out now because required runs are not too many.
Next plan is to lay any team around 1.35 if comes with stop loss 15 ticks.
Gl
................
5th Update :
Rajasthan 42/3
We are in good profit now so no need to involve further.
But if you want to trade further then lay Chennai 1.2x or back 1.8x if comes upto 15 overs.
All the best.
................
Rajasthan 27/1 in 4 overs.
Plan is :
1.Back Chennai 2.06 now and back 2.6 if comes upto 10 overs.
Gl
............
3rd Update :
1st innings plans gone well and let's face 2nd innings now.
Chennai 163/5 in 20 overs.
Plan is to lay any team at 1.35 with stop loss 12 ticks in first 10 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Gl
..............
2nd Update :
Chennai 130/4 in 17 overs.
Back Rajasthan at decent odds in remaining 3 overs.
Gl
..............
1st Update :
Chennai batting first and score is 51/1 in 7 overs.
Plan is :
1.Back Rajasthan 2.1 if comes with stop loss 15 ticks.
2.Lay Rajasthan 1.3x if comes.Stop loss at innings break.
Take profit whenever you get chance on trades.
Gl
................
Hello and welcome to IPL final live cricket trading.
Jaipur favourites at 1.69 presently.
...............
Jaipur a good lay in present odds because if they bat first price may drift to 1.8x after toss.
So we can take small profit prematch.
Although if Chennai bat first price may drop to 1.60 but i'm ready to take this risk.
................
So plan is lay Jaipur now and then :
1.Let it run if Jaipur bat first with back plan 60% at evens.
Stop loss 15 ticks.
Take profit gradually if you get chance.
2.If Chennai bat first then also let it run.
Stop loss 20 ticks and back plan 110% above 15-20 ticks.
Mumbai pitch is not easy to bat on so i want to go with bowling team in start.
Good luck.
Saturday, May 31, 2008
IPL : Punjab v Chennai -2nd Semifinal, 31st May {Inplay}
3rd Update :
Chennai 15/1 in 3rd over.
Last lay gone well.Infact last 2 low odds performed very well.
Plan is to lay again at 1.05 if comes in next 5 overs.
Gl
............
2nd update :
Punjab 112/8 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.12
Well plan is:
1.Lay Chennai 1.05 if comes in 1st 5 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Gl
..............
1st Update :
Punjab batting first and score is 71/7 in 16th over.
Odds Chennai 1.07 as favourites.
Imo a good lay because even at score 90 we may get 1.06 to back.
So lay now with back plan all at 1.14
Good luck.
...............
Hello and welcome to 2nd semifinal trading strategy for 1st innings.
I always believe that the matches in which one team is strong favourites prematch proves very good for trading in any format of the game if there is not much difference in the teams.Even in these matches i prefer strong team to bat first for free lays.
Why ?
Answer is simple.Let's look at the odds for this match.Punjab favourites at 1.56 presently.If they bat first and flying start then odds may shorten to 1.3x quickly which is going to be a free lay for 5 overs atleast and we can trade out at same odds after some time if no profit from trade but if wickets or some tight overs then we can take profit quickly.
Later on if they continue to bat well then we may see 1.1x around 15 overs onwards which is going to be a another good free lay.
...............
Yesterday in 1st semifinal i predicted 1.5x odds on 200 score (Rajasthan batting first) and it was almost same (192 score and Rajasthan traded at 1.64 at innings break).So Rajasthan at 1.4x/1.5x was a good free lay in that match which has very little downward possible movement.
..................
So plan for 1st innings is :
(A) If Punjab bat first :
(2 Free lays expected.First in 1-10 overs and another one in 11-20 overs).
1.Lay Punjab 1.35 if comes in 1st 10 overs with back plan all above 20-30 ticks.
Trade out at same odds or take stop loss 6-8 ticks after sometime.
2.Lay Punjab 1.15 or below if comes around 13-17 overs (consider lay 1.2x if comes after 3 wickets and runrate below 9).Take profit or trade out after sometime.
*Try to repeat trades.Like lay 1.3x and back 1.5x again if 1st trade gone successful.
These are going to be free lays which depends on good start by Punjab.But if bad start then plan is :
3.Back Punjab 2+ if comes in 1st 5 overs with 30 ticks stop loss.Take profit whenever you get chance.
4.Lay Chennai around 1.45 if come anytime upto 4 wickets but score 70+ with stop loss 12 ticks and take profit whenever you get chance.
....................
(B) If Chennai bat first :
This one is interesting because instead of free lay we may find free back in Punjab odds if Chennai start well.
1.Back Punjab 1.8 and then 2.2 if comes in 1st 10 overs.Imo upto 180 score odds are going to be evens at innings break and i don't think Chennai is capable to score 180+.So it may prove safe trade although my advise is to take stop loss or trade out at same odds around 10th over if Chennai continue to bat well because anything is possible in cricket.
2.Lay Chennai 1.6x if comes in 13-17 overs as free lay.Take profit whenever you get chance and stop loss 16 ticks.
Again these trades depends on good start by Chennai.But if bad start then plan is :
3.Lay Punjab 1.2x if comes in 1st 10 overs upto 2 wickets.Take profit whenever you get chance and stop loss 8 ticks.
4.Lay Punjab 1.2-1.3 in middle overs if score 70+ after 3 wickets.Like score 70/3 in 12 overs.Reason for this trade is that Chennai middle order is strong than top order.Consider stop loss 6-8 ticks and take profit whenever you get chance.
So we have plans for each situation (good or bad start) anyone bat first.
I will post update inplay.
All the best and good luck.
.................
P.S :
We are trying to cover some county (domestic) matches.That includes Friends Provident Trophy,Pro40 and other matches after IPL in this blog.
Australia v West Indies Test match we are covering in live trading room.If you want to join then please see details at tradeoncricket.com
Any comments/suggestion most welcome.
Thanks for reading.
Chennai 15/1 in 3rd over.
Last lay gone well.Infact last 2 low odds performed very well.
Plan is to lay again at 1.05 if comes in next 5 overs.
Gl
............
2nd update :
Punjab 112/8 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.12
Well plan is:
1.Lay Chennai 1.05 if comes in 1st 5 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Gl
..............
1st Update :
Punjab batting first and score is 71/7 in 16th over.
Odds Chennai 1.07 as favourites.
Imo a good lay because even at score 90 we may get 1.06 to back.
So lay now with back plan all at 1.14
Good luck.
...............
Hello and welcome to 2nd semifinal trading strategy for 1st innings.
I always believe that the matches in which one team is strong favourites prematch proves very good for trading in any format of the game if there is not much difference in the teams.Even in these matches i prefer strong team to bat first for free lays.
Why ?
Answer is simple.Let's look at the odds for this match.Punjab favourites at 1.56 presently.If they bat first and flying start then odds may shorten to 1.3x quickly which is going to be a free lay for 5 overs atleast and we can trade out at same odds after some time if no profit from trade but if wickets or some tight overs then we can take profit quickly.
Later on if they continue to bat well then we may see 1.1x around 15 overs onwards which is going to be a another good free lay.
...............
Yesterday in 1st semifinal i predicted 1.5x odds on 200 score (Rajasthan batting first) and it was almost same (192 score and Rajasthan traded at 1.64 at innings break).So Rajasthan at 1.4x/1.5x was a good free lay in that match which has very little downward possible movement.
..................
So plan for 1st innings is :
(A) If Punjab bat first :
(2 Free lays expected.First in 1-10 overs and another one in 11-20 overs).
1.Lay Punjab 1.35 if comes in 1st 10 overs with back plan all above 20-30 ticks.
Trade out at same odds or take stop loss 6-8 ticks after sometime.
2.Lay Punjab 1.15 or below if comes around 13-17 overs (consider lay 1.2x if comes after 3 wickets and runrate below 9).Take profit or trade out after sometime.
*Try to repeat trades.Like lay 1.3x and back 1.5x again if 1st trade gone successful.
These are going to be free lays which depends on good start by Punjab.But if bad start then plan is :
3.Back Punjab 2+ if comes in 1st 5 overs with 30 ticks stop loss.Take profit whenever you get chance.
4.Lay Chennai around 1.45 if come anytime upto 4 wickets but score 70+ with stop loss 12 ticks and take profit whenever you get chance.
....................
(B) If Chennai bat first :
This one is interesting because instead of free lay we may find free back in Punjab odds if Chennai start well.
1.Back Punjab 1.8 and then 2.2 if comes in 1st 10 overs.Imo upto 180 score odds are going to be evens at innings break and i don't think Chennai is capable to score 180+.So it may prove safe trade although my advise is to take stop loss or trade out at same odds around 10th over if Chennai continue to bat well because anything is possible in cricket.
2.Lay Chennai 1.6x if comes in 13-17 overs as free lay.Take profit whenever you get chance and stop loss 16 ticks.
Again these trades depends on good start by Chennai.But if bad start then plan is :
3.Lay Punjab 1.2x if comes in 1st 10 overs upto 2 wickets.Take profit whenever you get chance and stop loss 8 ticks.
4.Lay Punjab 1.2-1.3 in middle overs if score 70+ after 3 wickets.Like score 70/3 in 12 overs.Reason for this trade is that Chennai middle order is strong than top order.Consider stop loss 6-8 ticks and take profit whenever you get chance.
So we have plans for each situation (good or bad start) anyone bat first.
I will post update inplay.
All the best and good luck.
.................
P.S :
We are trying to cover some county (domestic) matches.That includes Friends Provident Trophy,Pro40 and other matches after IPL in this blog.
Australia v West Indies Test match we are covering in live trading room.If you want to join then please see details at tradeoncricket.com
Any comments/suggestion most welcome.
Thanks for reading.
Friday, May 30, 2008
IPL : Delhi v Jaipur -1st Semifinal {Inplay}
2nd Update :
Rajasthan 192/9 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.64
Profit from last trade also.
Always remember free lays pays most of the time.
Now plan for chase is :
1.Lay Delhi 1.36 if comes in 1st 10 overs as free lay.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Stop loss >8 ticks.
2.Lay Rajasthan 1.16 if comes in 1st 5 overs as free lay.Back plan 80% at 1.3x stop loss after 10 overs.
Gl
...............
1st Update :
Rajasthan 88/3 in 11th over.
Well our first 10 overs trading gone well thanks to 3 quick wickets.
Now plan is to lay Rajasthan 1.4x/1.5x if comes in next 2-3 overs with same back and stop loss plan.
Gl
..................
Hello and welcome to all.
Match will start from 14:30 GMT.
...............
Rajasthan favourites at 1.79 presently.
Well before start i want to mention strategy in brief for 1st innings.
(A) If Rajasthan bat first :
Delhi batting lineup is very strong on paper.So market is going to offer good odds on Rajasthan even on 200 score (around 1.4x-1.5x).
So if good start by Rajasthan and you find there odds shorten to 1.7x in start ,lay that as free lay for 4-5 overs with back plan all above 30-40 ticks or take all green position whenever you get chance.Stop loss or trade out at same odds around 11-12 overs at 1.6x-1.7x.
If Rajasthan continue to bat well then consider lay 1.4x-1.5x around 13-14th over as absolute free lay with same back plan and stop loss or trade out around 17-18 over on +-10 ticks if it looks they are heading for 210+.
Here i want to mention that on any free lay if no profit in 4-5 overs then try to trade out at +-5 ticks.
If bad start by Rajasthan then lay Delhi around 1.3x if comes in start upto 2 wickets with back plan all above 20-30 ticks.Try to repeat these trades.
.................
(B) If Delhi bat first :
After toss Rajasthan may cut around 1.6x if Delhi bat first.Small lay Rajasthan in start because on a good start we may see evens quickly.
Other plan is same like Rajasthan innings.
Try to lay Delhi 1.5x if comes in first 10 overs as free lay for 4-5 overs after flying start with same back plan and stop loss or trade out plan.
If Delhi continue to bat well then consider lay Delhi 1.3x as absolute free lay around 11-12 overs.
Back plan and stop loss or trade out plan is same.
If bad start by Delhi then consider lay Rajasthan around 1.3x in start upto 2 wickets.
.................
I hope this strategy may help you in first innings though i will post updates inplay.
All the best.
...............
Australia v West Indies ,2nd Test will also start from today.
If you want to join us for live trading then please check details at tradeoncricket.com
Thank you.
Rajasthan 192/9 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.64
Profit from last trade also.
Always remember free lays pays most of the time.
Now plan for chase is :
1.Lay Delhi 1.36 if comes in 1st 10 overs as free lay.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Stop loss >8 ticks.
2.Lay Rajasthan 1.16 if comes in 1st 5 overs as free lay.Back plan 80% at 1.3x stop loss after 10 overs.
Gl
...............
1st Update :
Rajasthan 88/3 in 11th over.
Well our first 10 overs trading gone well thanks to 3 quick wickets.
Now plan is to lay Rajasthan 1.4x/1.5x if comes in next 2-3 overs with same back and stop loss plan.
Gl
..................
Hello and welcome to all.
Match will start from 14:30 GMT.
...............
Rajasthan favourites at 1.79 presently.
Well before start i want to mention strategy in brief for 1st innings.
(A) If Rajasthan bat first :
Delhi batting lineup is very strong on paper.So market is going to offer good odds on Rajasthan even on 200 score (around 1.4x-1.5x).
So if good start by Rajasthan and you find there odds shorten to 1.7x in start ,lay that as free lay for 4-5 overs with back plan all above 30-40 ticks or take all green position whenever you get chance.Stop loss or trade out at same odds around 11-12 overs at 1.6x-1.7x.
If Rajasthan continue to bat well then consider lay 1.4x-1.5x around 13-14th over as absolute free lay with same back plan and stop loss or trade out around 17-18 over on +-10 ticks if it looks they are heading for 210+.
Here i want to mention that on any free lay if no profit in 4-5 overs then try to trade out at +-5 ticks.
If bad start by Rajasthan then lay Delhi around 1.3x if comes in start upto 2 wickets with back plan all above 20-30 ticks.Try to repeat these trades.
.................
(B) If Delhi bat first :
After toss Rajasthan may cut around 1.6x if Delhi bat first.Small lay Rajasthan in start because on a good start we may see evens quickly.
Other plan is same like Rajasthan innings.
Try to lay Delhi 1.5x if comes in first 10 overs as free lay for 4-5 overs after flying start with same back plan and stop loss or trade out plan.
If Delhi continue to bat well then consider lay Delhi 1.3x as absolute free lay around 11-12 overs.
Back plan and stop loss or trade out plan is same.
If bad start by Delhi then consider lay Rajasthan around 1.3x in start upto 2 wickets.
.................
I hope this strategy may help you in first innings though i will post updates inplay.
All the best.
...............
Australia v West Indies ,2nd Test will also start from today.
If you want to join us for live trading then please check details at tradeoncricket.com
Thank you.
Wednesday, May 28, 2008
IPL : Punjab v Rajasthan {Inplay}
2nd Update :
Punjab 221/3 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.14
Looking another one sided match but you never know.
Anyway plan for chase is :
1.Back Punjab
20@1.3
30@1.6
if comes in 1st 8 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.Stop loss> well at this score odds may stay around 1.7 highest in 1st 10-12 overs.So try to run these back for some overs because wickets and run both will hold price.But if it seems that Rajasthan can win like score 110/1 in 9 overs then try to trade out with minimum loss around 11-12 overs.
Gl
..............
1st Update :
Punjab 74/0 in 8th over.
Plan is lay Punjab 200@1.21 if comes in remaining innings as free lay because imo upto 210 score we may get 1.18 to back.So very low risk lay if comes.Take profit whenever you get chance on above 15-20 ticks and stop loss at innings break on available odds.
All the best.
................
Welcome back.
Punjab batting first.
1st 8 overs plan is to lay Punjab 100@1.45 if comes with 8 ticks stop loss.Back plan 70% at 1.7x
Gl
Punjab 221/3 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.14
Looking another one sided match but you never know.
Anyway plan for chase is :
1.Back Punjab
20@1.3
30@1.6
if comes in 1st 8 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.Stop loss> well at this score odds may stay around 1.7 highest in 1st 10-12 overs.So try to run these back for some overs because wickets and run both will hold price.But if it seems that Rajasthan can win like score 110/1 in 9 overs then try to trade out with minimum loss around 11-12 overs.
Gl
..............
1st Update :
Punjab 74/0 in 8th over.
Plan is lay Punjab 200@1.21 if comes in remaining innings as free lay because imo upto 210 score we may get 1.18 to back.So very low risk lay if comes.Take profit whenever you get chance on above 15-20 ticks and stop loss at innings break on available odds.
All the best.
................
Welcome back.
Punjab batting first.
1st 8 overs plan is to lay Punjab 100@1.45 if comes with 8 ticks stop loss.Back plan 70% at 1.7x
Gl
IPL :Mumbai v Banglore :28th May {Inplay}
3rd Update :
Banglore 122/9 in 18 overs.
Odds 1.14
Match is over unless any dramatic collapse.
Wait for 2 wickets in start then consider lay at 200@1.05 with back plan all above 8-10 ticks.Trade out if no profit in 2-3 overs.
Gl
..................
Banglore batting first and 18 over per side match is expected.
Mumbai favourites at 1.43 presently.
Only few plans for 1st innings :
1.Back 50@1.7 Mumbai if comes and if odds drift then back 50@2.2.Take profit whenever you get chance but more on Mumbai.Stop loss at innings break at available odds.
2.Lay 100@1.17 Mumbai if comes in 1st 8 overs with stop loss 4 ticks.Back plan 120% at 1.3x
Good luck.
...................
2nd Update :
There is some chance of play today as rain stopped now.
So please stay and wait for update if game start.
Thank you.
..................
1st Update :
Bad news because chances of play is very less due to rain.
So please join us again for next game of the day which is Punjab v Rajasthan
at 14:30 GMT.
Till then good bye.
...............
Hello and welcome to Mumbai v Banglore live cricket trading.
Two last group matches today.
1st is this one and will start from 10:30 GMT.
.................
So please join us before start of the match.Yesterday we traded Chennai v Deccan match.Game died at early stage so there were few trading opportunities but we find two good free lays one in each innings and i hope small profit taken from both.
Chennai 1.3x in 1st innings and 1.2x in 2nd innings were good and safe free lays.
Let's try to find free lays in this match also as well as some trading opportunities for quick trade.
Good luck.
Waiting for your comments/suggestions and feedback.
Banglore 122/9 in 18 overs.
Odds 1.14
Match is over unless any dramatic collapse.
Wait for 2 wickets in start then consider lay at 200@1.05 with back plan all above 8-10 ticks.Trade out if no profit in 2-3 overs.
Gl
..................
Banglore batting first and 18 over per side match is expected.
Mumbai favourites at 1.43 presently.
Only few plans for 1st innings :
1.Back 50@1.7 Mumbai if comes and if odds drift then back 50@2.2.Take profit whenever you get chance but more on Mumbai.Stop loss at innings break at available odds.
2.Lay 100@1.17 Mumbai if comes in 1st 8 overs with stop loss 4 ticks.Back plan 120% at 1.3x
Good luck.
...................
2nd Update :
There is some chance of play today as rain stopped now.
So please stay and wait for update if game start.
Thank you.
..................
1st Update :
Bad news because chances of play is very less due to rain.
So please join us again for next game of the day which is Punjab v Rajasthan
at 14:30 GMT.
Till then good bye.
...............
Hello and welcome to Mumbai v Banglore live cricket trading.
Two last group matches today.
1st is this one and will start from 10:30 GMT.
.................
So please join us before start of the match.Yesterday we traded Chennai v Deccan match.Game died at early stage so there were few trading opportunities but we find two good free lays one in each innings and i hope small profit taken from both.
Chennai 1.3x in 1st innings and 1.2x in 2nd innings were good and safe free lays.
Let's try to find free lays in this match also as well as some trading opportunities for quick trade.
Good luck.
Waiting for your comments/suggestions and feedback.
Tuesday, May 27, 2008
IPL : Chennai v Deccan, 27th May {Inplay}
3rd Update :
Deccan 147/8 in 20 overs.
Odds Chennai 1.39
Plan is to wait for Chennai 1.2x or 2.2x
1.Lay Chennai 200@1.23 if comes in 1st 5 overs with stop loss 6 ticks and back plan 90% above 15-20 ticks.
2.Back Chennai 50@2.2 if comes in first 10 overs upto 3 wicket but score 50+ with stop loss 30 ticks.Take profit whenever you get chance on 30-40 ticks.
Gl
.................
2nd Update :
Deccan 44/2 in 8th over.
Odds Chennai 1.39
Strange odds frankly.
Let last trade run as per plan.
Plan for remaining innings is :
Back Chennai 100@1.8 if comes with stop loss 30 ticks.
Gl
................
1st Update :
Early update because i forget to post plan to lay Chennai also at 1.3x which is also safe in starting overs mainly due to Chennai SP.
Lay Chennai 100@1.32 (i prefer small stake to lay bowling team) if comes upto 2 wickets like score 30/2 with back plan 80% at 1.5x
Strict stop loss 8 ticks.
Gl
.................
Hello and good morning,afternoon,evening wherever you are.
Deccan batting first and odds presently :
Chennai 1.74
................
Well what i learn so far from IPL is don't involve untill first 7-8 overs of 1st innings. Only in 1 condition consider entry if batting team odds available at 1.3x to lay.
So plan for 1st 8 overs is lay Deccan 200@1.35 if comes with back plan 110% at 1.5x and stop loss 8 ticks.
.................
I will update plans for remaining innings around 8th over.
Good luck.
Deccan 147/8 in 20 overs.
Odds Chennai 1.39
Plan is to wait for Chennai 1.2x or 2.2x
1.Lay Chennai 200@1.23 if comes in 1st 5 overs with stop loss 6 ticks and back plan 90% above 15-20 ticks.
2.Back Chennai 50@2.2 if comes in first 10 overs upto 3 wicket but score 50+ with stop loss 30 ticks.Take profit whenever you get chance on 30-40 ticks.
Gl
.................
2nd Update :
Deccan 44/2 in 8th over.
Odds Chennai 1.39
Strange odds frankly.
Let last trade run as per plan.
Plan for remaining innings is :
Back Chennai 100@1.8 if comes with stop loss 30 ticks.
Gl
................
1st Update :
Early update because i forget to post plan to lay Chennai also at 1.3x which is also safe in starting overs mainly due to Chennai SP.
Lay Chennai 100@1.32 (i prefer small stake to lay bowling team) if comes upto 2 wickets like score 30/2 with back plan 80% at 1.5x
Strict stop loss 8 ticks.
Gl
.................
Hello and good morning,afternoon,evening wherever you are.
Deccan batting first and odds presently :
Chennai 1.74
................
Well what i learn so far from IPL is don't involve untill first 7-8 overs of 1st innings. Only in 1 condition consider entry if batting team odds available at 1.3x to lay.
So plan for 1st 8 overs is lay Deccan 200@1.35 if comes with back plan 110% at 1.5x and stop loss 8 ticks.
.................
I will update plans for remaining innings around 8th over.
Good luck.
IPL : Remaining Matches (May, 27 Onwards)
Hello and welcome back.
We are covering some remaining matches of IPL for live cricket trading on this blog.
Test matches and ODI's are in premium package of live cricket trading room and we covered some IPL matches for free in that also.
Today's match is Chennai v Deccan at 14:30 GMT.So please join us at that time for live trading.
Cheers.
Dip
We are covering some remaining matches of IPL for live cricket trading on this blog.
Test matches and ODI's are in premium package of live cricket trading room and we covered some IPL matches for free in that also.
Today's match is Chennai v Deccan at 14:30 GMT.So please join us at that time for live trading.
Cheers.
Dip
Sunday, April 27, 2008
IPL : Delhi v Punjab ,27th April - Preview & Plan
Hello and welcome back.
We are offering free service till 14th May at live trading room.
Details can be found here http://tradeoncricket.com/
Also we are posting preview and plan of most of the matches.
It can be found daily at Pete's blog http://tradeonsports.blogspot.com/ along with excellent football predictions by
Pete and sometimes here also.
...........................................
Delhi v Punjab:
(11:30 GMT)
Venue :
Punjab Cricket Association Stadium, Mohali, Chandigarh
................
Delhi unbeaten so far from 2 games while Punjab won one game from three.
Delhi mainly dependent on their openers and on their day they can be unstoppable but if they fail then there is no depth in batting.Punjab more balance side than Delhi.
Overall Delhi is team who can win by 9 wickets or lose by 9 wickets.
Main points:
1.Ground/pitch:
Batting pitch and high scoring match is expected.Toss winner may prefer to bat first.
2.Teams :
>Delhi
Key players are Sehwag , Gambhir , S Malik , D L Vettori and Mcgrath
Team don't have batting depth so they may struggle if bad start.
>Punjab
Yuvraj , Jayawardene , B Lee , JR Hopes and Sangakkara are key players.
Balanced team and batting depth.
B Lee can destroy any team top batting order.
3.Early prices and market mood.
Punjab slightly favourites at 1.98 presently.
(Delhi now @1.89 during typing)
Punjab playing at home ground and no doubt more balanced team than Delhi.
Roughly no clear cut favourites.
.................
Strategy for match:
We traded 2 games yesterday.
1st match plan gone well but not in 2nd match.
But i hope profit in 1st match is more than 2nd match loss because quick stop loss is taken in 2nd match.
Main winning strategy done well in 1st match and our focus will be more on that in remaining matches.
.................
Predicted target odds & 1st innings plan:
(A) If Delhi bat first:
230 1.1x
210 1.4x
190 Evens
170 2.5x
150 3.8x
130 6.2x
110 15
*All are Delhi odds.
Plan If Delhi bat first:
1.Lay Delhi 200@1.6x (consider 1.8x after Sehwag wicket) if comes in 1st 10 overs as free lay.
Stop loss:
Strict stop loss @1.48 because Sehwag and Gambhir explosive batting can start 1.01 train.
If stop loss does not hit then let it run and green up last.
2.Back Punjab 100@2+ if comes in first 10 overs after 2 wickets.Consider back Punjab 1.7+ if bad start and 2 wickets and Sehwag wicket in that if comes in 1st 10 overs.
Back 100 more if odds lengthen to 2.2-2.4
Stop loss : 2.9 Punjab
Let it run for some time if stop loss does not hit and green up at low odds.
3.Lay Delhi 200@1.2x if comes anytime in 1st innings.
Stop loss at available odds in innings break and take profit or back 120% above 20-30 ticks.
(Summary is if bad start then back Punjab at decent odds and if very good start then lay Delhi in low odds and green up if stop loss does not hit).
...................
(B) If Punjab bat first:
230 1.1x
210 1.4x
190 1.8x
170 2.6x
150 4.8x
130 8.2x
110 20
*All are Punjab odds.
Plan If Punjab bat first:
1.Lay Punjab
100@1.7x
100@1.4x
If comes in 1st 10 overs.
Stop loss at 12-15 overs at 1.4x-1.5x and take equal profit whenever you get chance.
Try to repeat this trade.
3.Lay Delhi 100@1.6x if comes upto 2 wickets but score 60+ in first 10 overs.
Stop loss 12 ticks and let it run if stop loss does not hit for some long and then green up.
4.Lay Punjab 200@1.5x if comes after 3 wickets in 12-15 overs and runrate below 10 with stop loss 12 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.
...............
Summary:
It is going to be contest between
Sehwag and B Lee
Sangakkara and Mcgrath
This contest winner's team is going to be most likely winner.
No straight bet advise because difficult to predict winner.
All the best.
Dip
We are offering free service till 14th May at live trading room.
Details can be found here http://tradeoncricket.com/
Also we are posting preview and plan of most of the matches.
It can be found daily at Pete's blog http://tradeonsports.blogspot.com/ along with excellent football predictions by
Pete and sometimes here also.
...........................................
Delhi v Punjab:
(11:30 GMT)
Venue :
Punjab Cricket Association Stadium, Mohali, Chandigarh
................
Delhi unbeaten so far from 2 games while Punjab won one game from three.
Delhi mainly dependent on their openers and on their day they can be unstoppable but if they fail then there is no depth in batting.Punjab more balance side than Delhi.
Overall Delhi is team who can win by 9 wickets or lose by 9 wickets.
Main points:
1.Ground/pitch:
Batting pitch and high scoring match is expected.Toss winner may prefer to bat first.
2.Teams :
>Delhi
Key players are Sehwag , Gambhir , S Malik , D L Vettori and Mcgrath
Team don't have batting depth so they may struggle if bad start.
>Punjab
Yuvraj , Jayawardene , B Lee , JR Hopes and Sangakkara are key players.
Balanced team and batting depth.
B Lee can destroy any team top batting order.
3.Early prices and market mood.
Punjab slightly favourites at 1.98 presently.
(Delhi now @1.89 during typing)
Punjab playing at home ground and no doubt more balanced team than Delhi.
Roughly no clear cut favourites.
.................
Strategy for match:
We traded 2 games yesterday.
1st match plan gone well but not in 2nd match.
But i hope profit in 1st match is more than 2nd match loss because quick stop loss is taken in 2nd match.
Main winning strategy done well in 1st match and our focus will be more on that in remaining matches.
.................
Predicted target odds & 1st innings plan:
(A) If Delhi bat first:
230 1.1x
210 1.4x
190 Evens
170 2.5x
150 3.8x
130 6.2x
110 15
*All are Delhi odds.
Plan If Delhi bat first:
1.Lay Delhi 200@1.6x (consider 1.8x after Sehwag wicket) if comes in 1st 10 overs as free lay.
Stop loss:
Strict stop loss @1.48 because Sehwag and Gambhir explosive batting can start 1.01 train.
If stop loss does not hit then let it run and green up last.
2.Back Punjab 100@2+ if comes in first 10 overs after 2 wickets.Consider back Punjab 1.7+ if bad start and 2 wickets and Sehwag wicket in that if comes in 1st 10 overs.
Back 100 more if odds lengthen to 2.2-2.4
Stop loss : 2.9 Punjab
Let it run for some time if stop loss does not hit and green up at low odds.
3.Lay Delhi 200@1.2x if comes anytime in 1st innings.
Stop loss at available odds in innings break and take profit or back 120% above 20-30 ticks.
(Summary is if bad start then back Punjab at decent odds and if very good start then lay Delhi in low odds and green up if stop loss does not hit).
...................
(B) If Punjab bat first:
230 1.1x
210 1.4x
190 1.8x
170 2.6x
150 4.8x
130 8.2x
110 20
*All are Punjab odds.
Plan If Punjab bat first:
1.Lay Punjab
100@1.7x
100@1.4x
If comes in 1st 10 overs.
Stop loss at 12-15 overs at 1.4x-1.5x and take equal profit whenever you get chance.
Try to repeat this trade.
3.Lay Delhi 100@1.6x if comes upto 2 wickets but score 60+ in first 10 overs.
Stop loss 12 ticks and let it run if stop loss does not hit for some long and then green up.
4.Lay Punjab 200@1.5x if comes after 3 wickets in 12-15 overs and runrate below 10 with stop loss 12 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.
...............
Summary:
It is going to be contest between
Sehwag and B Lee
Sangakkara and Mcgrath
This contest winner's team is going to be most likely winner.
No straight bet advise because difficult to predict winner.
All the best.
Dip
Friday, April 18, 2008
IPL Twenty20 Tournament : Strategy & Some General Points
Hello and welcome back.
Long time since last post but I'll try now to be regular.
Big tournament ahead so i want to post something on it.
....................................
Main matches in which good free lays and excellent trading opportunities is expected :
First I'm taking 2nd innings opportunities:
1.High chase (170-210) :(A) Batting team low odds (1.2-1.4) to lay around 7-10 overs if they start well.(B) Bowling team low odds (1.1-1.3) to lay if early wickets.
2.Low chase (110-140) :(A) Batting team low odds (1.0x-1.2) to lay around 2-5 overs if they start well.(B) Batting team high odds odds ( 1.6-1.8 ) to back if early wickets.
1st innings:
(A)Flying start by batting team : Batting team low odds (1.3-1.5) around 3-7 overs to lay.
(B) Bowling team low odds (1.3-1.5) to lay if early wickets in first 10 overs (as mentioned earlier wickets are of less importance in this format and collapse generally not seen because 11 batsman are there to play only 20 overs).
>Those matches are very good for trading in which one team is strong favourite prematch around 1.4x-1.6xBecause there odds shorten rapidly after good start either batting first or bowling first and in this format of cricket every team has equal chance to win.
..............................................
Some general points to consider while laying low odds:
*Wickets are of less importance so we can consider lay bowling team on wickets @1.3x in first 10 overs.*Any 1.2x if comes early is proved a good lay if both are good teams because only one good over can change the odds
............................................
Predicted target odds
It is not easy to predict in starting matches because all teams are new but imo odds are going to be around evens on 160 score if almost equal teams are playing (In recently played ICL it was very difficult to predict because big difference in teams ,like for 180 odds was 1.1x at innings break where is in last Twenty20 world cup it was around 1.5x because all teams played in that tournament was quality teams >full strength team from test playing nations).
Main points for predicted target odds:
>Pitch type.
>Ground size and history (high scoring or low scoring ground).
>Market mood (heavily favouring one team or not).
>Home or away team.
>Both team batting & bowling strength.
>Both team records against each other.
>Day/Night effect on matches specially in chase and due factor.
...............................
I want to mention here that first week matches are for small stake trading and to make a strategy for next matches.
Because in every team there are unknown players.
So Predicted target odds is difficult to predict in early matches like for tomorrow match i don't have fair idea about odds on score 170 if Kolkata bat first (is it going to be 1.7x or 1.4x and even 1.2x is possible).
........................................
Volatile market strategy:
Possibility of volatile market in each match.
Best it to avoid trading at that time but if you want to trade at that time small lay anyteam 1.2x or below.
Why:
Market is volatile because odds are changing rapidly on wickets and runs means short odds are lengthening and long odds are becoming short.
So there are three benefits of this strategy:
First benefit is if that trade goes against use then loss in minimum because we layed short odds.
Second is big profit is expected every time and the third one and most important is you can close that trade easily anytime like if you layed 100@1.22 then chances of back at 1.14-1.18 is there everytime...............
Apart from this always try to go with bowl team in tense situation at 7+ or lay bat team at 1.1x.
.......................................................
When to lay:
Most important point because this creates the difference between mug punting and smart trading.Always try to take momentum odds i.e after boundaries or wickets.
1st Innings:
1.Batting team after flying start in low odds in 1st 5 overs or after 4-5 wickets in low odds in middle overs.
2.Bowling team upto 3 wickets in low odds in 1st 10 overs.
Second innings:
1.Low chase :
wait for batting team 1.0x after 2 wickets because even after 2 wickets odds are same as start but chances of drift is more after 2 wickets.
2.High chase :
Wait for batting team in low odds if good start.
....................................
Random general tips:
>While Laying bowling team 1.2x:Consider who is coming next or whether big hitter batsman are remaining or not .
>Wait for anyteam 1.3x is best policy in Twenty20.
>Spin bowling around 10-15 overs is crucial in both innings.So teams having good spinners are backable at that time.
>Chasing :60 runs in 6 overs looks big but 40 in 3 doesn't looks big if wickets in hand so can consider lay bowling team 1.1x in this situation.
>Batting team 1.0x-1.2x odds in chase is going to be very good trading opportunity specially after 3 wickets and 90+ runs required at 8+ runrate because at this runrate it is not easy to score in any format of the game or i can say should not be a 1.1x call.
>Selective trading in selective matches is best for long term.
>Advance lay/back plan with stop loss is must because there is generally no win trade is seen in Twenty20 matches and few ticks profit on each side is going to be main strategy.More profit on favourite team is considerable.
..................................................
Advance lay/back plans and stop loss:
Other important point or most important aspect of trading specially in limited overs game. It is human tendency that we all close win trade early and let lose trade run long. Like if layed at 1.2 then back at 1.3 or 1.4 but if it goes against us then wait for miracle. Common problem with everyone and i think solution for this is mechanical trading (frankly from my personal experience there is loss whenever i deviated from it or very small profit instead of good plan). So always follow advance lay/back plans with strict stop loss and it is the way for success in long run.
For example if any team batting first in a Twenty20 match has a flying start and the odds are 1.4x in 4th over. As per plan we layed that team for 200@1.44, now back plan is important. Suppose after 1st wickets odds reached to 1.6x then it is sensible to back 120% or 240@1.62 because in Twenty20 wickets are of less importance than in any other format of the game .For this place advance back trade of 240@1.62 is required because odds changes within seconds to 1.5x (some time without a ball been bowled) and then try to lay/back 1.4x-1.6x again.
*Also take stop loss if required, suppose if set at 6-8 ticks is must when trade looking to going against us (we've seen in recent ICL matches Lahore odds shorten to 1.0x within few overs in start) .
So back plan may be to back 80% at above 20-25 ticks (take early profit) or back 120% at above 20-25 ticks and try to repeat that.
......................................................
DON'T's In Twenty20 Trading
Please avoid these situations which can lead to poor house:
1.Never back short odds at anytime of match (1.0x to 1.3x) .
2.Don't allow lose trade to run long.
3.Avoid over trading and over staking.
4.Don't chase losses.
Please visit regular for preview and strategy for matches.
Thanks for visit.
All the best and good luck to all.
Long time since last post but I'll try now to be regular.
Big tournament ahead so i want to post something on it.
....................................
Main matches in which good free lays and excellent trading opportunities is expected :
First I'm taking 2nd innings opportunities:
1.High chase (170-210) :(A) Batting team low odds (1.2-1.4) to lay around 7-10 overs if they start well.(B) Bowling team low odds (1.1-1.3) to lay if early wickets.
2.Low chase (110-140) :(A) Batting team low odds (1.0x-1.2) to lay around 2-5 overs if they start well.(B) Batting team high odds odds ( 1.6-1.8 ) to back if early wickets.
1st innings:
(A)Flying start by batting team : Batting team low odds (1.3-1.5) around 3-7 overs to lay.
(B) Bowling team low odds (1.3-1.5) to lay if early wickets in first 10 overs (as mentioned earlier wickets are of less importance in this format and collapse generally not seen because 11 batsman are there to play only 20 overs).
>Those matches are very good for trading in which one team is strong favourite prematch around 1.4x-1.6xBecause there odds shorten rapidly after good start either batting first or bowling first and in this format of cricket every team has equal chance to win.
..............................................
Some general points to consider while laying low odds:
*Wickets are of less importance so we can consider lay bowling team on wickets @1.3x in first 10 overs.*Any 1.2x if comes early is proved a good lay if both are good teams because only one good over can change the odds
............................................
Predicted target odds
It is not easy to predict in starting matches because all teams are new but imo odds are going to be around evens on 160 score if almost equal teams are playing (In recently played ICL it was very difficult to predict because big difference in teams ,like for 180 odds was 1.1x at innings break where is in last Twenty20 world cup it was around 1.5x because all teams played in that tournament was quality teams >full strength team from test playing nations).
Main points for predicted target odds:
>Pitch type.
>Ground size and history (high scoring or low scoring ground).
>Market mood (heavily favouring one team or not).
>Home or away team.
>Both team batting & bowling strength.
>Both team records against each other.
>Day/Night effect on matches specially in chase and due factor.
...............................
I want to mention here that first week matches are for small stake trading and to make a strategy for next matches.
Because in every team there are unknown players.
So Predicted target odds is difficult to predict in early matches like for tomorrow match i don't have fair idea about odds on score 170 if Kolkata bat first (is it going to be 1.7x or 1.4x and even 1.2x is possible).
........................................
Volatile market strategy:
Possibility of volatile market in each match.
Best it to avoid trading at that time but if you want to trade at that time small lay anyteam 1.2x or below.
Why:
Market is volatile because odds are changing rapidly on wickets and runs means short odds are lengthening and long odds are becoming short.
So there are three benefits of this strategy:
First benefit is if that trade goes against use then loss in minimum because we layed short odds.
Second is big profit is expected every time and the third one and most important is you can close that trade easily anytime like if you layed 100@1.22 then chances of back at 1.14-1.18 is there everytime...............
Apart from this always try to go with bowl team in tense situation at 7+ or lay bat team at 1.1x.
.......................................................
When to lay:
Most important point because this creates the difference between mug punting and smart trading.Always try to take momentum odds i.e after boundaries or wickets.
1st Innings:
1.Batting team after flying start in low odds in 1st 5 overs or after 4-5 wickets in low odds in middle overs.
2.Bowling team upto 3 wickets in low odds in 1st 10 overs.
Second innings:
1.Low chase :
wait for batting team 1.0x after 2 wickets because even after 2 wickets odds are same as start but chances of drift is more after 2 wickets.
2.High chase :
Wait for batting team in low odds if good start.
....................................
Random general tips:
>While Laying bowling team 1.2x:Consider who is coming next or whether big hitter batsman are remaining or not .
>Wait for anyteam 1.3x is best policy in Twenty20.
>Spin bowling around 10-15 overs is crucial in both innings.So teams having good spinners are backable at that time.
>Chasing :60 runs in 6 overs looks big but 40 in 3 doesn't looks big if wickets in hand so can consider lay bowling team 1.1x in this situation.
>Batting team 1.0x-1.2x odds in chase is going to be very good trading opportunity specially after 3 wickets and 90+ runs required at 8+ runrate because at this runrate it is not easy to score in any format of the game or i can say should not be a 1.1x call.
>Selective trading in selective matches is best for long term.
>Advance lay/back plan with stop loss is must because there is generally no win trade is seen in Twenty20 matches and few ticks profit on each side is going to be main strategy.More profit on favourite team is considerable.
..................................................
Advance lay/back plans and stop loss:
Other important point or most important aspect of trading specially in limited overs game. It is human tendency that we all close win trade early and let lose trade run long. Like if layed at 1.2 then back at 1.3 or 1.4 but if it goes against us then wait for miracle. Common problem with everyone and i think solution for this is mechanical trading (frankly from my personal experience there is loss whenever i deviated from it or very small profit instead of good plan). So always follow advance lay/back plans with strict stop loss and it is the way for success in long run.
For example if any team batting first in a Twenty20 match has a flying start and the odds are 1.4x in 4th over. As per plan we layed that team for 200@1.44, now back plan is important. Suppose after 1st wickets odds reached to 1.6x then it is sensible to back 120% or 240@1.62 because in Twenty20 wickets are of less importance than in any other format of the game .For this place advance back trade of 240@1.62 is required because odds changes within seconds to 1.5x (some time without a ball been bowled) and then try to lay/back 1.4x-1.6x again.
*Also take stop loss if required, suppose if set at 6-8 ticks is must when trade looking to going against us (we've seen in recent ICL matches Lahore odds shorten to 1.0x within few overs in start) .
So back plan may be to back 80% at above 20-25 ticks (take early profit) or back 120% at above 20-25 ticks and try to repeat that.
......................................................
DON'T's In Twenty20 Trading
Please avoid these situations which can lead to poor house:
1.Never back short odds at anytime of match (1.0x to 1.3x) .
2.Don't allow lose trade to run long.
3.Avoid over trading and over staking.
4.Don't chase losses.
Please visit regular for preview and strategy for matches.
Thanks for visit.
All the best and good luck to all.
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