Wednesday, September 19, 2007

1.14=1.04

1.14=1.04
Is it possible?
Yes it is possible in sports trading.
Hello and good morning to all.
I'm back after 2 trade free days because i was too busy elsewhere.Hope things are going well as our 'Predicting Target Odds' formula worked exceptionally well again in two of the three matches played yesterday.Not traded yesterday but was in touch of my friends and from them (also from internet) i get this information that what was the lowest odds when Australia and Lanka batting first in their matches against their opponents and at which stage of the innings.It was somewhere around 1.2 of Australia and 1.1 of Lanka while batting first in the match.Not going in detail but these was the lowest odds possible after 20 overs of batting team and was 'Platinum free lay' because if we layed these odds chances of downward move was very little (maximum 20%)
Therefor the title of this post is 1.14=1.04 means if we layed 1.14 odds in these situations every chance is there that we may get odds to back at 1.10 anytime in the remaining match and actually we are laying in 1.04 practically instead of 1.14 theoretically.Hence we are at low risk.And chances of upward move is much higher with these odds as it happened yesterday in both matches when odds drifted to more than 1.6 after the end of 20 overs in 1st inning.

It is also true with laying bat team in 1.1x (low odds) as we seen in third match between England and Newzealand when England odds in chase reached to 1.1x zone at one stage.These are the basics to find free lays and infact a golden rule in any sports trading.
Please note that i have taken 1.14 odds as a example but it can be in other ranges like 1.34=1.28 etc.

Today is two matches first is South africa/Newzealand followed by England/India.
I will try for 'inplay post' today.
In last keep in mind:
1.Predict target odds:Batting team odds in first innings around 150-210 range.
2.Lay bat team in low odds when they are chasing with analysis of situation at that time mainly runrate/wickets.
3.Lay any team low odds if comes early in the match with analysis because early wickets or boundaries are of little value in Twenty20 cricket.
4.Never back short odds of any team unless layed first
5.Try to find 1.14=1.04 situations.
Please post your view on 1.14=1.04 and give ideas that where and when we can find these situations in sports trading mainly in cricket.
P.S:
As always waiting for comments because they are essential to determine future of this blog.My try is to find minimum risk formula/plans/opportunities in sports trading specially in cricket and this is not possible without your support.Share you plan/strategies,correct me when i'm wrong and by doing that we can help each other because collectively we may find better plans always.
This blog is not for any commercial purpose or to tell my P/L to others.I admit that after starting this blog i'm doing trading in disciplined way than ever before but i need your support to go ahead.



Bye bye for now.Good luck to all.

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