Hello,
Any result is possible in this test now and 5th or final day is going to be very exciting.Lanka need 260 runs to win from 98 overs (if no weather interruption) and they have 7 wickets in hand obviously Australia reqd. 7 wickets to win.
Weather:It is going to be big factor tomorrow.So far news is occasional showers in the afternoon and chance of rain is 40% from yahoo weather site.
Current odds are Australia 1.41,Sri Lanka 9.8 and Draw 5.1
Without weather factor it is easy to say that back Australia 1.7+ if comes before lunch as good trading opportunity and wait for Draw or Lanka odds in low zone to find free lay.
Chances of Lanka win is least which is also reflecting in odds even if no weather interruption because they need reqd. runs at 2.7/over and Australia can bowl negative line if they sense it also batting on 5th day in Test match is always difficult but cricket is a game of great uncertainty and anything can happen. So what is the safest plan for tomorrow?
I think back Australia 1.8+ before lunch if comes with stop loss 30 ticks because any wicket before lunch will cut Australia odds by 0.5 in this situation and once Australia odds reach at 1.8+ it will stay long and Draw and Lanka Price will change more.Another interesting point is new ball is due in 11 overs try to take advantage on it.
Free lay may be Lanka odds in 1.6x zone if comes and Draw odds in 1.3x zone after lunch.Keep an eye on weather all the time after lunch.I will try for inplay post as early as possible.
All the best.
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