IPL : Punjab v Chennai -2nd Semifinal, 31st May {Inplay}

3rd Update :
Chennai 15/1 in 3rd over.
Last lay gone well.Infact last 2 low odds performed very well.
Plan is to lay again at 1.05 if comes in next 5 overs.
Gl
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2nd update :
Punjab 112/8 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.12
Well plan is:
1.Lay Chennai 1.05 if comes in 1st 5 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Gl
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1st Update :
Punjab batting first and score is 71/7 in 16th over.
Odds Chennai 1.07 as favourites.
Imo a good lay because even at score 90 we may get 1.06 to back.
So lay now with back plan all at 1.14
Good luck.
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Hello and welcome to 2nd semifinal trading strategy for 1st innings.
I always believe that the matches in which one team is strong favourites prematch proves very good for trading in any format of the game if there is not much difference in the teams.Even in these matches i prefer strong team to bat first for free lays.
Why ?
Answer is simple.Let's look at the odds for this match.Punjab favourites at 1.56 presently.If they bat first and flying start then odds may shorten to 1.3x quickly which is going to be a free lay for 5 overs atleast and we can trade out at same odds after some time if no profit from trade but if wickets or some tight overs then we can take profit quickly.

Later on if they continue to bat well then we may see 1.1x around 15 overs onwards which is going to be a another good free lay.
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Yesterday in 1st semifinal i predicted 1.5x odds on 200 score (Rajasthan batting first) and it was almost same (192 score and Rajasthan traded at 1.64 at innings break).So Rajasthan at 1.4x/1.5x was a good free lay in that match which has very little downward possible movement.
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So plan for 1st innings is :

(A) If Punjab bat first :

(2 Free lays expected.First in 1-10 overs and another one in 11-20 overs).

1.Lay Punjab 1.35 if comes in 1st 10 overs with back plan all above 20-30 ticks.
Trade out at same odds or take stop loss 6-8 ticks after sometime.
2.Lay Punjab 1.15 or below if comes around 13-17 overs (consider lay 1.2x if comes after 3 wickets and runrate below 9).Take profit or trade out after sometime.

*Try to repeat trades.Like lay 1.3x and back 1.5x again if 1st trade gone successful.

These are going to be free lays which depends on good start by Punjab.But if bad start then plan is :

3.Back Punjab 2+ if comes in 1st 5 overs with 30 ticks stop loss.Take profit whenever you get chance.

4.Lay Chennai around 1.45 if come anytime upto 4 wickets but score 70+ with stop loss 12 ticks and take profit whenever you get chance.
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(B) If Chennai bat first :

This one is interesting because instead of free lay we may find free back in Punjab odds if Chennai start well.

1.Back Punjab 1.8 and then 2.2 if comes in 1st 10 overs.Imo upto 180 score odds are going to be evens at innings break and i don't think Chennai is capable to score 180+.So it may prove safe trade although my advise is to take stop loss or trade out at same odds around 10th over if Chennai continue to bat well because anything is possible in cricket.

2.Lay Chennai 1.6x if comes in 13-17 overs as free lay.Take profit whenever you get chance and stop loss 16 ticks.

Again these trades depends on good start by Chennai.But if bad start then plan is :

3.Lay Punjab 1.2x if comes in 1st 10 overs upto 2 wickets.Take profit whenever you get chance and stop loss 8 ticks.

4.Lay Punjab 1.2-1.3 in middle overs if score 70+ after 3 wickets.Like score 70/3 in 12 overs.Reason for this trade is that Chennai middle order is strong than top order.Consider stop loss 6-8 ticks and take profit whenever you get chance.

So we have plans for each situation (good or bad start) anyone bat first.

I will post update inplay.
All the best and good luck.
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P.S :
We are trying to cover some county (domestic) matches.That includes Friends Provident Trophy,Pro40 and other matches after IPL in this blog.

Australia v West Indies Test match we are covering in live trading room.If you want to join then please see details at tradeoncricket.com

Any comments/suggestion most welcome.
Thanks for reading.

IPL : Delhi v Jaipur -1st Semifinal {Inplay}

2nd Update :
Rajasthan 192/9 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.64
Profit from last trade also.
Always remember free lays pays most of the time.
Now plan for chase is :
1.Lay Delhi 1.36 if comes in 1st 10 overs as free lay.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Stop loss >8 ticks.

2.Lay Rajasthan 1.16 if comes in 1st 5 overs as free lay.Back plan 80% at 1.3x stop loss after 10 overs.
Gl
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1st Update :
Rajasthan 88/3 in 11th over.
Well our first 10 overs trading gone well thanks to 3 quick wickets.
Now plan is to lay Rajasthan 1.4x/1.5x if comes in next 2-3 overs with same back and stop loss plan.
Gl
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Hello and welcome to all.
Match will start from 14:30 GMT.
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Rajasthan favourites at 1.79 presently.
Well before start i want to mention strategy in brief for 1st innings.
(A) If Rajasthan bat first :

Delhi batting lineup is very strong on paper.So market is going to offer good odds on Rajasthan even on 200 score (around 1.4x-1.5x).
So if good start by Rajasthan and you find there odds shorten to 1.7x in start ,lay that as free lay for 4-5 overs with back plan all above 30-40 ticks or take all green position whenever you get chance.Stop loss or trade out at same odds around 11-12 overs at 1.6x-1.7x.
If Rajasthan continue to bat well then consider lay 1.4x-1.5x around 13-14th over as absolute free lay with same back plan and stop loss or trade out around 17-18 over on +-10 ticks if it looks they are heading for 210+.

Here i want to mention that on any free lay if no profit in 4-5 overs then try to trade out at +-5 ticks.
If bad start by Rajasthan then lay Delhi around 1.3x if comes in start upto 2 wickets with back plan all above 20-30 ticks.Try to repeat these trades.
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(B) If Delhi bat first :
After toss Rajasthan may cut around 1.6x if Delhi bat first.Small lay Rajasthan in start because on a good start we may see evens quickly.
Other plan is same like Rajasthan innings.
Try to lay Delhi 1.5x if comes in first 10 overs as free lay for 4-5 overs after flying start with same back plan and stop loss or trade out plan.
If Delhi continue to bat well then consider lay Delhi 1.3x as absolute free lay around 11-12 overs.
Back plan and stop loss or trade out plan is same.
If bad start by Delhi then consider lay Rajasthan around 1.3x in start upto 2 wickets.
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I hope this strategy may help you in first innings though i will post updates inplay.
All the best.
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Australia v West Indies ,2nd Test will also start from today.
If you want to join us for live trading then please check details at tradeoncricket.com
Thank you.

IPL : Punjab v Rajasthan {Inplay}

2nd Update :
Punjab 221/3 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.14
Looking another one sided match but you never know.
Anyway plan for chase is :

1.Back Punjab
20@1.3
30@1.6
if comes in 1st 8 overs.Take profit whenever you get chance.Stop loss> well at this score odds may stay around 1.7 highest in 1st 10-12 overs.So try to run these back for some overs because wickets and run both will hold price.But if it seems that Rajasthan can win like score 110/1 in 9 overs then try to trade out with minimum loss around 11-12 overs.
Gl

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1st Update :
Punjab 74/0 in 8th over.
Plan is lay Punjab 200@1.21 if comes in remaining innings as free lay because imo upto 210 score we may get 1.18 to back.So very low risk lay if comes.Take profit whenever you get chance on above 15-20 ticks and stop loss at innings break on available odds.

All the best.
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Welcome back.
Punjab batting first.
1st 8 overs plan is to lay Punjab 100@1.45 if comes with 8 ticks stop loss.Back plan 70% at 1.7x
Gl

IPL :Mumbai v Banglore :28th May {Inplay}

3rd Update :
Banglore 122/9 in 18 overs.
Odds 1.14
Match is over unless any dramatic collapse.
Wait for 2 wickets in start then consider lay at 200@1.05 with back plan all above 8-10 ticks.Trade out if no profit in 2-3 overs.
Gl
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Banglore batting first and 18 over per side match is expected.
Mumbai favourites at 1.43 presently.
Only few plans for 1st innings :

1.Back 50@1.7 Mumbai if comes and if odds drift then back 50@2.2.Take profit whenever you get chance but more on Mumbai.Stop loss at innings break at available odds.

2.Lay 100@1.17 Mumbai if comes in 1st 8 overs with stop loss 4 ticks.Back plan 120% at 1.3x
Good luck.
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2nd Update :

There is some chance of play today as rain stopped now.
So please stay and wait for update if game start.
Thank you.
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1st Update :
Bad news because chances of play is very less due to rain.
So please join us again for next game of the day which is Punjab v Rajasthan
at 14:30 GMT.
Till then good bye.
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Hello and welcome to Mumbai v Banglore live cricket trading.
Two last group matches today.
1st is this one and will start from 10:30 GMT.
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So please join us before start of the match.Yesterday we traded Chennai v Deccan match.Game died at early stage so there were few trading opportunities but we find two good free lays one in each innings and i hope small profit taken from both.
Chennai 1.3x in 1st innings and 1.2x in 2nd innings were good and safe free lays.
Let's try to find free lays in this match also as well as some trading opportunities for quick trade.
Good luck.
Waiting for your comments/suggestions and feedback.

IPL : Chennai v Deccan, 27th May {Inplay}

3rd Update :
Deccan 147/8 in 20 overs.
Odds Chennai 1.39
Plan is to wait for Chennai 1.2x or 2.2x
1.Lay Chennai 200@1.23 if comes in 1st 5 overs with stop loss 6 ticks and back plan 90% above 15-20 ticks.
2.Back Chennai 50@2.2 if comes in first 10 overs upto 3 wicket but score 50+ with stop loss 30 ticks.Take profit whenever you get chance on 30-40 ticks.
Gl
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2nd Update :
Deccan 44/2 in 8th over.
Odds Chennai 1.39

Strange odds frankly.
Let last trade run as per plan.
Plan for remaining innings is :
Back Chennai 100@1.8 if comes with stop loss 30 ticks.
Gl
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1st Update :

Early update because i forget to post plan to lay Chennai also at 1.3x which is also safe in starting overs mainly due to Chennai SP.

Lay Chennai 100@1.32 (i prefer small stake to lay bowling team) if comes upto 2 wickets like score 30/2 with back plan 80% at 1.5x
Strict stop loss 8 ticks.
Gl
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Hello and good morning,afternoon,evening wherever you are.
Deccan batting first and odds presently :
Chennai 1.74
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Well what i learn so far from IPL is don't involve untill first 7-8 overs of 1st innings. Only in 1 condition consider entry if batting team odds available at 1.3x to lay.

So plan for 1st 8 overs is lay Deccan 200@1.35 if comes with back plan 110% at 1.5x and stop loss 8 ticks.
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I will update plans for remaining innings around 8th over.
Good luck.

IPL : Remaining Matches (May, 27 Onwards)

Hello and welcome back.
We are covering some remaining matches of IPL for live cricket trading on this blog.
Test matches and ODI's are in premium package of live cricket trading room and we covered some IPL matches for free in that also.
Today's match is Chennai v Deccan at 14:30 GMT.So please join us at that time for live trading.
Cheers.
Dip