Schedule : September , 2008

Well this month is going to be almost free from International cricket because ICC champions trophy is cancelled.
Plan is to cover some English domestic matches for either live cricket trading or straight bet advise.
I will try to post schedule tomorrow.
All the best.

Live : India v Sri Lanka ,5th ODI

Hello and welcome to our continues coverage of India v Sri Lanka ODI series.
Please check back after sometime for preview and 1st innings plan.
As a rule nowdays we don't involve in prematch odds unless any true freelay around 1.3x .
.................
P.S :
Live stream of the match will start just before toss.
So enjoy live pictures with live cricket trading advise.
Thanks
..............

1st Update : Another match today Eng/S.A 2nd ODI at same time which we are covering in live trading room.So plan is to involve minimum in this match ,probably only 1 trade in starting overs of 1st innings.
..................
2nd Update
Preview & 1st Innings Plan :

1.Day-Night Game ,3rd back to back match at this ground.

2.Average score ground and 250+ very good score to defend.

3.Pitch take turn late so batting becomes difficult as game progress.

4.Weather:
Chances of rain.Presetly clear.

5.Teams :
Plenty of changes in both sides because it's a dead rubber but no confirm news so far.

6.Market mood :
Again with Lanka but not blindly.
Presently odds are 1.8

...............
Summary is :

Standard theory "Win toss , bat first , score 230+ and win match".

India won last 3 matches but because it's a dead rubber we don't know how important this match to them.

................
Predicted target odds :

(A) If India bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.5x
250 1.8x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9

*All are India odds.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.4x
250 1.6x
230 2.8x
210 5
190 7

*All are Lanka odds.
...............

1st innings plan :
It is going to be almost same like last match.


.................
(A) If India bat first :

Plan is :

1.Back 200@2 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 30 ticks.
If stop loss not hit then take profit whenever you get chance.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

Plan is :

1.Lay 300@1.6 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 14 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.

Gl
................
*I will try to post a update after 7-8 overs.
...............
3rd Update :
Lanka 7/1 in 6th over.
India 1.61
1.Back 100@1.8 India if comes with stop loss 30 ticks.
Take profit at 1.3x
................
4th Update :
Lanka 96/4
Odds India 1.74
Poor liquidity due to England match.
Back India now and take zero position on India (Murali & Vaas not playing so odds are going to be in India's favour at innings break).
No plan to involve again till 2nd innings.
Gl
.................
Innings Break :
Lanka 227/6 in 50 overs.
Odds India 1.74
Historically chase is difficult at this ground but Murali and Vaas both not playing so you may see India 1.2x very early.
Small back India now and then green up whenever get chance.

Gl

..................
Update :
India 70/3
Match delayed by rain.
Last trade not going our way but still good book position on any result thanks mainly to big lay Lanka @1.6 in 1st innings because that trade never hit stop loss and India traded @1.2x lowest in 1st innings.
Well D/L may come in picture now so it's risky to involve further.
Take equal green position on any result now.
We are also heading towards big profit in England v South Africa, 2nd ODI in live trading room.
All the best.

Tradeoncricket Exclusive Offer

Hi,
You all know we are covering England v South Africa ODI Series in our live cricket trading room exclusively.

England leading series by 2-0 and 3 more matches remaining.
Will England win this series ?

Most probably but you never know.

Anyway if you want to join us for remaining matches of the series then you can join by only paying £3 for 3 matches.
For details please visit http://www.tradeoncricket.com
Thanks.

Somerset v Worcestershire-Pro 40 Div 1 -Straight Bet

Hello,
Somerset v Worcestershire-Pro 40 Div 1 - 29th August
Straight bet selection for this match.
Back Somerset 3 Points @1.66
Good luck.

Upcoming Matches

We are covering Sri Lanka v India,5th ODI on 29th August.
Scheduled start : 09:00 GMT.
So please join us for live pictures plus live trading advise of this dead rubber.
Thanks

India v Sri Lanka, 4th ODI -27th August -2nd Innings {Inplay}

8th Update :
Lanka 190/7 in 41 overs.
India 1.03
Game is almost over unless any miracle.
No plan to involve further.

Very good match for us.
If you want to ask me which trade i enjoyed most in this match then i'll tell you 1st Trade > Back Lanka 1.8+ in starting overs of 1st innings.
That was the safest trade of the match and here our little knowledge of cricket betting comes.
Good night.
.................
7th Update :
Lanka 125/4 in 28th overs.Odds 1.31.
Plan is :
Back India 100@1.6 if comes with stop loss 20 ticks means lay 90@1.8 if drift.
Reason for this trade is India may touch 1.6 but going to be big resistance to reach 1.8
due to required run rate and market mood ,if stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.
Gl
...............
6th Update :
Lanka 93/3
India 1.41

...............
5th Update :
Lanka 61/2 in 16 overs.
India 1.65
It's time to level our book now.

Take equal green position on any result now.
Next plan :
I want to wait for India 1.2x or Lanka 1.4x to lay for safe trading (volatile market is expected and may be D/L come in picture sooner or later because there is chances of rain).
Although i will post a small plan after 5 overs.
Gl
...............
4th Update :
Lanka 42/2
India 1.36
Lay 50 more now and let it run.
Back plan 80@1.65
Gl
.................
Phewwwwwww.
What was that 1.5 without wicket ?
Market with India totally IMO.
..............
3rd Update :
Lanka 29/1 in 7 overs.
Lay 50@1.7 India now.
If more wicket in next 5 overs then don't do anything ,just wait.
All the best.
..............
2nd Update :

Lanka 24/0 in 5 overs.
Lanka favourites now.
Going to be easy chase IMO but you never know.
Plan is same and after 1 wicket we may consider back Lanka 2.4+
Gl
................
Innings Break Update :

India 257/9

Odds 1.82
Well our predicted target odds once again proved right and spot on.
...................
Plan for 2nd innings 1st 15 overs :

1.Lay Lanka 200@1.45 if comes with stop loss 12 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.

2.Lay India 100@1.45 or below if comes upto 2 wickets with 15 ticks stop loss.
Take profit whenever you get chance.

So far these two main plan and other plans according to match situation after 15 overs.
All the best.

India v Sri Lanka, 4th ODI -27th August -Replay {Inplay}

9th Update :

India 224/4

Plan is :
1.Lay India 300@1.33 if comes with back plan 250@1.5x Stop loss at innings break.
2.Back India 100@1.8 if comes and let it run.

Gl
.............
8th Update
India 167/3
odds 1.58

Stop loss point.
Next plan :
1.Lay India 300@1.33 if comes with back plan 250@1.5x
Stop loss at innings break.
Gl
.........................
7th Update :

India 131/3
India 1.95

Our last trade hit stop loss.

Next plan :

1.Lay India 200@1.72 as free lay with 14 ticks stop loss.
If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.

2.Back Lanka 200@2 if comes after 4 wickets with stop loss 20 ticks.
Let it run if stop loss not hit.

Gl

Predicted target odds once again :

(A) If India bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.5x
250 1.8x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9

*All are India odds.

IMO India a good freelay @1.7x because they may not score 265+ and no need to take stop loss (India odds are not going to be less than 1.7 at innings break) but then it will be gamble.Stop loss is must even if value need to be surrendered.


................

6th Update :

India 104/3

Plan is same.

Back Lanka 200@1.70 if comes with stop loss 20 ticks.

Lay 185@1.9 if odds drifts.
.............

5th Update :

India 82/3

Plan is same.

One more plan Lay Lanka 100@1.2x if comes just after 4th wicket if score 110+

Back plan all above 20 ticks and stop loss 6-8 ticks.
GL


.............
4th Update :
India 51/2
Lanka 1.45
Cover some liability now and then back Lanka 200@1.7+ if comes with stop loss 20 ticks this time.
If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.
Presently no plan to lay Lanka big because it may prove very costly if batting collapse.
We may consider lay Lanka around 1.2x according to situation.
All the best.
...............
3rd Update :
India 33/0 in 8th over.

Lanka 1.79
Plan is same.
Good luck.
.............
2nd Update :

India batting first and Lanka 1.9 now.
Back 200 now with stop loss 40 ticks.
If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.
Gl
.................
1st Update :

Good news.Weather is clear today and every chance of full play.
Gl
.................
Update...................

27th August :

Match replayed today.
Plan is same if 50 overs game.
I'll post other plan before start.
All the best.
................

Price graph link :
http://uk.site.sports.betfair.com//betting/LoadRunnerInfoAction.do?marketId=21167701&selectionId=7337&timeZone=Europe/London&region=GBR&locale=en&brand=betfair&currency=GBP


Thanks



.................
1st Update :
Preview is same like last match because venue,team and conditions are same.

1.Day-Night Game ,toss winner may chose to bat first.

2.Above 250 is difficult to chase under lights.

3.Good batting pitch but both teams batsman struggling to score in series so far.Bowlers dominating.

4.Weather:
Chances of rain so reduced over game or D/L might play part.
*presently raining for last half hours but expected to be cleared soon.

5.Teams :
Expected to be same.

6.Market mood :
With Lanka no doubt even after two successive defeat.
Strong prematch favourites @1.6x

7.Live stream of match :
You can find it at chavster.ulmb.com , justin.tv or cricketlivelinks.com
...............
Summary is :

Win toss , bat first , score 230+ and win match.

Both teams struggling for good start so good strategy is to back bowling team 2+ in starting overs of 1st innings.
................
Predicted target odds :

(A) If India bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.5x
250 1.8x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9

*All are India odds.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.4x
250 1.6x
230 2.8x
210 5
190 7

*All are Lanka odds.
...............

1st innings plan :

As you can see from predicted target odds that present odds ( Lanka favourites @1.6x ) suggesting that if India bat first then they are going to score 220-230 and if Lanka bat first then expected score is 250 atleast at which Lanka odds are going to be same as prematch 1.6x

.................
(A) If India bat first :

Plan is :

1.Back 200@1.8 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 40 ticks means if India become favourites @1.8 then take stop loss by backing India.
Reason for this trade is market generally hold Lanka team price at this level (1.8x) for 5-7 overs because of spinners act from 15 overs onwards.It is like free back and consider close at same odds with minimum profit or loss after 5-7 overs if no profit from this trade.

If stop loss not hit then take profit whenever you get chance.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

Plan is :

1.Lay 300@1.44 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 14 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.
So far these 2 plan and I'll post other plan after 5-7 overs play.
Gl
................
Hello and welcome back.
India leading series by 2-1
4th match today.
Scheduled start 09:00 GMT

Please check back after sometime for preview and plan.
Thanks
................
England v South Africa 2nd ODI also today which we are covering in live trading room.
If you want to follow advise in this match then please visit http://www.tradeoncricket.com to know how you can join us.

India v Sri Lanka ,3rd ODI - 24th August {Inplay}

Result :

India won the match by 33 runs.
Handsome profit today even last trade hit stop loss.
Waiting for your valueable comments either positive or negative because they are must to run these inplay posts.
Good night.
.................
6th Update :

Lanka 95/7
India 1.02
Game is almost over.
Next plan is back India 100@1.4 with 30 ticks stop loss whenever and if comes.
Gl
...............
5th Update :
Lanka 58/4 in 15th over.
India 1.25
Lay 100 now with back plan all above 20 ticks.
Stop loss 7 ticks.

Gl
.................
4th Update :
Lanka 40/4 in 10th over.
Wait and watch time.
If some recovery by Lanka then we may consider lay India around 1.2x
Gl
................
Our predicted target odds performed very well as you can see predicted odds at 230 was 3.2x
Actual score is 237 and India odds are around 3.0x

Predicted target odds is a proven very good base or tool for 1st innings trading.
..............
Innings Break :
India 237/9 in 50 overs.

Odds 1.52

Very good match for us so far and IMO take equal green position on any result.

Plan for 2nd innings is to wait for Lanka or India 1.2x for safe trading.
Although i will post small trade plan after 10 overs play.
But if Lanka available after good start to lay @1.24 in 1st 5 overs then lay 200 with stop loss 7 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.
Gl
.................
3rd Update :
India 125/4 in 30 overs.
Lanka 1.48
Lanka so far traded lowest @1.24 and highest @1.84

http://uk.site.sports.betfair.com//betting/LoadRunnerInfoAction.do?marketId=21157141&selectionId=7337&timeZone=Europe/London&region=GBR&locale=en&brand=betfair&currency=GBP

Back 200 now if not taken stop loss 9 ticks before because plan was 10 ticks stop loss (1 tick is always associated with me).

Next plan is :

1.Back Lanka 150@1.7 whenever comes with 30 ticks stop loss.If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance but more on Lanka.

Gl


*Facing connection problem so next update may delay.
...............
3rd Update :
India 62/3 in 15 overs.
Lanka 1.33
Lay 200 now with stop loss 10 ticks.
Back plan 220 @1.55
Gl
................
2nd Update :
India 52/2 in 12 overs.
Odds 1.47

Well Lanka so far traded at 1.8x highest but i don't know whether they traded @1.85 or not because i don't have price graph presently and my request to visitors is that if you have price graph web link then please send it to me at findfreelay@gmail.com
Plan for next 20 overs :
1.Back Lanka 150@1.7 if comes with 30 ticks stop loss.If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance but more on Lanka.

2.Lay Lanka 200@1.28 with stop loss 8 ticks.Back plan 220@1.45
Gl
Next update after 10 overs.
...............
1st Update :

Welcome back.
Predicted target odds :
*According to 50 overs.
(A)India batting first :

310 1.3x
290 1.4x
270 1.6x
250 2.2x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9
*All are India odds.

Plan is :
1.Back Lanka 200@1.85 if comes in first 15 overs.Stop loss 30 ticks means back India 200@1.85 if India bat well.
If stop loss not hit then green up at 1.4x

I will post other plan after 10-12 overs.
Good luck.
...............
Hello and welcome to our coverage of 3rd ODI of 5 match series between India and Sri Lanka.


Start : 09:00 GMT
Please check back after sometime for preview & 1st innings plan along with predicted target odds for 1st innings as currently i'm analyzing the ground stats and weather etc.

Thanks

..................
Preview :-

1.Day-Night Game ,toss winner may chose to bat first.
2.High score match expected.
3.Good batting pitch normally.
4.Weather:
Chances of rain so reduced over game or D/L might play part.
5.Teams :
Gambhir is back for India.No other major change in both sides.
6.Market mood :
Totally with Lanka as they are strong prematch favourites @1.6x
7.Live stream of match :
You can find it at chavster.ulmb.com , justin.tv or cricketlivelinks.com

Contd............

Early 1.0x In Cricket

Well yesterday i was watching the pro40 game between Somerset v Gloucestershire ( Taunton, Aug 23, 2008 ).

Scorecard link :

http://content-www.cricinfo.com/countycricket2008/engine/current/match/320042.html?view=live;wrappertype=mainframe

To be contd..........

( I shall complete this post later.In brief this post is about " why early 1.0x is good to lay ? " )

England v South Africa ODI Series

We are covering this series in our live cricket trading room.
You can see details at
http://tradeoncricket.com

...............
India v Sri Lanka ODI series remaining 3 matches will be covered here as per schedule.
All the best.