Australia v India 4th Test,Preview & Plan

Hello and welcome back.Match scheduled to begin at 00:30 GMT at Adelaide, Jan 24, 2008
Ground history:No doubt in favour of Australia.
Key points are:
1.Weather: Seems O.K but some chances of rain on last 2 days.
( http://weather.yahoo.com/forecast/ASXX0001_c.html )
2.Teams: Hayden is back for Australia and Jaffer may not play and Harbhajan most likely to replace him.
Plan:
>Current odds are Aus 2.0 as favourites,Draw 2.5 and India 9.
It looks like that because of flat pitch prediction,India batting strength and Australia defeat in last test Draw is so short.
Although last 10 Test matches shows 90% result (8 home and 1 away) at this venue and only 10% or 1 Draw.
Anyway plan for 1st day is:

(A)If India bat first:
1.Back Aus at 2.0 in start (small) and back some more if odds drifts to 2.6+ and wait.
2.Lay Australia 1.4x or below if comes before lunch.
3.Back Draw 5.5+ if comes before lunch and 6+ anytime on day 1 (not after batting collapse like if you see collapse in start then wait till tea).
4.Lay Draw 1.7x or below before lunch.
5.India odds:better leave it.
(B)If Australia bat first:
1.Back Aus 3.0+ before lunch.
2.Lay Australia 1.7x or below.
3.Back Draw 4+ if comes before lunch and 5+ anytime on day 1.
4.Lay Draw 1.8x or below before lunch and 1.5x anytime.
5.India odds: Back India 18+ if comes in start and lay 3.5 or below anytime.
............

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