Friday, August 31, 2007

4th Profitable Odi In Row And What We Learn So Far

Yesterday P/L +£579.2
What a match it was.Major Flip flops.England 1.16 in 1st inning than India 1.18 in 2nd inning and England won the match in last.
Although i decided to exit when England was 114/7 because i was well green on any result.
Anyway we will discuss in brief match events.In first inning India looking in trouble most of the time and 220+ was looking difficult.Second inning as i mentioned in inplay that in low chase we may have bat team in short odds early and that is good for trading.Infact we find a 'true free lay' when England 3 wickets down and still 100+ more runs required and that really paid us.Why it was great free lay?
1.It may go to 1.0x zone but only 1 wicket will bring it up in 1.1x zone again.
2.Spinners over remaining.
3.After 3 wickets down gates are opened.If you lay any bat team in 1.1x zone when there is 40/0 and target is 220 then there are less chances than 40/2 to odds to drift.
What we learn so far:
1.Back bowl team in high chase in 2nd inning on good odds are worth.
2.Low chase we may find some good opportunities when there are 3 or 4 wickets down.
3.Prematch free lays:We find two in four odi so far and that was in 2nd and 3rd and the logic is same again that when almost equal teams are playing there may be market over reaction prematch due to last match result and one team become short without any genuine reason.

In last the most important thing which will remain forever is 'selection,entry time and exit point' in each and every match.
And so far it is true that 2nd inning is always good to enter unless there is any good free lay in 1st inning.
..................

P.S: Good Opportunities When Comes Please Share Them.


If you find any inplay or prematch opportunities in cricket matches then send me in mail or post here in comments,I will also pleased to send them in your mail along with post here.My email is findfreelay@gmail.com just send me your mail i.d

No comments: