Australia v New Zealand,3rd ODI-Preview & Plan

Hello,
Match will start at 23:00 GMT and my chances of involvement is very less.
If i involve then i will try for inplay post,atleast in 2nd innings.


Preview is small that it is a must win game for both teams.Gilchrist is not playing and M.Clark will open for Australia that means two giants are in team,Hayden and Symonds instead of three ;-).
New Zealand lost there last two matches at this venue.
One with Australia by 105 runs.Batting team first won 14 out of 24 with 1 NR.
Anyway now come to plan.I want Australia to bat first from trading point of view at these odds (1.23)
Why?
Suppose Australia bat first assume Australia odds at innings break at score:
310
290
270
If you think it is not going to less than 1.18 in higher case then either stick to your prematch lay of Australia at 1.22 or plan to lay them in 1.1x whenever comes (prefer early in 1st 15 overs).
If NZ bat first you may choose to bail out prematch lay and then try to lay Australia in 1.16 or below (upto 2 wickets in start after some recovery) and then wait to back 1.2x or 1.3x (try to avoid lay Australia in 1.4+).
Back plan in both cases should start from 1.3x and then with according to situation.Like if you see couple of early wickets when Australia bat first then back some at 1.3x and then wait for 1.4x or 1.5x

...............
2nd innings:
It is difficult to say prematch about it because it depends on score but if you find Australia chasing 250+ then try to find free lay in 1.1x or 1.0x in start specially after 1 or 2 wickets.
If New Zealand chasing 280+ and start well then back Australia 1.5+ in 1st 15 overs and then wait.
My best worked strategy so far with Australia is:
Lay 1k in 1.20
Back 1200@1.30
Book position>160 green Australia and 200 red any other result.Means we backed Australia 200@1.8
Stop loss 2.2
>If odds shorten:
Stop loss 1.15 or 1.16 or according to situation like if Australia batting first then you may let it run some long.
Lastly best plan in this match is to wait for short odds of Australia like 1.08 or below because Australia is too strong and there is no confusion about market mood but still i think short odds lay (Australia) eg. 1.0x pays most of the time if comes early.
Australia lost many matches from 1.0x position in past,infact they are traded at 1.1x in every match which they lost recently from memory.
Good luck to all.