Friday, May 30, 2008

IPL : Delhi v Jaipur -1st Semifinal {Inplay}

2nd Update :
Rajasthan 192/9 in 20 overs.
Odds 1.64
Profit from last trade also.
Always remember free lays pays most of the time.
Now plan for chase is :
1.Lay Delhi 1.36 if comes in 1st 10 overs as free lay.Take profit whenever you get chance.
Stop loss >8 ticks.

2.Lay Rajasthan 1.16 if comes in 1st 5 overs as free lay.Back plan 80% at 1.3x stop loss after 10 overs.
Gl
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1st Update :
Rajasthan 88/3 in 11th over.
Well our first 10 overs trading gone well thanks to 3 quick wickets.
Now plan is to lay Rajasthan 1.4x/1.5x if comes in next 2-3 overs with same back and stop loss plan.
Gl
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Hello and welcome to all.
Match will start from 14:30 GMT.
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Rajasthan favourites at 1.79 presently.
Well before start i want to mention strategy in brief for 1st innings.
(A) If Rajasthan bat first :

Delhi batting lineup is very strong on paper.So market is going to offer good odds on Rajasthan even on 200 score (around 1.4x-1.5x).
So if good start by Rajasthan and you find there odds shorten to 1.7x in start ,lay that as free lay for 4-5 overs with back plan all above 30-40 ticks or take all green position whenever you get chance.Stop loss or trade out at same odds around 11-12 overs at 1.6x-1.7x.
If Rajasthan continue to bat well then consider lay 1.4x-1.5x around 13-14th over as absolute free lay with same back plan and stop loss or trade out around 17-18 over on +-10 ticks if it looks they are heading for 210+.

Here i want to mention that on any free lay if no profit in 4-5 overs then try to trade out at +-5 ticks.
If bad start by Rajasthan then lay Delhi around 1.3x if comes in start upto 2 wickets with back plan all above 20-30 ticks.Try to repeat these trades.
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(B) If Delhi bat first :
After toss Rajasthan may cut around 1.6x if Delhi bat first.Small lay Rajasthan in start because on a good start we may see evens quickly.
Other plan is same like Rajasthan innings.
Try to lay Delhi 1.5x if comes in first 10 overs as free lay for 4-5 overs after flying start with same back plan and stop loss or trade out plan.
If Delhi continue to bat well then consider lay Delhi 1.3x as absolute free lay around 11-12 overs.
Back plan and stop loss or trade out plan is same.
If bad start by Delhi then consider lay Rajasthan around 1.3x in start upto 2 wickets.
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I hope this strategy may help you in first innings though i will post updates inplay.
All the best.
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Australia v West Indies ,2nd Test will also start from today.
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Thank you.

1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Great strategy.It's going well.Thanks