IPL : Delhi v Punjab ,27th April - Preview & Plan

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Also we are posting preview and plan of most of the matches.

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Pete and sometimes here also.
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Delhi v Punjab:

(11:30 GMT)
Venue :
Punjab Cricket Association Stadium, Mohali, Chandigarh
................
Delhi unbeaten so far from 2 games while Punjab won one game from three.
Delhi mainly dependent on their openers and on their day they can be unstoppable but if they fail then there is no depth in batting.Punjab more balance side than Delhi.
Overall Delhi is team who can win by 9 wickets or lose by 9 wickets.

Main points:
1.Ground/pitch:
Batting pitch and high scoring match is expected.Toss winner may prefer to bat first.

2.Teams :

>Delhi
Key players are Sehwag , Gambhir , S Malik , D L Vettori and Mcgrath
Team don't have batting depth so they may struggle if bad start.

>Punjab

Yuvraj , Jayawardene , B Lee , JR Hopes and Sangakkara are key players.
Balanced team and batting depth.
B Lee can destroy any team top batting order.

3.Early prices and market mood.

Punjab slightly favourites at 1.98 presently.

(Delhi now @1.89 during typing)
Punjab playing at home ground and no doubt more balanced team than Delhi.



Roughly no clear cut favourites.
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Strategy for match:

We traded 2 games yesterday.
1st match plan gone well but not in 2nd match.
But i hope profit in 1st match is more than 2nd match loss because quick stop loss is taken in 2nd match.
Main winning strategy done well in 1st match and our focus will be more on that in remaining matches.
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Predicted target odds & 1st innings plan:

(A) If Delhi bat first:

230 1.1x
210 1.4x
190 Evens
170 2.5x
150 3.8x
130 6.2x
110 15
*All are Delhi odds.

Plan If Delhi bat first:

1.Lay Delhi 200@1.6x (consider 1.8x after Sehwag wicket) if comes in 1st 10 overs as free lay.
Stop loss:
Strict stop loss @1.48 because Sehwag and Gambhir explosive batting can start 1.01 train.
If stop loss does not hit then let it run and green up last.

2.Back Punjab 100@2+ if comes in first 10 overs after 2 wickets.Consider back Punjab 1.7+ if bad start and 2 wickets and Sehwag wicket in that if comes in 1st 10 overs.
Back 100 more if odds lengthen to 2.2-2.4

Stop loss : 2.9 Punjab
Let it run for some time if stop loss does not hit and green up at low odds.

3.Lay Delhi 200@1.2x if comes anytime in 1st innings.
Stop loss at available odds in innings break and take profit or back 120% above 20-30 ticks.

(Summary is if bad start then back Punjab at decent odds and if very good start then lay Delhi in low odds and green up if stop loss does not hit).
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(B) If Punjab bat first:

230 1.1x
210 1.4x
190 1.8x
170 2.6x
150 4.8x
130 8.2x
110 20
*All are Punjab odds.

Plan If Punjab bat first:

1.Lay Punjab
100@1.7x
100@1.4x
If comes in 1st 10 overs.
Stop loss at 12-15 overs at 1.4x-1.5x and take equal profit whenever you get chance.
Try to repeat this trade.

3.Lay Delhi 100@1.6x if comes upto 2 wickets but score 60+ in first 10 overs.
Stop loss 12 ticks and let it run if stop loss does not hit for some long and then green up.

4.Lay Punjab 200@1.5x if comes after 3 wickets in 12-15 overs and runrate below 10 with stop loss 12 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.
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Summary:

It is going to be contest between

Sehwag and B Lee

Sangakkara and Mcgrath

This contest winner's team is going to be most likely winner.

No straight bet advise because difficult to predict winner.


All the best.
Dip