2nd Update
4th Day (Stumps)
Pakistan 108/1 require another 349 runs to win in 90 overs.
Odds South Africa 2.74,Pakistan 14.5,Draw 1.73
Well Draw in full picture now.And options for us are either back SA or lay Draw.My book on any result is good.As per plan taken SA around 2.5 and want to let it run till lunch tomorrow with bail out plan.As discussed before looking for Draw around 1.5-1.6 as good free lay.So plenty of good opportunities we may find tomorrow but for now SA at 2.74 is a good trading opportunity and if you want to play safe then wait for Draw odds in 1.5x zone tomorrow.
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1st Update
Pakistan 59/1 in 19 overs.Require 398 more to win in 105 overs.
Odds are SA 2.1,Pakistan 20 and Draw 2.0
Before 1st wicket SA odds reached to 1.9x zone and after wicket 1.5x
Wicket cutting bowling team odds by 0.4 approx and that was 1st wicket so next wicket may cut odds by 0.5 and if it will be Younus Khan may be SA odds cut by 0.6
Planning now is to wait for SA odds 2.4+ or Draw odds in 1.6x zone.I think Draw at 1.5x or 1.6x will be a good free lay any time because Pakistan win at that time will also come in consideration.
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Hello and welcome back.SA 305/4d and Pakistan needs 456 to win.34 overs today and whole 5th day means minimum 124 overs play more left in this match if bad light or rain stays away.
I chosen to start new post because previous post gone lengthy and also i've closed my main position on this match.Only plan now is to play(lay) in low odds either South Africa or Draw or (fingers crossed) Pakistan if comes with minimum stakes.
Waiting for SA or Draw odds in 1.3x zone if comes from now on and wickets at that time.
Good trading opportunity will be in SA 2.4+ odds if comes today because any wicket at that time will cut their odds by 0.5
All the best.Waiting for comments/suggestions
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