7th Update
Yuvraj gone India 209/3 odds India 1.42 well my advise is again to lay in 1.1x then back
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6th update
India 184/2.India before 2 wickets touch 1.19 and after them touched 1.69
Now the odds are 1.32 India lay them again as runrate is still in over 6
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5th Update
India 130/0 odds 1.28 Lay them or wait for 1.20 because till 200/0 it will not go downward below 1.16
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4th Update
India 83/0 in 13 overs
Odds India 1.63
Good reply by India.
Backed England at 2.28 and now wait and watch time for me.If India Odds shorten upto 1.4x zone then we will do further trade with taking into account wickets and runrate at that time.
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3rd Update
England 316/6 50 overs (Lunch)
Odds England 1.51
Another high chase match.Always good for us.And plan will be:
1.Lay England 1.2x zone if early wicket then some recovery.
2.Back England 2.2+ if comes in 1st 10 overs.
3.Lay India in 1.5x zone if comes as free lay anytime after 2 wickets.
Basically same plan that was in previous matches which pay us then why to change plan.Unless law of average caught us this time (fingers crossed). ...................
2nd Update
England 106/4 in 23 ovrs
Odds India 1.56
Piyush Chawla come in 15th over and India odds start shortening and then two quick wickets and India in 1.4x zone.But i wonder why Collingwood was unhappy?
O.K now the situation is tricky and i want to avoid trade this time.Assume odds if England make 240,260 and 290.
Any thoughts please.
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1st Update
England 36/2 7 overs
Odds India 1.89
Gates are opened little bit and we will try to find good trading opportunity before spinners come to bowl and England odds around 1.7 at that time.
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Hello and welcome back.England won the toss and elected to bat first.
Odds England 1.79
And our plan for the 1st inning is:
1.Lay any team at 1.2x odds in first inning with analysis of situation *if quick wickets than lay bowl team when some stability seen in bat team*
2.Lay bat team (England) 1.4x in first inning any time as free lay.
3.Wait for 2nd inning for most of the trading opportunity as always.
4.Stick to basics
Best wishes
Waiting for suggestions.
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4 comments:
hi dip,
great result yesterday, lets hope today is just as good!!! not sure if you seen my post below, but i was wondering when you lay at 1.2x, what sort of liability do have in comparision to your betting bank? i.e. if you have a betting bank of £1000, what percentage of that are you prepared to lose on a single trade?
thanks wayne
Hi Wayne,
Thanks for inplay comment.And answer to your question is that it depends on whether i'm laying bat team or bowling at 1.2x if it is bat team than i lay more than bowl team.Also my money management which i discussed in past also is nearly similar to 'thebetfairtrader' and that is around £4k for cricket and do trading in £500 packs.
Also if i see England anytime at 1.2x in first inning and think it is a good 'free lay' than may lay them for 3k or 4k depending on situation at that time.
Thanks
with kp run out, i think indias price may well be shorter at the interval, and may be better to wait till then for our lay!!!
Don't trade cricket myself (cos I'm Scottish ~(:O) ) but I am definitely interested in your free lay approach. Will call in regularly and see how your doin!
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