Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Test Matches And Australia v New Zealand Twenty20 Plan

Hello and welcome back once again.
In Test matches Draw is favourite.Around 1.4x in England match and 1.1x in India match.

England v Lanka,3rd day:
Draw at 1.4x is a free lay but main thing is how much it will drift on wickets and runs in next 2 hours (ROI) and how much it may shorten in same period if no wickets?
Answer is not easy because it depends on weather forecast also which no one knows precisely.So i want to avoid any new trading today in this match till tea and only level my book when Draw reach in 1.3x zone anytime.
..................

India v Pakistan,4th Day:
Pakistan lost 6th wicket but follow-on is saved.
In this match plan is to trade on 5th day (Pakistan 2nd innings if comes).Although Draw in 1.0x is going to be free lay today.
.................

Australia v New Zealand,Twenty20 match:
Main focus is on this match today.Perhaps because of this match i don't want to involve more in Test matches.
It is a day nighter and start from 9:05 GMT.
Advance plan for 1st innings is:
(A)If Australia bat first:
1.Lay Australia in 1.2x if comes in 1st 10 overs.
2.Lay New Zealand 1.7x if comes in 1st 10 overs.
(B)If New Zealand bat first:
1.Lay Australia in 1.1x if comes in 1st 10 overs.
2.Back Australia 1.9+ if comes in 1st 10 overs.
3.Lay New Zealand 1.7x anytime if comes.
I will try for 'Inplay Post' in innings break.
Good luck.

4 comments:

Joe A Budden said...

Hi dip,

how did you get on in the one dayer? i followed your advice but didnt find an entry into the market

dip said...

Hi Joe,
Which one-day?
I'm confused!

Joe A Budden said...

sorry not the onedayer the 20 20 australia nz?

dip said...

Joe,
1st innings plan i posted before match started and when i was about to post 2nd innings plan New Zealand lost wickets quickly in early overs and then there was nothing in the match except Australia odds drifted to 1.04 to 1.10 once.
Anyway check blog for 1st ODI (Aus/NZ) on 14th December.
All the best.