Thursday, July 26, 2007

Free lays in cricket when and where we can find them

1 Golden rule is that there is more chances of free lay opportunity in batting team low odds either in high scoring or low scoring matches specially in oneday and 20/20 cricket when there is big or low run chase.If you compare that in second inning how many bowling side lost at 1.1x odds then batting side it comes to 20:80 ratio means batting team at chase loss many matches from a decent position.It is almost same in the 4th inning of any test match.It doesn't means that if there is batting/chasing team at low odds we have always free lay opportunity.There are some points to which we will discuss here.

I am trying to separate oneday,20/20 and test matches and we will see when free lay opportunity may come in them.

A.One day cricket:

1.If we see any early low odds for batting team like after 15 overs if team 'A' at 110/0 and odds are 1.18 than there is chances that it will not cut more till end but we must also see both team batting and bowling strengths.

2.When Low odd team bat first like in recent 2nd odi between South africa and India in "Future cup"odds was 1.32 for South africa.And India won this match.

3.Minnows matches:
like bangla,ireland,zimbabwe,scotland,Holand in these matches there are plenty of free lay opportunity as we seen in recent world cup.

4.High chase:as i mention earlier that if any team chasing 275+ and at 170/3 after 35 over at low odds lay these odds because a wicket or two/dot balls will move odds.

5.Whenever Westindies batting at low odds lay them(not blindly) they may collapse any time.

6.Beware of Australia because there odds not move very much till they lost any match.

We will discuss 20/20 and test cricket in next post.

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