Sunday, January 13, 2008

India v Australia,3rd Test-Preview & Plan(s)

Hello and welcome back.
South Africa v West Indies 3rd Test ended on day three and SA won it comprehensively.
Poor show by West Indies in the whole match apart from a good partnership for 4th wicket in 2nd innings.Chanderpaul not batted in 2nd innings worsen things more for West Indies otherwise we might had some good Draw odds trading on day 3rd.
Anyway 2 out of 3 Tests in the series gone in our way and 1 loss is a part of trading :-).
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Australia v India,3rd Test Plan:
Match is going to be played at W.A.C.A. Ground, Perth which is the quickest pitch in Australia.
Overall records suggests that beat Australia at Perth is a very difficult task.
Weather so far looks to be fine.
Current odds are:
Australia 1.40 as strong favourites,Draw 5.0 second favourite and India 10.0 as outsiders.
My plan:
Frankly from free lay and trading point of view i always like to see strong favourite team bat first in any format of the game.
So here again i will not hesitate to lay Australia in 1.4x if they bat first with a back plan of 1.6x and 1.8x.
If India bat first then i would like to wait for 10-15 overs because i don't like to back any selection in Test match 1.4x on day 1 or lay strong bowling team which is also strong favourites prematch on a fast track.
Another thing is there will be very slow odds movement in Australia odds even if India won't lose any wicket in 1st ten overs.
If India bat well till lunch like 80/1 then consider back Australia 1.7x and then wait and if they continue to bat well then consider back some more at 2.4+ if comes on day one.
All the best.
P.S:
I will post plan for Draw and India odds trading on 15th.

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