Monday, October 8, 2007

South Africa v Pakistan,2nd Test {Inplay}

5th Update,Day 4 (Post Lunch)
South Africa 214/2 lead by 365 runs.
Odds are South Africa 1.9,Pakistan 50,Draw 2.12
Our lay of SA at 1.4x going great.
'Loves Test Cricket' although my biggest loss was in Test match but that was before start of this blog and reason was i defeated by weather and my stupidity by 20% and 80% each.Tell you some other day whole story of that match.
Anyway now plan is to back SA for some and than wait till declaration by South Africa.
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4th update (08:40 GMT )
3rd Day
South Africa 357 & 28/0 (8.1 ov)
Pakistan 206
Odds SA 1.46,Pak 8.8 and Draw 4.4
Hello and welcome back.
South Africa odds in 1.4x.
Is it a free lay?
I think till they bat their odds will not go below 1.40
Waiting for your comments on this.
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3rd Update
Day 2 (Stumps)
SA 357/10 (1st inning)
Pakistan 140/4
SA odds touched 11+ when Pakistan openers doing well.90 runs added for 1st wicket at good run rate.
SA at 7+ was a very good trading opportunity.Reasons are:
1.SA odds drifted mainly due to flying start by Pakistan and it is not possible to maintain 6/over run rate in Test cricket.
2.If we are backing bowling team in high odds then only couple of wickets cut their odds by half.
3.It was only 2nd day of Test match.
4.SA score 357 in 1st innings of the test match was not a bad score.
5.Draw is not common nowdays in Test cricket.
Our other trade of backing Draw 2.5+ and then lay in low also doing well.My advise is always try to 'green' on any result whenever opportunity comes and trade on daily basis in Test cricket.
Cheers
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2nd Update post lunch,Day 2
South Africa 357 all out.
Pakistan 46/0 7 overs.
Odds SA 7.4,Pak 2.48,Draw 2.14
South Africa 7.4 is definately a value.
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Day 2...........
1st Update 8am BST.

SA 316/7 in 105 overs.
Odds SA 4.0,Pak 3.2,Draw 2.12
Our plan to back draw in SA 1st inning at 2.5+ working well.And the question now is to let it run or lay draw now.I think small lay of draw now and when Pakistan come to bat consider more lay of draw.Those not done any trading so far may consider back SA at these odds.Keep in mind pakistan will bat 4th inning of this test most probably.
.................
Hello and welcome back.SA won the toss and elected to bat first.Score is 12/0 in 4 overs.
Odds are SA 3.1,Pak 3.0 and Draw is 2.08
Well for test free lays are any result odds below 1.6 in 1st two days.And for good trading opportunity back draw 2.5+ if comes in SA 1st inning.
Busy in 4th ODI between India and Australia so we will avoid trading in 1st day of this test.Will update later.
Good luck

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Dip,
Good call.Great sense of cricket trading.Keep it up.
Federik

Anonymous said...

Well done again dip got 8.8 for s/a,could now green up but think ill leave it a while,another couple of quick wickets and the price would come in quickly.
cheers
Terry.

dip said...

Federik and Terry thanks for your comments.Always delighted when readers says they are benefited by this blog.My main purpose for 'inplay posts' is always this.And i mentioned it many times that i've no intention of financiel gain from this blog.
Terry>As you mentioned that you got SA at 8.8 and want to leave it a while.SA odds at stumps (2nd day) are 3.45
Though i still think these odds are good to back but consider some lay because cricket is a funny game.Green on any result is always a big thing.But if it is for small stake let it run.
Thanks again for visit.

Anonymous said...

Dip,
Saffers at 1.4x was "True Free Lay"
Wow they are now 1.65 you are awesome .....Cheers
Sgeal