Thursday, December 13, 2007

England v Sri Lanka,2nd Test-Day 5 {Inplay}

Result:Match Drawn
My Draw green reduced 30% in last 2 days in this match but increased more than 40% in India match on 5th day in last so no complaints ;-).
Will post detail P/L of this month early.
Don't forget to join me tomorrow for Australia v New Zealand,1st ODI (03:15 GMT) 'inplay post'.
Till then good bye.
P:S:
Lay Australia (current odds are 1.26) it is prematch free lay.
All the best.
.................
3rd Update:
England 211/3 in 63 overs (48 overs remaining).
Odds Draw 1.05
Draw was 1.01 to lay before Bell wicket.
Waiting for another 1.01>1.05 or 1.02>1.08 shot before Tea because this time Draw may drift 10-12 ticks on 4th wicket.
I think market move on wickets in next 20 overs is something like this:
4th Wicket 10 ticks
5th Wicket 15 ticks
6th Wicket 25 ticks
Although it depends on odds before wicket,England lead,remaining overs and weather forecast etc.What i want to highlight is that after 3 wickets odds moves more than on first 2/3 wickets in these situations.
Anyway again best advise is don't back Draw in short odds.
Good luck.



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2nd Update,Lunch:
England 152/1 trail by 45 runs and min. 65 overs remaining (depends on weather and bad light)
Odds Draw 1.03
Oops! my Draw green will reduce if odds will not drift in 1.1x zone.Frankly not waiting for miracle but i think it is a matter of only 1 wicket from trading point of view.Yesterday we seen it in India match also.Lets hope for the best and be prepared for the worst.
All the best.
..............
1st Update:
England 107/1 and Odds Draw 1.15
Draw touched 1.07 before Vaughan wicket.
Weather:Latest news is that it is not so bad today and 75 overs are possible atleast.
Plan is to stick with 1.1x lay before lunch.Though i don't trust on these things but from law of averages Bell is due for a low score.
Good luck.
................
Hello and Very good morning to all.
This is going to be cracker.First the best thing to do is to do nothing after tea because market may go volatile at that time or lay short odds 1.1x range of any selection at that time.2nd don't back draw in low odds anytime today,these two may save our big money.
Plan for today is:
1.Wait for 2 wickets atleast then lay draw in 1.2x when comes.
2.No detail forecast on weather till now but i think Draw in 1.1x is going to be free lay till lunch.
I'll update after 1 Hr.
All the best.
Please send weather/pitch report as comments.Thanks in advance.

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