Friday, August 29, 2008

Live : India v Sri Lanka ,5th ODI

Hello and welcome to our continues coverage of India v Sri Lanka ODI series.
Please check back after sometime for preview and 1st innings plan.
As a rule nowdays we don't involve in prematch odds unless any true freelay around 1.3x .
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P.S :
Live stream of the match will start just before toss.
So enjoy live pictures with live cricket trading advise.
Thanks
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1st Update : Another match today Eng/S.A 2nd ODI at same time which we are covering in live trading room.So plan is to involve minimum in this match ,probably only 1 trade in starting overs of 1st innings.
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2nd Update
Preview & 1st Innings Plan :

1.Day-Night Game ,3rd back to back match at this ground.

2.Average score ground and 250+ very good score to defend.

3.Pitch take turn late so batting becomes difficult as game progress.

4.Weather:
Chances of rain.Presetly clear.

5.Teams :
Plenty of changes in both sides because it's a dead rubber but no confirm news so far.

6.Market mood :
Again with Lanka but not blindly.
Presently odds are 1.8

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Summary is :

Standard theory "Win toss , bat first , score 230+ and win match".

India won last 3 matches but because it's a dead rubber we don't know how important this match to them.

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Predicted target odds :

(A) If India bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.5x
250 1.8x
230 3.2
210 6
190 9

*All are India odds.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

310 1.2x
290 1.3x
270 1.4x
250 1.6x
230 2.8x
210 5
190 7

*All are Lanka odds.
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1st innings plan :
It is going to be almost same like last match.


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(A) If India bat first :

Plan is :

1.Back 200@2 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 30 ticks.
If stop loss not hit then take profit whenever you get chance.

(B) If Lanka bat first :

Plan is :

1.Lay 300@1.6 Lanka if comes in 1st 15 overs with stop loss 14 ticks.
Take profit whenever you get chance.

Gl
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*I will try to post a update after 7-8 overs.

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3rd Update :
Lanka 7/1 in 6th over.
India 1.61
1.Back 100@1.8 India if comes with stop loss 30 ticks.
Take profit at 1.3x
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4th Update :
Lanka 96/4
Odds India 1.74
Poor liquidity due to England match.
Back India now and take zero position on India (Murali & Vaas not playing so odds are going to be in India's favour at innings break).
No plan to involve again till 2nd innings.
Gl
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Innings Break :
Lanka 227/6 in 50 overs.
Odds India 1.74
Historically chase is difficult at this ground but Murali and Vaas both not playing so you may see India 1.2x very early.
Small back India now and then green up whenever get chance.

Gl

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Update :
India 70/3
Match delayed by rain.
Last trade not going our way but still good book position on any result thanks mainly to big lay Lanka @1.6 in 1st innings because that trade never hit stop loss and India traded @1.2x lowest in 1st innings.
Well D/L may come in picture now so it's risky to involve further.
Take equal green position on any result now.
We are also heading towards big profit in England v South Africa, 2nd ODI in live trading room.
All the best.

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