Friday, August 29, 2008

Live : India v Sri Lanka ,5th ODI

Hello and welcome to our continues coverage of India v Sri Lanka ODI series.
Please check back after sometime for preview and 1st innings plan.
As a rule nowdays we don't involve in prematch odds unless any true freelay around 1.3x .
.................
P.S :
Live stream of the match will start just before toss.
So enjoy live pictures with live cricket trading advise.
Thanks
..............

1st Update : Another match today Eng/S.A 2nd ODI at same time which we are covering in live trading room.So plan is to involve minimum in this match ,probably only 1 trade in starting overs of 1st innings.
..................
2nd Update
Preview & 1st Innings Plan :

1.Day-Night Game ,3rd back to back match at this ground.

2.Average score ground and 250+ very good score to defend.

3.Pitch take turn late so batting becomes difficult as game progress.

4.Weather:
Chances of rain.Presetly clear.

5.Teams :
Plenty of changes in both sides because it's a dead rubber but no confirm news so far.

6.Market mood :
Again with Lanka but not blindly.
Presently odds are 1.8

...............
Summary is :

Standard theory "Win toss , bat first , score 230+ and win match".

India won last 3 matches but because it's a dead rubber we don't know how important this match to them.

................
Predicted target odds :

(A) If India bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.5x
250 1.8x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9

*All are India odds.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.4x
250 1.6x
230 2.8x
210 5
190 7

*All are Lanka odds.
...............

1st innings plan :
It is going to be almost same like last match.


.................
(A) If India bat first :

Plan is :

1.Back 200@2 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 30 ticks.
If stop loss not hit then take profit whenever you get chance.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

Plan is :

1.Lay 300@1.6 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 14 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.

Gl
................
*I will try to post a update after 7-8 overs.

...............
3rd Update :
Lanka 7/1 in 6th over.
India 1.61
1.Back 100@1.8 India if comes with stop loss 30 ticks.
Take profit at 1.3x
................
4th Update :
Lanka 96/4
Odds India 1.74
Poor liquidity due to England match.
Back India now and take zero position on India (Murali & Vaas not playing so odds are going to be in India's favour at innings break).
No plan to involve again till 2nd innings.
Gl
.................
Innings Break :
Lanka 227/6 in 50 overs.
Odds India 1.74
Historically chase is difficult at this ground but Murali and Vaas both not playing so you may see India 1.2x very early.
Small back India now and then green up whenever get chance.

Gl

..................
Update :
India 70/3
Match delayed by rain.
Last trade not going our way but still good book position on any result thanks mainly to big lay Lanka @1.6 in 1st innings because that trade never hit stop loss and India traded @1.2x lowest in 1st innings.
Well D/L may come in picture now so it's risky to involve further.
Take equal green position on any result now.
We are also heading towards big profit in England v South Africa, 2nd ODI in live trading room.
All the best.

Thursday, August 28, 2008

Tradeoncricket Exclusive Offer

Hi,
You all know we are covering England v South Africa ODI Series in our live cricket trading room exclusively.

England leading series by 2-0 and 3 more matches remaining.
Will England win this series ?

Most probably but you never know.

Anyway if you want to join us for remaining matches of the series then you can join by only paying £3 for 3 matches.
For details please visit http://www.tradeoncricket.com
Thanks.

Somerset v Worcestershire-Pro 40 Div 1 -Straight Bet

Hello,
Somerset v Worcestershire-Pro 40 Div 1 - 29th August
Straight bet selection for this match.
Back Somerset 3 Points @1.66
Good luck.

Upcoming Matches

We are covering Sri Lanka v India,5th ODI on 29th August.
Scheduled start : 09:00 GMT.
So please join us for live pictures plus live trading advise of this dead rubber.
Thanks

Wednesday, August 27, 2008

India v Sri Lanka, 4th ODI -27th August -2nd Innings {Inplay}

8th Update :
Lanka 190/7 in 41 overs.
India 1.03
Game is almost over unless any miracle.
No plan to involve further.

Very good match for us.
If you want to ask me which trade i enjoyed most in this match then i'll tell you 1st Trade > Back Lanka 1.8+ in starting overs of 1st innings.
That was the safest trade of the match and here our little knowledge of cricket betting comes.
Good night.
.................
7th Update :
Lanka 125/4 in 28th overs.Odds 1.31.
Plan is :
Back India 100@1.6 if comes with stop loss 20 ticks means lay 90@1.8 if drift.
Reason for this trade is India may touch 1.6 but going to be big resistance to reach 1.8
due to required run rate and market mood ,if stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.
Gl
...............
6th Update :
Lanka 93/3
India 1.41

...............
5th Update :
Lanka 61/2 in 16 overs.
India 1.65
It's time to level our book now.

Take equal green position on any result now.
Next plan :
I want to wait for India 1.2x or Lanka 1.4x to lay for safe trading (volatile market is expected and may be D/L come in picture sooner or later because there is chances of rain).
Although i will post a small plan after 5 overs.
Gl
...............
4th Update :
Lanka 42/2
India 1.36
Lay 50 more now and let it run.
Back plan 80@1.65
Gl
.................
Phewwwwwww.
What was that 1.5 without wicket ?
Market with India totally IMO.
..............
3rd Update :
Lanka 29/1 in 7 overs.
Lay 50@1.7 India now.
If more wicket in next 5 overs then don't do anything ,just wait.
All the best.
..............
2nd Update :

Lanka 24/0 in 5 overs.
Lanka favourites now.
Going to be easy chase IMO but you never know.
Plan is same and after 1 wicket we may consider back Lanka 2.4+
Gl
................
Innings Break Update :

India 257/9

Odds 1.82
Well our predicted target odds once again proved right and spot on.
...................
Plan for 2nd innings 1st 15 overs :

1.Lay Lanka 200@1.45 if comes with stop loss 12 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.

2.Lay India 100@1.45 or below if comes upto 2 wickets with 15 ticks stop loss.
Take profit whenever you get chance.

So far these two main plan and other plans according to match situation after 15 overs.
All the best.

Tuesday, August 26, 2008

India v Sri Lanka, 4th ODI -27th August -Replay {Inplay}

9th Update :

India 224/4

Plan is :
1.Lay India 300@1.33 if comes with back plan 250@1.5x Stop loss at innings break.
2.Back India 100@1.8 if comes and let it run.

Gl
.............
8th Update
India 167/3
odds 1.58

Stop loss point.
Next plan :
1.Lay India 300@1.33 if comes with back plan 250@1.5x
Stop loss at innings break.
Gl
.........................
7th Update :

India 131/3
India 1.95

Our last trade hit stop loss.

Next plan :

1.Lay India 200@1.72 as free lay with 14 ticks stop loss.
If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.

2.Back Lanka 200@2 if comes after 4 wickets with stop loss 20 ticks.
Let it run if stop loss not hit.


Gl

Predicted target odds once again :

(A) If India bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.5x
250 1.8x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9

*All are India odds.

IMO India a good freelay @1.7x because they may not score 265+ and no need to take stop loss (India odds are not going to be less than 1.7 at innings break) but then it will be gamble.Stop loss is must even if value need to be surrendered.


................

6th Update :

India 104/3

Plan is same.

Back Lanka 200@1.70 if comes with stop loss 20 ticks.

Lay 185@1.9 if odds drifts.

.............

5th Update :

India 82/3

Plan is same.

One more plan Lay Lanka 100@1.2x if comes just after 4th wicket if score 110+

Back plan all above 20 ticks and stop loss 6-8 ticks.
GL


.............
4th Update :
India 51/2
Lanka 1.45
Cover some liability now and then back Lanka 200@1.7+ if comes with stop loss 20 ticks this time.
If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.
Presently no plan to lay Lanka big because it may prove very costly if batting collapse.
We may consider lay Lanka around 1.2x according to situation.
All the best.
...............
3rd Update :
India 33/0 in 8th over.

Lanka 1.79
Plan is same.
Good luck.
.............
2nd Update :

India batting first and Lanka 1.9 now.
Back 200 now with stop loss 40 ticks.
If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance.
Gl
.................
1st Update :

Good news.Weather is clear today and every chance of full play.
Gl
.................
Update...................

27th August :

Match replayed today.
Plan is same if 50 overs game.
I'll post other plan before start.
All the best.
................

Price graph link :
http://uk.site.sports.betfair.com//betting/LoadRunnerInfoAction.do?marketId=21167701&selectionId=7337&timeZone=Europe/London&region=GBR&locale=en&brand=betfair&currency=GBP


Thanks



.................
1st Update :
Preview is same like last match because venue,team and conditions are same.

1.Day-Night Game ,toss winner may chose to bat first.

2.Above 250 is difficult to chase under lights.

3.Good batting pitch but both teams batsman struggling to score in series so far.Bowlers dominating.

4.Weather:
Chances of rain so reduced over game or D/L might play part.
*presently raining for last half hours but expected to be cleared soon.

5.Teams :
Expected to be same.

6.Market mood :
With Lanka no doubt even after two successive defeat.
Strong prematch favourites @1.6x

7.Live stream of match :
You can find it at chavster.ulmb.com , justin.tv or cricketlivelinks.com
...............
Summary is :

Win toss , bat first , score 230+ and win match.

Both teams struggling for good start so good strategy is to back bowling team 2+ in starting overs of 1st innings.
................
Predicted target odds :

(A) If India bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.5x
250 1.8x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9

*All are India odds.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.4x
250 1.6x
230 2.8x
210 5
190 7

*All are Lanka odds.
...............

1st innings plan :

As you can see from predicted target odds that present odds ( Lanka favourites @1.6x ) suggesting that if India bat first then they are going to score 220-230 and if Lanka bat first then expected score is 250 atleast at which Lanka odds are going to be same as prematch 1.6x

.................
(A) If India bat first :

Plan is :

1.Back 200@1.8 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 40 ticks means if India become favourites @1.8 then take stop loss by backing India.
Reason for this trade is market generally hold Lanka team price at this level (1.8x) for 5-7 overs because of spinners act from 15 overs onwards.It is like free back and consider close at same odds with minimum profit or loss after 5-7 overs if no profit from this trade.

If stop loss not hit then take profit whenever you get chance.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

Plan is :

1.Lay 300@1.44 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 14 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.
So far these 2 plan and I'll post other plan after 5-7 overs play.
Gl
................
Hello and welcome back.
India leading series by 2-1
4th match today.
Scheduled start 09:00 GMT

Please check back after sometime for preview and plan.
Thanks
................
England v South Africa 2nd ODI also today which we are covering in live trading room.
If you want to follow advise in this match then please visit http://www.tradeoncricket.com to know how you can join us.

Sunday, August 24, 2008

India v Sri Lanka ,3rd ODI - 24th August {Inplay}

Result :

India won the match by 33 runs.
Handsome profit today even last trade hit stop loss.
Waiting for your valueable comments either positive or negative because they are must to run these inplay posts.
Good night.
.................
6th Update :

Lanka 95/7
India 1.02
Game is almost over.
Next plan is back India 100@1.4 with 30 ticks stop loss whenever and if comes.
Gl
...............
5th Update :
Lanka 58/4 in 15th over.
India 1.25
Lay 100 now with back plan all above 20 ticks.
Stop loss 7 ticks.

Gl
.................
4th Update :
Lanka 40/4 in 10th over.
Wait and watch time.
If some recovery by Lanka then we may consider lay India around 1.2x
Gl
................
Our predicted target odds performed very well as you can see predicted odds at 230 was 3.2x
Actual score is 237 and India odds are around 3.0x

Predicted target odds is a proven very good base or tool for 1st innings trading.
..............
Innings Break :
India 237/9 in 50 overs.

Odds 1.52

Very good match for us so far and IMO take equal green position on any result.

Plan for 2nd innings is to wait for Lanka or India 1.2x for safe trading.
Although i will post small trade plan after 10 overs play.
But if Lanka available after good start to lay @1.24 in 1st 5 overs then lay 200 with stop loss 7 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.
Gl
.................
3rd Update :
India 125/4 in 30 overs.
Lanka 1.48
Lanka so far traded lowest @1.24 and highest @1.84

http://uk.site.sports.betfair.com//betting/LoadRunnerInfoAction.do?marketId=21157141&selectionId=7337&timeZone=Europe/London&region=GBR&locale=en&brand=betfair&currency=GBP

Back 200 now if not taken stop loss 9 ticks before because plan was 10 ticks stop loss (1 tick is always associated with me).

Next plan is :

1.Back Lanka 150@1.7 whenever comes with 30 ticks stop loss.If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance but more on Lanka.

Gl


*Facing connection problem so next update may delay.
...............
3rd Update :
India 62/3 in 15 overs.
Lanka 1.33
Lay 200 now with stop loss 10 ticks.
Back plan 220 @1.55
Gl
................
2nd Update :
India 52/2 in 12 overs.
Odds 1.47

Well Lanka so far traded at 1.8x highest but i don't know whether they traded @1.85 or not because i don't have price graph presently and my request to visitors is that if you have price graph web link then please send it to me at findfreelay@gmail.com
Plan for next 20 overs :
1.Back Lanka 150@1.7 if comes with 30 ticks stop loss.If stop loss not hit then green up whenever you get chance but more on Lanka.

2.Lay Lanka 200@1.28 with stop loss 8 ticks.Back plan 220@1.45
Gl
Next update after 10 overs.
...............
1st Update :

Welcome back.
Predicted target odds :
*According to 50 overs.
(A)India batting first :

310 1.3x
290 1.4x
270 1.6x
250 2.2x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9
*All are India odds.

Plan is :
1.Back Lanka 200@1.85 if comes in first 15 overs.Stop loss 30 ticks means back India 200@1.85 if India bat well.
If stop loss not hit then green up at 1.4x

I will post other plan after 10-12 overs.
Good luck.
...............
Hello and welcome to our coverage of 3rd ODI of 5 match series between India and Sri Lanka.


Start : 09:00 GMT
Please check back after sometime for preview & 1st innings plan along with predicted target odds for 1st innings as currently i'm analyzing the ground stats and weather etc.

Thanks

..................
Preview :-

1.Day-Night Game ,toss winner may chose to bat first.
2.High score match expected.
3.Good batting pitch normally.
4.Weather:
Chances of rain so reduced over game or D/L might play part.
5.Teams :
Gambhir is back for India.No other major change in both sides.
6.Market mood :
Totally with Lanka as they are strong prematch favourites @1.6x
7.Live stream of match :
You can find it at chavster.ulmb.com , justin.tv or cricketlivelinks.com

Contd............

Early 1.0x In Cricket

Well yesterday i was watching the pro40 game between Somerset v Gloucestershire ( Taunton, Aug 23, 2008 ).

Scorecard link :

http://content-www.cricinfo.com/countycricket2008/engine/current/match/320042.html?view=live;wrappertype=mainframe

To be contd..........

( I shall complete this post later.In brief this post is about " why early 1.0x is good to lay ? " )

Thursday, August 21, 2008

England v South Africa ODI Series

We are covering this series in our live cricket trading room.
You can see details at
http://tradeoncricket.com

...............
India v Sri Lanka ODI series remaining 3 matches will be covered here as per schedule.
All the best.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

India v Sri Lanka ,2nd ODI -20th August {Inplay}

7th Update :
India 105/5
Odds 1.07
Plan is to lay 250@1.04 if comes in next 2-3 overs as freelay for 10 runs means if wickets then take profit or close at same odds if no wicket.
Gl
................
6th Update :
India 75/3
Odds 1.09

Last trade hit stop loss but our book position is still green on any result.Back India 1.2x after any wicket and take zero position on Lanka.
Other plan is to lay India after 5 wickets at 1.0x if 40+ runs remaining.
I'll update at that time.
Gl
..............
5th Update :
India 17/2
Odds 1.27
126 runs more required.

Volatile market expected and best policy in this market is to lay any team short odds.

Lay India or Lanka 500@1.14 with 4 ticks stop loss whenever comes.Take profit whenever you get chance on above 15 ticks.
Gl
.............
4th Update :

Lanka 142 allout.
India 1.12
Lay 50 now so that our book position become all green.
Plan is :

1.Lay India 500@1.04 if comes in 1st 10 overs.
Back plan 450@1.08
Stop loss :
Odds may shorten to 1.01 but just wait and in that case back all after any wicket @1.04+

2.Back 50@1.6 India if comes upto 3 wickets but score 40+ and let it run.Lay 200@1.2 if comes after back and take profit whenever you get chance.
Stop loss :
If more wickets after that try to close trade at 1.6-1.7 whenever you get chance.
Gl
................
3rd Update :

Lanka 122/9
India 1.09
Our book is green on India and small red on Lanka now.
Next plan in 2nd innings in which lay India 500@1.0x after 2 wickets is main plan.
I'll update that time.
Gl
.................
2nd Update :

Lanka 94/6
India 1.17


Next plan is :

1.Back 50@1.20
2.Back 70@1.30
3.Lay 300@1.09 or below if comes upto 8 wickets but score 110+
Back plan 200@1.15 and save remaining 100 for 2nd innings.

Gambhir and Sehwag both not playing today so anything over 130 is going to be interesting chase.
Good luck.

................
Update 20th August :

Apologies for late update as my alarm didn't worked today.
Lanka batting first and score is 44/6.
India favourites @1.07

Lay 200@1.08 now and let it run with back plan 100@1.15.
Gl
...............
Hello,

Venue & timings are same for this match.
This time Lanka favourites @1.53

Well going to be another toss trading tomorrow morning.
If India bat first then we may see odds around 1.45 and if Lanka bat first then 1.65
................
Plan is to look for Lanka 1.8+ if India bat first to back.
If Lanka bat first then try is to find a freelay in Lanka odds around 1.4x after good start.

Let's see how things are going to unfold tomorrow.
I will post plans after toss.
All the best.

Monday, August 18, 2008

1st Trade

After any loss i closely analyze the cause or causes behind it (Though it's true that win on every game is not possible but still find cause/causes for any defeat is very important for future to keep loss to minimum).

>Whether it's due to volatile market trading ?

>Whether it's because of backing short odds ?

>Whether it's because of ignoring stop loss ?

>Whether it's because of refuse to green up ?

>Whether it's due to weather ?

>Whether it's due to batting collapse ?

>Whether it's due to early involvement ?
.................

I find the last one most reasonable cause of defeat in today's match along with some other causes (batting collapse & rapid market movement) which were frankly not in our control.
..............

Early Involvement :

It's true that if you involved prematch then either you are thinking that there is good value in any selection almost as a straight bet or there is very good trading opportunity.

But it sometimes proved very wrong if that trade goes against you like today.

I know most of the professionals don't prefer to enter at start.They like to wait and watch few overs first if we talk about cricket and then consider when to enter and at which odds.

That's why title of this post is '1st Trade' which i think is one of the most important part of trading.

Normally if first trade goes well then there is always chances of decent profit in any event but if first trade hit stop loss or goes against us then we are on backfoot in remaining match.

So this post is all about what we learn from our losses and how we can minimise our loss in future.

I hope lesson learnt today and apart from test matches involve prematch or early in the match may prove dangerous in other formats of cricket.
Yes if there any short odds favourites around 1.3x then we may consider involve prematch with strict stop loss.
Waiting for your valueable comments.
All the best.

Sunday, August 17, 2008

India v Sri Lanka , 1st ODI {Inplay}

8th Update :
Lanka 101/2
Not a good match for us so far.
Pathetic performance from India today.
Only any miracle can save India now.
Let's hope for good matches in remaining series.
Gl
................
7th Update :
Lanka 69/2 in 19th over.

Poor captain Dhoni !

He has not given ball to spinners so far.
Wait and watch time.
Gl

...............
6th Update :

Lanka 33/1 after 10 overs.
It's the time to close last trade.
Next plan is lay Lanka 500@1.04 or below if comes after 3 wickets and 70+ runs remaining.Back plan 50% or 250 @1.06 and other on higher odds.
Gl


.............
Innings Break :
India 146 allout.
Lanka 1.06

Good effort by tail.
Pitch is not easy to bat on.
Lay 400@1.07 now with back plan all @1.18 or above after 1st wicket.
Presently no stop loss.
Gl
...............
5th Update :

India 87/7
Total surrender by Indian batsman.
We can't do anything now but to wait for 2nd innings and hope some early wickets if target around 150
Gl
................
4th Update :

India 76/5
Wait and watch time again for next 10 overs.
Gl
................
3rd Update :
India 36/3 in 12th over.
Bad start by India but don't forget anything over 190 is a fighting score at this pitch.

Wait and watch time for 10 overs atleast.
If some recovery by India then we may consider lay Lanka 1.2x as freelay later.
Gl
...............
2nd Update :

India 9/1 in 6th over.
Lanka 1.31
Lay 150@1.32 now and then wait.

Gl
..............
1st Update :

India batting first and market responded that by cutting Lanka further.
Lanka 1.59 presently.

Plan is to let last lay run with stop loss 20 ticks.
If stop loss not hit then back plan is :
200@1.8
50@2
50@2.2
I'll post other plan after 7-8 overs play.
All the best.
.................
Update 18th August (09:00 Local Time) :
Welcome back.
Match scheduled to begin at 10:00

Main points :

1.Venue :
Rangiri Dambulla International Stadium

Very average score ground and pitch is bowlers friendly.
Help seamers in start and spinners later on.
Chase 230+ is not easy on this ground.

2.Weather :
Fine

3.Teams :

Big news is Virendra Sehwag doubtful.
Going to be huge disadvantage for India.
No fitness problem in Lanka camp and spin duo M & M playing.

4.Early Trend :

Market favouring Lanka and after Sehwag news Lanka cut to 1.7x
...................
1st Innings Plan :

Well we already layed Lanka 250@1.72
Plan is to let it run if Lanka bat first with 15 ticks stop loss.
Back plan is 200@1.95 and 50@2.4
>If India bat first then plan is almost same but try to back Lanka 1.70+ if available after toss.
I'll post further plans after toss.
Good luck.
................
Hello and welcome to our coverage of India v Sri Lanka , ODI Series.

Current odds are :
Lanka 1.69 as favourites.

It's a prematch freelay and lay 250@1.72 available now.

Plan is to let it run if Lanka bat first with stop loss 15 ticks.

If India bat first then we may consider back 1.6x
..............

Please join us again tomorrow morning for live cricket trading of this match.

Thanks.

Thursday, August 14, 2008

Kent v Essex - Friends Provident Trophy Final - 16th August

Last update :

Essex won the match by 5 wickets.
I hope everyone enjoyed our coverage.

P/L of match :
Not prepared it in detail but it is positive without any doubt.
Waiting for comments :) .
Please check back tomorrow for schedule of upcoming matches.
Good bye and good night.
.............

9th Update :

Essex 140/4 in 36th over.
Odds 1.24

Massive odds movement after 4th wicket and frankly i don't know why.
It's going to be tight finish imo because runrate may come in picture sooner or later.

Plan is :
1.Lay Essex 200@1.16 if comes with stop loss 6 ticks.
Green up above 30 ticks if stop loss not hit.
Or

Back all at 1.2+ after 5 overs from trade.
Gl
...............
8th Update :

Essex 88/3
Green up now.
Gl
..............

7th Update :

Essex 67/2 in 16th over.

Essex 2 down now.
Odds 1.24
Plan is :

1.Lay Essex 200@1.15 if comes with stop loss
5 ticks.
Back plan 150@1.3

2.Lay Essex 500@1.04 if comes after 3 wickets and 80+ runs remaining as freelay.

Back plan
300@1.10
100@1.2
50@1.3
Stop loss :
Back all after 5 overs at available odds which i hope is not going to be less then 1.03.

Gl
..............
6th Update :

Essex 39/1 in 9th over.
Wait and watch time till 20 overs.
Gl
.............
Innings Break :

Kent 214 allout in 50 overs.
Odds Essex 1.33

Plan for 2nd innings :

Frankly i want to wait for Essex 1.1x to lay or 1.9x to back.

Essex rightly favourites but
tough batting conditions and chase in lights means it is dangerous to back Essex at these odds.
So plan is :

1.Back Essex 50@1.9 if comes in 1st 15 overs upto 3 wickets but score 40+
Stop loss 40 ticks and let it run if stop loss not hit.

2.Lay Essex 200@1.12 if comes after flying start in 1st 5 overs.
Back all just after any wicket.
Stop loss :
Well odds may shorten upto 1.0x if no wicket so consider let it run for 4-5 overs and then back all at +- 4 ticks.

3.Lay Essex 200@1.2 if comes in 1st 10 overs after 2 wickets and runrate below 6
Stop loss 5 ticks and take profit whenever you get chance.

So far these plans and I'll update after 10 overs and post other plan according to match situation.
All the best.
...............
5th Update :
Kent 177/7

Lay Essex 200@1.25 or below if comes in remaining few overs of 1st innings.
Gl
................
4th Update :

Kent 99/5 in 29th over.

Now plan is for remaining overs of 1st innings:

1.Back Essex 100@1.6 with 30 ticks stop loss.If stop loss not hit then let it run and green up @1.2x

2.Lay Essex 150@1.12 whenever comes with back plan 130@1.3

I hope good trading opportunities and freelays in 2nd innings if target below 210.

Gl

.................
3rd Update :

Kent 43/2 in 14th over.

Plan is (Upto 35 overs):

1.Back Essex 100@1.8 with 40 ticks stop loss means if Kent hit 1.8 then back Kent 100@1.8 and take loss 20 on any result.
If stop loss not hit then let it run and green up @1.3x

2.Lay Essex 150@1.25 with 8 ticks stop loss if comes upto 4 wickets but score 100+
Back plan 100@1.45

Gl

.................
2nd Update

Kent 19/2
Wait and watch time till 15 overs.
Gl
.................
1st Update :

Welcome back.

Kent batting first :

1st Predicted target odds :


(A) Kent bat first :

(Day/Night Match)

330 1.1x
310 1.2x
290 1.4x
270 1.6x
250 2.1x
230 3.2x
210 4.2x
190 4.5x
170 6
*All are Kent odds.

So you can see 1.2x is absolute freelay if very good start or flying start provided Kent score not more than 310.
Predicted target odds is going to be very useful in first innings like if you see Kent can score 270 maximum and odds are going to be 1.6x for that then you can consider lay Kent 1.6x in middle overs as freelay.
Still set a stop loss is advised because any team can score 50 runs in last 3 overs and that can change odds dramatically.
Roughly plan is to lay Kent 1.4x in first 10 overs or back 2.5+
I will update again after 5 overs play and then post definative plan for 1st 15 overs.
Good luck.
..................
Hello,
We are covering this match for live cricket trading.

Please check back at start time which is 10:15 GMT on 16th August.
All the best.

Wednesday, August 13, 2008

Hampshire v Sussex - Pro 40 Div 1 - 13th August

Hello,
Straight bet selection for this match :

Back Sussex 3 Points @1.67

(Available at most of the bookies.Obviously you can get better price at betfair.com)

All the best.
..................
P.S :


Kent v Essex - Friends Provident Trophy Final match we are covering for live cricket trading on 16th August.
Don't miss this cracker.
Good luck.

Tuesday, August 12, 2008

Kent v Leicestershire - Pro 40 Div 2 {Inplay}

5th Update :

Kent taken 2 wickets in 1st 10 overs and score is 23
Odds 1.2
We got 1.8 on Kent due to possibility of D/L to play part because of rain.

Green up now and take equal green position on any result.

No plan to involve further as healthy profit is achieved and let's pray for completed match so that our profit become safe.

Good night and please leave some comments if you think it's worth.
Plan is to cover tomorrow's pro 40 match also.
All the best.
................
Update At Innings Break :

Kent 226/7 in 40 overs.
Odds Kent 1.49
Great 1st innings trading for us so i want to play safe in 2nd innings.
Plan is to wait for any selection 1.2x and then decide whether it is a freelay or not.
Although i'm leaving some plan but my advise is trade with small stakes at these odds :

1.Back Kent @1.8 whenever hit with stop loss 40 ticks means back Leicestershire 1.8 if Kent odds drift.
Let it run till 1.3x if stop loss not hit and green up that time.

2.Lay Kent @1.25 if comes upto 3 wickets but score 50+
Stop loss 7 ticks and green up at 1.5x if stop loss not hit.

Good luck.
Next update after 10 overs.
..................
Next update probably at last stage of 2nd innings in short odds.
Good luck.

...............
4th Update.............

Lent 130/4
Odds 1.70
Take equal profit from last trade (Lay Kent 200@1.45)
Next plan is :

1.Lay Kent 200@1.35 if comes with 8 ticks stop loss.
Green up above 15-20 ticks if stop loss not hit.
Gl
..................
3rd Update.............

Kent 68/3 in 16.3 overs.
Odds 1.61

Well good profit so far and i think it is very hard to get that easy opportunity again.
In 1st innings i love to lay batting team in short odds obviously strong prematch favourite team.
Though plan for remaining innings is same but don't forget to take stop loss if required with any specified trade.We are trading not gambling.
All the best.
................
2nd Update :

Kent 38/2 in 9th over.
Green up now and take equal green position on any result.
Next plan is :

1.Lay 200@1.45 Kent if comes again with stop loss 10 ticks.
Back plan 170@1.75

2.Back Kent 50@3 if comes anytime and let it run.

3.Lay Kent 300@1.25 if comes anytime with 7 ticks stop loss.
Green up whenever you get chance on above 20 ticks.
Gl
................
1st Update............

Kent batting first :

Plan is :

1.Lay Kent 200@1.32 if comes in 1st 10 overs with 7 ticks stop loss.
Back plan 100@1.55 and 110@1.75
Green up at 1.3x

2.Back Kent 100@1.8 if comes in 1st 20 overs upto 4 wickets with stop loss 40 ticks means back Leices 100@1.8 if Kent drift.
If stop loss not hit then green up at 1.3x

3.Lay Kent 200@1.45 if comes after 2 wickets in 1st 15 overs but runrate below 7
Green up above 40 ticks and stop loss 12 ticks.

Next update after 10 overs and I'll post other plan according to situation.

All the best.
.................
Hello and welcome to our coverage of county cricket limited overs matches.
Plan is to cover important county matches in this blog for live cricket trading regularly from now on along with straight bet selections.

Today's match is Kent v Leicestershire - Pro 40 Div 2 from 16:00 GMT.

Kent strong favourites at 1.38 presently.
Too short for a limited overs game imo especially against Leicestershire.

Leicestershire lost few matches in this tournament but from very little margin.

So i hope good trading opportunities inplay and lots of free lays especially if Kent bat first or chase small or big target.
..............
Please check back after sometime for 1st innings plan.
All the best.

Wednesday, August 6, 2008

England v South Africa ,4th Test

Hello and welcome back.

This test match is going to start from tomorrow.Dead rubber and weather means draw heavy favourites but i don't think it will end as a draw.
But still i'm not laying draw because i may get 1.7x very early.
So wait and watch game.
We are covering this test in live trading room.We profited in 4 test matches in a row.
Although there were some losses also and when i carefully examined the results (2 main losses) i found :

1.Loss at value :

Well in 1st test of this series (Lord's) England were value at 1.5+ on day 4 but SA batted exceptionaly well.

2.Refusal of green up position :

In one match our book position was really good but we didn't green up at time and eventually loss in end because of unexpected result.
This was the first time when i think of let win trade run logic but it failed.
Frankly stop loss or let win trade run debate is always going to bother traders but imo try to take profit or cover liability whenever you get chance especially in a volatile market.



Anyway we bounced back very well after these defeats.
What we learn from loss is most important because that is the first step of profit.
Small consistent win are important than one big win followed by almost equal loss.

Now we've adopted a strict money management and i hope from that we may prevent big loss in future.
Also i noticed that we suffered loss mostly due to 4th innings trading.

Test matches are very good for trading in first 3 days or first 3 innings.
There is big chances of volatile market in 4th innings or last day of the match.
Let's hope enough lessons learnt and from that i can say we may not suffer any moderate loss in future fingers crossed.

If you want to join us in live trading room then visit tradeoncricket.com for details.

All the best.

Live Cricket

Hi,

I've added a link on right side to view live cricket.
Most of the matches are going to shown here.
enjoy it.

Todays match is :

16:30GMT Warwickshire v Northamptonshire [Natwest Pro 40]

Sunday, August 3, 2008

Test Matches Trading Update

Well a very good result for us in live cricket trading room in England v South Africa ,3rd Test and touchwood India v Lanka match trading is also going very well.

England v South Africa ,3rd Test was real pleasure to watch and it was cricket who won in last.
It was the real test of nerves.
England fought back very well and at one stage they were looking most likely winners.

All three selection traded as odds on and 10+
I will post trades and P/L of this match later as last few days were very hectic.
..................

India v Sri Lanka ,2nd Test :

Match in very good situation now and any result is possible.
India lead by 237 runs and i think today on 4th day India 1.5 or below may prove good freelay till they bat and back Lanka 7+ is going to be a very good trading opportunity.

Weather is also a concern so if India bat well today then Draw may shorten significantly.

Good luck and all the best.

Friday, August 1, 2008

England v South Africa ,3rd Test - Trading Update

Hello.

Test match in good shape now after day 2 and only weather can prevent result (as usual).

After 2 days trading our book position in live trading room :

Back Draw 50@3.50
Lay Draw 40@4
Lay SA 150@1.75
Back SA 150@2.24
Lay SA 100@1.65
Back 120@1.61 SA
Lay 300@1.45 SA
Back 200@1.58 SA
..............
Book position :

England +70
Draw +85
SA +53

................
South Africa score at stumps on day 2 is SA 256/6 (76.0 ov, MV Boucher 11*, AG Prince 37*, JM Anderson 1/64) - Stumps
.............
SA odds are 1.60
They lead by 25 runs and 4 wickets remaining.

Well i think if South Africa start well today then around 1.45-1.48 their price is going to be a good freelay for 10-15 overs and back England 7+ is going to be a good trading opportunity.

................
India v Sri Lanka ,2nd Test :
We involved minimum in this test so far because of weather,poor liquidity.
Although Draw traded at 2.2+ after reached to 1.4 due to rain delay.

I want to wait for any selection short odds and then probably involve if it looks as freelay in this test maybe on day 3 and onwards.

If you are trading on both test matches then good luck and all the best.